Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Nov 15, 2013 15:29:41

mozartpc27 wrote:Hey, Democrat buddies, Werthless and jerseyhoya have the best of this conversation because there isn't enough lipstick for this pig. Obama has now admitted as much.

The website isn't the reason the ACA is in deep shit right now. It's in deep shit because of this:

President Obama said not wrote:You have an individual market that accounts for about 5 percent of the population. And our working assumption was -- my working assumption was that the majority of those folks would find better policies at lower cost or the same cost in the marketplaces and that there -- the universe of folks who potentially would not find a better deal in the marketplaces, the grandfather clause would work sufficiently for them. And it didn’t. And again, that’s on us, which is why we’re -- that’s on me.


Even the President has admitted his error, and it's nothing to do with the website - it's about fundamental assumptions underlying the law.



hold on, comrade you've misread the asssumption. the assumption was people would find suitable alternate coverage. It's not that there is NOT suitable alternate coverage - it's that people have not found it - through technical screwups, insurance industry perfidy, and their own indifference/ignorance/call it what you will. This is a pimple on the ass of what's wrong with the way we've been financing health care for the last generation or two. It's not the end of ACA, nor the issues that made doing SOMEthing better than doing nothing.

People SHOULD be angry about this crap - it's WORTH getting wound up about, thinking about, whatever your position on the thing (and I mean the WHOLE thing, not whether your goddamn browser refreshes fast enough for you)
Last edited by drsmooth on Fri Nov 15, 2013 22:33:02, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Nov 15, 2013 20:28:49

Bloomberg Businessweek wrote:Some Insurers Didn’t Give Customers Enough Warning Before Ending Plans

In California, Anthem said a “computer glitch” was responsible for not giving customers adequate notice.



oh well, when it's free markets & shit that's cool

The state-level extension is notional - 2 months
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Fri Nov 15, 2013 21:41:23

I see no contradiction between asserting that 1) the ACA was a worthwhile venture that hopefully will overcome these early problems and fulfill its noble purpose; and 2) the Obama administration sustained a severe and unnecessary self-inflicted wound in screwing up the rollout so badly.

Elections largely are decided based upon values/ideology, but administrations are successful, or not, based upon judgment and managerial acumen. This seems like a problem--I certainly think it's about to be a real mess for the city I live in, where we just elected an empathetic half-hack/half-ideologue who hasn't managed jack shit, mostly because the on-balance excellent 12 year technocratic incumbent was a Big Meanie--but I'm also not really seeing an alternative.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Nov 15, 2013 22:39:46

in more entertaining politics-ish news, Chris Hayes included a nice bit on how stupid Atlanta-area Georgians are to take on half the cost of putting up the Braves new stadium out in the suburbs.

What was nice about it was that he led it off with a pretty long shot of the demolition of another stadium in which major league baseball was once played, a now-obliterated stadium he noted is still being paid for by the citizenry in its vicinity.

3 guesses which stadium was in that opening shot....
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Nov 15, 2013 22:43:29

dajafi wrote:Elections largely are decided based upon values/ideology, but administrations are successful, or not, based upon judgment and managerial acumen


Well, that's one way administrations can be successful. Was Clinton particularly managerially astute? Or that old deficit-runner, Ronnie Reagan? Hoover had managerial acumen out the ass, etc, etc
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby phatj » Fri Nov 15, 2013 23:40:16

td11 wrote:grr, yes 90%+ white and 67%+ male.

those numbers are a result of who is benefited by libertarian ideology-- males and whites. women and minorities can't really afford to be libertarians.

My mom is a libertarian. And has been since long before she became successful.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Nov 15, 2013 23:46:23

Lol phatj's mom is sexist against women

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Werthless » Sat Nov 16, 2013 00:59:36

I'm guessing that td' perception of small-l libertarianism is closer to anarcho-capitalism, whose adherents often ascribe to the theory that all taxation is theft. That's not typical American libertarianism. You might be surprised how mainstream the modern libertarian party is on most issues.

Gary Johnson is an example of modern libertarian who is in agreement with popular opinion more often than not.
Last edited by Werthless on Sat Nov 16, 2013 01:02:13, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby SK790 » Sat Nov 16, 2013 01:02:02

jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:then there are the Republicans in the former Bush administration, equating a healthcare rollout with the response to Hurricane Katrina. jesus christ, it's hard to be reasonable when there is a level of outrage that vastly outweighs the actual event. You don't get to write off your response to a natural disaster (where people died and lives were ruined and changed forever) by equating it to a website screwup.

I think it's a pretty good comparison. It's a very public breakdown of the administration's ability to competently manage government on a vital issue that has also raised major questions about their trustworthiness.

So healthcare.gov can be compared Katrina, but heathcare.gov cannot be compared to Sandy. Got it.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 16, 2013 01:04:59

SK790 wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:then there are the Republicans in the former Bush administration, equating a healthcare rollout with the response to Hurricane Katrina. jesus christ, it's hard to be reasonable when there is a level of outrage that vastly outweighs the actual event. You don't get to write off your response to a natural disaster (where people died and lives were ruined and changed forever) by equating it to a website screwup.

