Blumenthal, Paul and other idiots...POLITICS Thread

Postby drsmooth » Tue Jun 08, 2010 10:19:51

jerseyhoya wrote:Ride Along With Mitch

I think I found my guy for 2012. Very long article from the Weekly Standard. I doubt many will get through it, though I encourage Vox and any of the other board conservatives to put in the time to read it.


In both his campaigns for governor—in 2004, when he won a close race, and in 2008, when he won reelection against the Obama tide in an 18-point landslide—Daniels visited each of Indiana’s 92 counties at least three times, appearing in places that hadn’t seen a statewide candidate in generations, or ever.


Daniels is an appealing sort. I like his health care pragmatism (though his Lilly stint wasn't much special). And most of this story is captivating.

But that beginning bit of it is irksome. Indiana's a pretty small state. The reporter makes it sound like Texas. Also makes Indiana politicians sound dumb, lazy, or both.

And the digression on The Transaction is - well, too good to be true. If I lived in Indiana - or if I were a reporter following any whisper of a Daniels for President story line - I'd want to know a lot more about that.

And the story finishes kind of flat-footed.

But the guy's a guy's guy, as much as you can be these days. If he could fend off the fundies as simply as the article suggests, who knows what might happen.
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Postby Harpua » Tue Jun 08, 2010 10:20:47

Read the Daniels piece too, and enjoyed it for the most part. Ferguson's clearly a fan of Daniels, and there were a couple points where I wanted to see some elaboration, but as a sort of candidate introduction, it was good.

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Postby Gomes » Tue Jun 08, 2010 10:32:29

I'd be shocked if he ran in 2012.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Jun 08, 2010 11:07:25

I wouldn't. His term as governor will be up, and he is term limited, so this is about all that is left politically. He fears for the future of the country, and appears to believe he is the best person to fix America. Politicians aren't normal people. Once they start getting into thinking they're the one who is needed to save the country, a lot of them end up running.

The GOP field is wide open, too. No reason for a credible candidate not to run.

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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Jun 08, 2010 11:10:45

I have a feeling in the current climate in many Republican primaries it's going to be difficult for any sitting successful governor (by definition someone who's been pragmatic) to win.

I think Ferguson is a bit contemptuous of the people of Indiana as well.

The shows are bizarrely compelling, as if D.A. Pennebaker had been let loose on the set of Hee Haw. The Hoosiers themselves​​—grizzled old farmers, bikers with attitude, housewives in floral prints, chubby kids in too-tight T-shirts—are part of the attraction. They are alternately delighted, disbelieving, and annoyed to find a well-known politician in their midst.
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Postby kruker » Tue Jun 08, 2010 13:04:05

How did the six ideological groups do overall? Here they are, best to worst, with an average number of incorrect responses from 0 to 8: Very conservative, 1.30; Libertarian, 1.38; Conservative, 1.67; Moderate, 3.67; Liberal, 4.69; Progressive/very liberal, 5.26.

Americans in the first three categories do reasonably well. But the left has trouble squaring economic thinking with their political psychology, morals and aesthetics.

To be sure, none of the eight questions specifically challenge the political sensibilities of conservatives and libertarians. Still, not all of the eight questions are tied directly to left-wing concerns about inequality and redistribution. In particular, the questions about mandatory licensing, the standard of living, the definition of monopoly, and free trade do not specifically challenge leftist sensibilities.

Yet on every question the left did much worse. On the monopoly question, the portion of progressive/very liberals answering incorrectly (31%) was more than twice that of conservatives (13%) and more than four times that of libertarians (7%). On the question about living standards, the portion of progressive/very liberals answering incorrectly (61%) was more than four times that of conservatives (13%) and almost three times that of libertarians (21%).

The survey also asked about party affiliation. Those responding Democratic averaged 4.59 incorrect answers. Republicans averaged 1.61 incorrect, and Libertarians 1.26 incorrect.

Adam Smith described political economy as "a branch of the science of a statesman or legislator." Governmental power joined with wrongheadedness is something terrible, but all too common. Realizing that many of our leaders and their constituents are economically unenlightened sheds light on the troubles that surround us.


Link

Some fodder.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Jun 08, 2010 13:12:01

Two questions there I have a bit of a problem with are "5) Third World workers working for American companies overseas are being exploited (unenlightened answer: agree). 6) Free trade leads to unemployment (unenlightened answer: agree)."

If they question was Most Third World workers..., then I'd be fine with agree being considered unenlightened. I don't mind people saying Agree to it without a most qualifier though, because no doubt some Third World workers are being exploited.

And implementing free trade policies can lead to increased unemployment in certain segments of the market, so again it depends on how the question was worded for me on whether agree is a dumb answer.

The other stuff I'm fine with them mocking the liberals.

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Postby Gomes » Tue Jun 08, 2010 13:16:15

jerseyhoya wrote:I wouldn't. His term as governor will be up, and he is term limited, so this is about all that is left politically. He fears for the future of the country, and appears to believe he is the best person to fix America. Politicians aren't normal people. Once they start getting into thinking they're the one who is needed to save the country, a lot of them end up running.

The GOP field is wide open, too. No reason for a credible candidate not to run.


I'd be shocked mostly because I've been reading since 2008 that he has no desire to run, and from the article describing his wife as "antipolitical."

I'll be happy if I'm wrong.

