I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby dajafi » Tue Aug 14, 2012 14:59:09

As jh mentioned, Bill Clinton's 1988 keynote was famously awful. The one applause line, unintended, was when he said, "In closing..."

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:03:01

Werthless wrote:
Warszawa wrote:Demand-side economics. We might want to give it a try since the (more or less) last 30 years of the other strategy hasn't worked.


I disagree with your opinion that no one has been trying counter-cyclical fiscal and monetary policy (ie. Keynesianism) in recent history. This is the entire motivation behind the stimulus package, quantitative easing, TARP, etc of recent history; they were done to increase demand. And then there's the uncomfortable Keynesian evidence of the Great Depression.


I believe the money the government spent on the TARP went to the wrong people in a demand side model - it should have went to the middle and working classes, not big corporate banks. The stim worked to a point but wasn't big enough as many economists said when it passed. The depression years were thwarted by conservative efforts to stop government spending and it was the biggest stim of all (WWII) that helped take us out of it
Last edited by Stay_Disappointed on Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:50:38, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:11:34

ah tee hee

Image
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩۞۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:27:31

Monkeyboy wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:It's impressive how many people on BSG know more about politics than Mitt Romney's inner circle and have access to the focus group/polling work they've done testing various messages


So based on quotes coming out of Mitt's campaign and what Silver said, it looks like this pick wasn't about focus groups or polling. It was about Mitt feeling comfortable with Ryan and liking the fact that they both want the rich to have all the wealth in the world, or something like that. His campaign didn't want Ryan. So it looks like your sarcastic remark was way off the mark.

The pick wasn't the one that made the most political sense, but it (and the messaging) was polled and tested, and I'm sure they found messages they felt they could win on otherwise Romney would not have made the pick.

I imagine this was something that worked.


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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby drsmooth » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:35:29

jerseyhoya wrote:I imagine this was something that worked.



why would you imagine that string of clumsy lies would "work"?

(I should acknowledge that I follow a few of the handful of health insurance brokers who tweet - yeah, there are some - and they've been vigorously challenging that nonsense for months. Insurance brokers tend to be rock-ribbed Republicans; those I mention are no exception).
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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:41:57

I don't know who's advising the Romney camp these days but the last thing I'd want to do is prolong the Medicare discussion. Releasing an ad like that will backfire on them. There's not a single person, the right included, who actually believes that Obama or the Democrats is a threat to Medicare.

But by all means, keep going there.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:43:36

Did you both miss the 2010 elections?

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Tue Aug 14, 2012 15:47:20

Image

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Werthless » Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:00:24

Warszawa wrote:
Werthless wrote:
Warszawa wrote:Demand-side economics. We might want to give it a try since the (more or less) last 30 years of the other strategy hasn't worked.

I disagree with your opinion that no one has been trying counter-cyclical fiscal and monetary policy (ie. Keynesianism) in recent history. This is the entire motivation behind the stimulus package, quantitative easing, TARP, etc of recent history; they were done to increase demand. And then there's the uncomfortable Keynesian evidence of the Great Depression.

I believe the money the government spent on the TARP went to the wrong people in a demand side model - it should have went to the middle and working classes, not big corporate banks. The stim worked to a point but wasn't big enough as many economists said when it passed. The depression years were thwarted by conservative efforts to stop government spending and it was the biggest stim of all (WWII) that helped take us out of it

The issue that I have is that counter-cyclical fiscal policy is a pipedream... no man-made government has the discipline to run a surplus in non-recessions. Take 2012. We're not in a recession. We're not growing much at all, and unemployment is still high, but we have high structural deficits.

Eh, sorry I don't really ave much energy for these kinds of debates anymore. I enjoy reading you guys, though.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Swiggers » Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:17:15

Phan In Phlorida wrote:ah tee hee


The saddest part about that is that it means he's just one year older than me. And he's a Congressman and VP candidate, while I spend way too much time on Phillies and fantasy sports message boards.
jerseyhoya wrote:I think the reason you get yelled at is you appear to hate listening to sports talk radio, but regularly listen to sports talk radio, and then frequently post about how bad listening to sports talk radio is after you were once again listening to it.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:20:07

Doll Is Mine wrote:I don't know who's advising the Romney camp these days but the last thing I'd want to do is prolong the Medicare discussion. Releasing an ad like that will backfire on them. There's not a single person, the right included, who actually believes that Obama or the Democrats is a threat to Medicare.

But by all means, keep going there.

Although I agree that it's a bad discussion, I think you're seriously underestimating the average American's tendency to believe anything that the TV tells them.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:25:54

RichmondPhilsFan wrote:
Doll Is Mine wrote:I don't know who's advising the Romney camp these days but the last thing I'd want to do is prolong the Medicare discussion. Releasing an ad like that will backfire on them. There's not a single person, the right included, who actually believes that Obama or the Democrats is a threat to Medicare.

But by all means, keep going there.

Although I agree that it's a bad discussion, I think you're seriously underestimating the average American's tendency to believe anything that the TV tells them.


