Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Mon Oct 22, 2012 17:24:49

I only heard a snippet of something about the UN deploying people to watch the elections... in the context of the UN has no legitimacy to be here to monitor the US elections. What the hell was/is that all about?
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 22, 2012 17:27:38

TenuredVulture wrote:
pacino wrote:80+ million people live in Cali, NY and Texas. There is no current need to 'get out the vote' in those three states. it would completely change our electorate.


But where would the resources come from for such a strategy? If it were a cost-effective strategy for the Dems, they would already be using it in the big swing states.

In fact, it might mean that the swing voters--suburban voters--would get even more attention than they currently do.

i guess i just don't see it. when the campaigns focused on PA in 2004 and 2008, turnout increased over a million from 2000-2008. putting that into the three largest states can have a similar effect. the largest turnout increases were from Berks, Erie, Philadelphia, Montgomery, Delaware, Dauphin, Lancaster, Chester...all the counties with lots and lots of people. These were percentages. Philadelphia itself had 58K more people vote from 2004 to 2008.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 22, 2012 17:35:08

Image
romney's team vs the reporters covering him.

are there any reporters left in the US??? :dh: :ce:
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Mon Oct 22, 2012 17:46:39

thephan wrote:I only heard a snippet of something about the UN deploying people to watch the elections... in the context of the UN has no legitimacy to be here to monitor the US elections. What the hell was/is that all about?

They were invited.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Mon Oct 22, 2012 18:05:54

OK. UN inspectors were invited. The problem with that is what? We have free and fair elections, there is no issue with having inspector visit and spend money as far as I can tell. Is there some conspiracy going on like that fool in Texas who thinks Obama will become a dictator and have the UN enforce it? Seriously, the US staffs deployments to areas around the world to observe elections, and when we are denied (or others are denied) there is a cry that goes out. Seems like a non-issue.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 22, 2012 18:06:59

Is there some conspiracy going on like that fool in Texas who thinks Obama will become a dictator and have the UN enforce it

you got it
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Mon Oct 22, 2012 18:15:26

TenuredVulture wrote:
dajafi wrote:Polling of all eligible voters (including non-registered) suggests Obama, or indeed most any Democrat in a national race, would win in a landslide.

Polls of registered voters generally suggest a comfortable Obama win.

Polls of likely voters suggest a nail-biter with the very real possibility of a Romney majority.

Were we to abolish the electoral college, Democrats would focus on registering urban voters and maximizing turnout everywhere, and, as pacino notes, they'd suddenly have to care about cities.

I happen to believe this would be an awesome thing with all kinds of positive consequences. But I also think it's so inimical to the modern Republican Party on the levels of both politics and policy that even if the rules gave Obama the win this year, they wouldn't want to change them; they'd just double down on de-legitimizing his presidency.


I'm not so certain--I do agree that they'll double down on de-legitimizing the Obama Presidency, but I'm not sure about the urban politics aspect here. Consider--VA, FL, and OH all have large urban centers, and the Dems could try what you're talking about in those states.


They do. In '04 and '08 I went to Cleveland, trying to make sure that registered Democrats got out to vote. You'd see that in every major city were the national popular vote meaningful.

I'd be curious to see the turnout rates in swing-state cities vs cities in IL, MA, NY, CA, GA and TX.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Mon Oct 22, 2012 18:16:30

Proof that living in America is better then just about anywhere else you can think of: Italy sentenced a group of scientists to 6 year in prison for manslaughter because they failed to warn of the seriousness of an impending quake. Apparently these scientists predicted that the tremors would not result in a major event, but a town was destroyed killing 300.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Oct 22, 2012 18:28:36

I have no desire to watch this tonight - I've already watched more debates this go around than 2004+2008 - and I'm telling myself just to watch the football/baseball, but I'm probably gonna end up getting sucked in/pissed off.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby bleh » Mon Oct 22, 2012 18:50:04

JUburton wrote:
Grotewold wrote:
pacino wrote:Yeah, I pretty much believe our elections would be COMPLETELY different without it.