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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Jun 08, 2010 13:30:36

jerseyhoya wrote:Two questions there I have a bit of a problem with are "5) Third World workers working for American companies overseas are being exploited (unenlightened answer: agree). 6) Free trade leads to unemployment (unenlightened answer: agree)."

If they question was Most Third World workers..., then I'd be fine with agree being considered unenlightened. I don't mind people saying Agree to it without a most qualifier though, because no doubt some Third World workers are being exploited.

And implementing free trade policies can lead to increased unemployment in certain segments of the market, so again it depends on how the question was worded for me on whether agree is a dumb answer.

The other stuff I'm fine with them mocking the liberals.


So wait, now Zogby is cool? Dammit, I can't keep up.
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Postby drsmooth » Tue Jun 08, 2010 13:34:42

kruker wrote:Link

Some fodder.


True, if fodder is used here as equivalent to fertilizer. Fertilizer produced by cows.

1) WSJ Opinion page is the source - aggressively biased from the get-go
2)
"Consider one of the economic propositions in the December 2008 poll: "Restrictions on housing development make housing less affordable." People were asked if they: 1) strongly agree; 2) somewhat agree; 3) somewhat disagree; 4) strongly disagree; 5) are not sure.

Basic economics acknowledges that whatever redeeming features a restriction may have, it increases the cost of production and exchange, making goods and services less affordable. There may be exceptions to the general case, but they would be atypical."


What kind of weasly BS is that, exactly? Those with stronger opinions disagree with the premises of the question. They "somewhat" or "strongly" disagree that development restrictions necessarily make housing less affordable. An assertion that bereft of specifics can confidently be challenged, because it is pretty much open to any interpretation.
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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Jun 08, 2010 13:37:39

That really is a terrible, terrible study--along the lines of those studies done 20 years ago that equated opposition to affirmative action and busing with racism. Those public choice people at George Mason really have jumped the shark.
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Postby dajafi » Tue Jun 08, 2010 14:23:00

Gomes wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:I wouldn't. His term as governor will be up, and he is term limited, so this is about all that is left politically. He fears for the future of the country, and appears to believe he is the best person to fix America. Politicians aren't normal people. Once they start getting into thinking they're the one who is needed to save the country, a lot of them end up running.

The GOP field is wide open, too. No reason for a credible candidate not to run.


I'd be shocked mostly because I've been reading since 2008 that he has no desire to run, and from the article describing his wife as "antipolitical."

I'll be happy if I'm wrong.


I've been saying for awhile that Daniels is the Republican I'd be least upset to see win in two years. He actually seems interested in governing rather than throwing the most stylistically effective temper tantrum, and he could be the guy to do the "Nixon to China" deal that we'll need to get the budget under control: modest tax hikes matched with big spending and/or benefit cuts. Of course, what I want in a Republican candidate probably isn't very relevant... and to win the nomination he'd need to get his head back up Grover Norquist's rear, among other foul-smelling places. Doing that would tie his hands for said deal.

As for whether or not he'll run, there's this(presumably from the same article jh linked, which I'll read later on):

"Newt told me, look, quit saying you're not going to do this. If you don't run, you don't run. But say you're leaving the door open, and the national press will pay a lot more attention to your viewpoint."

-- Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), quoted by the Weekly Standard, on Newt Gingrich's advice to keep speculation of a 2012 presidential bid alive.


though that certainly could be read to say more about Newt and his desire to sell books/tapes/motivational materials, than Daniels.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Jun 08, 2010 16:20:09

I was the 32nd Republican to vote in my precinct at 2:00 PM, a mere 8 hours after the polls opened.

There are two precincts in the same voting location in my town, and the other was at 26 Republicans. Between the two, a total of 24 Democrats had voted.

VOTER ENTHUSIASM!

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Postby drsmooth » Tue Jun 08, 2010 18:01:49

jerseyhoya wrote:I was the 32nd Republican to vote in my precinct at 2:00 PM, a mere 8 hours after the polls opened.

There are two precincts in the same voting location in my town, and the other was at 26 Republicans. Between the two, a total of 24 Democrats had voted.

VOTER ENTHUSIASM!


so schumpetered
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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Jun 08, 2010 18:28:49

jh, isn't your precinct more or less a Republican one anyway? And, if you go by those kind of numbers, The Democrats may be able to hold the Arkansas Senate seat.
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Postby pacino » Tue Jun 08, 2010 18:29:18

have you seen the lap of luxury in which he lives?! damn right its republican...

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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Jun 08, 2010 18:35:03

TenuredVulture wrote:jh, isn't your precinct more or less a Republican one anyway? And, if you go by those kind of numbers, The Democrats may be able to hold the Arkansas Senate seat.


Yeah Republican leaning town, but not 2.5-1. The turnout disparity is more because the Republican House primary has gotten more attention than the one on the Democratic side. Also the country wide races have competitive GOP primaries, and the Democrats are running unopposed.

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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Jun 08, 2010 20:22:39

Only a handful of results in, but Haley looks to be facing a runoff, which she'll probably win handily barring actual evidence against her.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Jun 08, 2010 20:27:56

Very early returns have Runyan up almost 2-1 in Ocean

I'm feeling a bit better

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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Jun 08, 2010 20:30:29

Everyone, regardless of party or ideology, should be happy that so far Bauer is coming in last in SC, right?
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