Sadly, you are right.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby pacino » Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:53:40

jerseyhoya wrote:Did you both miss the 2010 elections?

do you agree that there is stealing going on with medicare?
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Aug 14, 2012 16:57:16

Obama conceded the bill was paid for by cutting Medicare and said he'd veto any attempt to change it. I'm sure there's plenty of nuance or accounting bs the ad is leaving out, but for a campaign ad this cycle, that one up there is pretty close to true.

TAPPER: One of the concerns about health care and how you pay for it — one third of the funding comes from cuts to Medicare.
PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA: “Right.
TAPPER: A lot of times, as you know, what happens in Congress is somebody will do something bold and then Congress, close to election season, will undo it.
OBAMA: Right.
TAPPER: You saw that with the ‘doc fix.’
OBAMA: Right.
TAPPER: Are you willing to pledge that whatever cuts in Medicare are being made to fund health insurance, one third of it, that you will veto anything that tries to undo that?
OBAMA: Yes. I actually have said that it is important for us to make sure this thing is deficit neutral, without tricks. I said I wouldn’t sign a bill that didn’t meet that criteria.

President Obama in 2009 Pledged to Veto Attempts to Undo Medicare Cuts

Democrats are going to shamelessly tell seniors that Romney/Ryan will take away their Medicare when the plan doesn't touch current beneficiaries or anyone 55 or older. Pointing out to them that Obama took hundreds of billions of dollars out of the program can help bring that to a draw and allow us to get back to talking about the economy without losing ground.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Tue Aug 14, 2012 17:03:10

The more I read the more I think Ryan's biggest potential liability is with single women.
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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby dajafi » Tue Aug 14, 2012 17:07:06

Werthless wrote:The issue that I have is that counter-cyclical fiscal policy is a pipedream... no man-made government has the discipline to run a surplus in non-recessions.


President Clinton would like a word... though it's probably a fair point that if he had Dem majorities in Congress at the time, it wouldn't have happened. For us to run surpluses probably requires both crazy good growth and divided government.

Werthless wrote:Eh, sorry I don't really ave much energy for these kinds of debates anymore. I enjoy reading you guys, though.


I can dig it, though I'm not sure that for me it's a question of energy so much as the realization that when I really get into arguments in this thread, the only result I can be sure of is that I get pissed off. FWIW, the issues you tend to raise are often ones I can engage on without that happening, which I appreciate.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby pacino » Tue Aug 14, 2012 17:19:16

jerseyhoya wrote:Obama conceded the bill was paid for by cutting Medicare and said he'd veto any attempt to change it. I'm sure there's plenty of nuance or accounting bs the ad is leaving out, but for a campaign ad this cycle, that one up there is pretty close to true.

TAPPER: One of the concerns about health care and how you pay for it — one third of the funding comes from cuts to Medicare.
PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA: “Right.
TAPPER: A lot of times, as you know, what happens in Congress is somebody will do something bold and then Congress, close to election season, will undo it.
OBAMA: Right.
TAPPER: You saw that with the ‘doc fix.’
OBAMA: Right.
TAPPER: Are you willing to pledge that whatever cuts in Medicare are being made to fund health insurance, one third of it, that you will veto anything that tries to undo that?
OBAMA: Yes. I actually have said that it is important for us to make sure this thing is deficit neutral, without tricks. I said I wouldn’t sign a bill that didn’t meet that criteria.

President Obama in 2009 Pledged to Veto Attempts to Undo Medicare Cuts

Democrats are going to shamelessly tell seniors that Romney/Ryan will take away their Medicare when the plan doesn't touch current beneficiaries or anyone 55 or older. Pointing out to them that Obama took hundreds of billions of dollars out of the program can help bring that to a draw and allow us to get back to talking about the economy without losing ground.

he cut medicare advantage. that is a fraud of a program. there are no reductions in actual benefits.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby pacino » Tue Aug 14, 2012 17:20:48

dajafi wrote:
Werthless wrote:The issue that I have is that counter-cyclical fiscal policy is a pipedream... no man-made government has the discipline to run a surplus in non-recessions.


President Clinton would like a word... though it's probably a fair point that if he had Dem majorities in Congress at the time, it wouldn't have happened. For us to run surpluses probably requires both crazy good growth and divided government.

Werthless wrote:Eh, sorry I don't really ave much energy for these kinds of debates anymore. I enjoy reading you guys, though.


I can dig it, though I'm not sure that for me it's a question of energy so much as the realization that when I really get into arguments in this thread, the only result I can be sure of is that I get pissed off. FWIW, the issues you tend to raise are often ones I can engage on without that happening, which I appreciate.

why would we want to run a surplus, as a government?
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Aug 14, 2012 17:22:24

The Nightman Cometh wrote:The more I read the more I think Ryan's biggest potential liability is with single women.

But the shirtless google searches

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Re: I hope you RECALL that this is the POLITICS thread

Postby dajafi » Tue Aug 14, 2012 17:24:49

I think paying down the debt is a worthwhile thing to do. Not necessarily all the way to zero, but as a signal that we can get our shit together when we need to, the occasional surplus is pretty clearly a good thing.

The problem--and maybe you're hinting at this--is that Clinton's fiscal responsibility ultimately just enabled Bush to blow it all on non-stimulative tax cuts and dumb wars of choice. Unless there's bipartisan consensus as to what "fiscal responsibility" basically means, there's little incentive to do the prudent thing.

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