I think it's a pretty good comparison. It's a very public breakdown of the administration's ability to competently manage government on a vital issue that has also raised major questions about their trustworthiness.

So healthcare.gov can be compared Katrina, but heathcare.gov cannot be compared to Sandy. Got it.

Yes, because the government's response to Sandy hasn't been a complete and total clusterfuck.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Werthless » Sat Nov 16, 2013 01:05:34

If the President's response to Sandy had been terrible then it would be an apt comparison. But it wasn't, and so it didnt cause Obama's popularity to plummet.

You're can compare Sandy and ACA, it just doesnt make any sense.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Sat Nov 16, 2013 01:27:53

drsmooth wrote:
dajafi wrote:Elections largely are decided based upon values/ideology, but administrations are successful, or not, based upon judgment and managerial acumen


Well, that's one way administrations can be successful. Was Clinton particularly managerially astute? Or that old deficit-runner, Ronnie Reagan? Hoover had managerial acumen out the ass, etc, etc


Clinton generally appointed pretty effective people, certainly after his first year or two, as--at least in terms of carrying out his policies--did Reagan. That they'd both served in executive roles before the presidency probably helped (though it didn't do much for W). Hoover's problem was more about comprehension than competence.

Obama has turned out to be disturbingly Bush-like in terms of managerial incompetence, which I guess is where the Katrina comparison has some validity. If anything, he has less excuse than Bush had, given the importance of the ACA to the success of his presidency. Hopefully it's not too late.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 16, 2013 10:04:18

Werthless wrote:If the President's response to Sandy had been terrible then it would be an apt comparison. But it wasn't, and so it didnt cause Obama's popularity to plummet.

You're can compare Sandy and ACA, it just doesnt make any sense.


a President marshals the federal political apparatus to take action on a genuine problem impacting lots & lots of Americans while shitbag republicans in places like Colorado, Kentucky, Oklahoma & Texas actively worked to thwart responses.

voila - sensible comparison
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Sat Nov 16, 2013 10:06:45

Werthless wrote:If the President's response to Sandy had been terrible then it would be an apt comparison. But it wasn't, and so it didnt cause Obama's popularity to plummet.

You're can compare Sandy and ACA, it just doesnt make any sense.

i don't think he's talking about Obama
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 16, 2013 11:19:57

MH Perry wraps a segment on ACA this morning saying "we're gonna move on from this topic because if we talk more about it my head will explode"

one of her guests helpfully observes "that'd make great TV"
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 16, 2013 13:22:13

pacino wrote:
Werthless wrote:If the President's response to Sandy had been terrible then it would be an apt comparison. But it wasn't, and so it didnt cause Obama's popularity to plummet.

You're can compare Sandy and ACA, it just doesnt make any sense.

i don't think he's talking about Obama

This is my comparison between Bush & Katrina and Obama and the Obamacare rollout
jerseyhoya wrote:Hurricane Katrina is widely regarded as the point where Bush's approval ratings crossed from mediocre to poor irrevocably. The administration's initial inadequate response to the storm was compounded with out of touch statements (Heckuva job, Brownie) and actions (flyover rather than putting feet on the ground).

Obama's approval ratings keep hitting new lows. His administration has proven woefully unprepared to enact a law that was the centerpiece of their first term agenda. Making matters worse, one of the main lines he used to sell the plan has been shown to be a lie, and for the first time a majority of Americans view him as untrustworthy. And now the promises made about how they're going to make things work by November 30th seem like they're going to fall short. It seems pretty plausible that the flawed Obamacare rollout will have the same lasting effects on people's judgment of Obama's competence and trustworthiness as Katrina did for Bush.

What's the Christie & Sandy comparison to the Obamacare rollout? I'm gonna be in the office all afternoon, so I could use a laugh.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 16, 2013 13:37:02

jerseyhoya wrote:. It seems pretty plausible that the flawed Obamacare rollout will have the same lasting effects on people's judgment of Obama's competence and trustworthiness as Katrina did for Bush.



Barry made an overly broad assertion about existing health coverage years before an element of the statute took effect. I recall few if any people of any political persuasion making an emphatic case that he was overstating things at the time he was initially doing so. In hindsight they probably should have.

This "crisis" will be remembered mainly by poli sci students years hence as a prime example of the mounting frivolity of our national discourse
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby JFLNYC » Sat Nov 16, 2013 13:48:08

There's now zero chance Obama will be re-elected.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 16, 2013 13:57:20

JFLNYC wrote:There's now zero chance Obama will be re-elected.

This is a really good point. Bush's unpopularity which blossomed in the year after he was reelected had no substantial impact on his ability to achieve his policy priorities through his second term or on subsequent US elections. Don't know why we would care about Obama becoming unpopular.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Sat Nov 16, 2013 14:32:20

phatj wrote:
td11 wrote:grr, yes 90%+ white and 67%+ male.

those numbers are a result of who is benefited by libertarian ideology-- males and whites. women and minorities can't really afford to be libertarians.

My mom is a libertarian. And has been since long before she became successful.

Good for her, thanks for the anecdote
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