The electoral college? I understand what you mean, technically, but doesn't it pretty closely correlate to the popular vote percentage? I mean, it's gotta be a real close race to even be an issue, and candidates could still ignore tiny states with a popular vote
It does, but it's hard to quantify how many Republicans in New York or Democrats in Texas won't vote in a few weeks because their vote basically doesn't matter.

A lot of Democrats in NY and Republicans in Texas don't vote either, since they know their guy will win.

We're half way to using the popular vote if anyone doesn't know:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_P ... te_Compact

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Mon Oct 22, 2012 19:06:48

bleh wrote:
JUburton wrote:
Grotewold wrote:
pacino wrote:Yeah, I pretty much believe our elections would be COMPLETELY different without it.


The electoral college? I understand what you mean, technically, but doesn't it pretty closely correlate to the popular vote percentage? I mean, it's gotta be a real close race to even be an issue, and candidates could still ignore tiny states with a popular vote
It does, but it's hard to quantify how many Republicans in New York or Democrats in Texas won't vote in a few weeks because their vote basically doesn't matter.

A lot of Democrats in NY and Republicans in Texas don't vote either, since they know their guy will win.

We're half way to using the popular vote if anyone doesn't know:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_P ... te_Compact


Love that one of the principals behind the popular vote compact invented the scratch-off lottery ticket

it just feels right
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby mcare89 » Mon Oct 22, 2012 19:28:05

jerseyhoya wrote:I have no desire to watch this tonight - I've already watched more debates this go around than 2004+2008 - and I'm telling myself just to watch the football/baseball, but I'm probably gonna end up getting sucked in/pissed off.

Yeah, I think I'm passing on tonight.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby Bucky » Mon Oct 22, 2012 19:34:20

doubt if it'll be on at the bar

pass, then

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 22, 2012 19:38:52

The New Yorker endorses the Prez in a pretty great read. Its conclusion is thus:

The choice is clear. The Romney-Ryan ticket represents a constricted and backward-looking vision of America: the privatization of the public good. In contrast, the sort of public investment championed by Obama—and exemplified by both the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act and the Affordable Care Act—takes to heart the old civil-rights motto “Lifting as we climb.” That effort cannot, by itself, reverse the rise of inequality that has been under way for at least three decades. But we’ve already seen the future that Romney represents, and it doesn’t work.
The reëlection of Barack Obama is a matter of great urgency. Not only are we in broad agreement with his policy directions; we also see in him what is absent in Mitt Romney—a first-rate political temperament and a deep sense of fairness and integrity. A two-term Obama Administration will leave an enduringly positive imprint on political life. It will bolster the ideal of good governance and a social vision that tempers individualism with a concern for community. Every Presidential election involves a contest over the idea of America. Obama’s America—one that progresses, however falteringly, toward social justice, tolerance, and equality—represents the future that this country deserves.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby Wolfgang622 » Mon Oct 22, 2012 20:44:08

I think what makes the EC stupid is that it doesn't matter if a candidate wins a state 100-0 or 50.01-49.99; if you voted for the other guy, your vote bascially doesn't count. Which means people in every state that isn't a swing state who are voting for the guy who is going to lose that state might as well stay home (Republicans shouldn't bother coming to the polls in MA, and Dems shouldn't bother in UT, for example). I think that's dumb.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 22, 2012 21:03:33

mother just sent me a series of texts where she hopes barack shows up again tonight. nice. she told me aunt she is supposed to vote. wow, never saw her this into voting before.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Oct 22, 2012 21:05:01

Watching the baseball

Feels good man

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby Wolfgang622 » Mon Oct 22, 2012 21:06:01

jerseyhoya wrote:Watching the baseball

Feels good man


I would be a better person almost certainly if I followed this lead.

As it is, drink in hand, ready to react emotionally to every little slight.
"I'm in a bar with the games sound turned off and that Cespedes home run still sounded like inevitability."

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby CalvinBall » Mon Oct 22, 2012 21:06:16

jerseyhoya wrote:Watching the baseball

Feels good man


Pussy

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 22, 2012 21:06:29

a reversal of the hope for this region because of a terrorist attack which the whole country then disavowed and hated?
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