Look, my friends, this is the new POLITICS THREAD

Postby philliesphhan » Sat Oct 11, 2008 17:12:51

Laexile wrote:
meatball wrote:McCain said himself he doesn't know much about the economy. Then, recently no less, he said, "the fundamentals of our economy are strong". Seems pretty out of touch to me.

So, to you, "out of touch with the economy" = "palling around with terrorists".

Now, THAT'S out of touch.

McCain never said he doesn't know much about the economy.


Carly Fiorina, a top McCain adviser, acknowledged that McCain has said he knows little about the economy, noting that “he did say it one time, no question, maybe twice.”


“The issue of economics is not something I’ve understood as well as I should” McCain


So, yes, he didn't word for word say that
"My hip is fucked up. I'm going to Africa for two weeks."

philliesphhan
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 36348
Joined: Sun Jan 28, 2007 14:37:22
Location: the corner of 1st and 1st

Postby phdave » Sat Oct 11, 2008 18:04:40

Laexile wrote:I respect that people don't agree with fiscal conservatism, but I can't get that people think there's only one way to think. Yes, I think McCain's health plan is better. His jobs plan is better. I think we'll be more secure. I don't think many on here can say, "LA, I see where you're coming from. I see how that could work."


What is John McCain's job plan? Do you have a link that I can read? I'm curious. I haven't heard anyone tout his job plan before. I looked on his website and did not see a specific link to a job plan.

As for his health care plan, I think it would be a major disaster. I liked some of Obama's Democratic opponents' healthcare plans better than his but, for me, there is no comparison with the McCain plan. I think McCain's plan will destroy our current healthcare insurance system without replacing it with a viable alternative. Tax breaks of $2,500 for individuals to purchase their own insurance makes no sense to me. It just doesn't add up.

I don't think we'll be more secure with McCain for various reasons.

I'd be happy to agree with you that there is a policy that McCain supports that is better than a policy that Obama supports. I don't have to pretend that a candidate I am voting for has all perfect policies and the opponent has perfectly wrong policies. But I can't do that with the examples you give.

*** Edit ****

I should have said that I do understand why LAExile would feel more secure with McCain. I can understand that perspective. I disagree with it but am not surprised that someone feels that way. The healthcare plan is another thing entirely. I don't understand how anyone thinks that will work.
Last edited by phdave on Sun Oct 12, 2008 01:17:22, edited 1 time in total.
The Phillies: People trading People to People.

phdave
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 11601
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 21:25:57
Location: Ylvania

Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Oct 11, 2008 19:21:20

I'm probably going to cast a protest vote for Senate. Definitely for the House of Rep.
Be Bold!

TenuredVulture
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 53243
Joined: Thu Jan 04, 2007 00:16:10
Location: Magnolia, AR

Postby Philly the Kid » Sat Oct 11, 2008 19:26:19

philliesphhan wrote:
Laexile wrote:
meatball wrote:McCain said himself he doesn't know much about the economy. Then, recently no less, he said, "the fundamentals of our economy are strong". Seems pretty out of touch to me.

So, to you, "out of touch with the economy" = "palling around with terrorists".

Now, THAT'S out of touch.

McCain never said he doesn't know much about the economy.


Carly Fiorina, a top McCain adviser, acknowledged that McCain has said he knows little about the economy, noting that “he did say it one time, no question, maybe twice.”


“The issue of economics is not something I’ve understood as well as I should” McCain


So, yes, he didn't word for word say that


McCain ran back to Washington -- suspended his campaign and was not a major part of any legislation nor did he even know what was just passed and seen by various remakrs he's made calling for new legislation that was included in what they just passed... I'd say he's not convincing many he's the man to handle the economy, that's for sure.

Philly the Kid
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 19434
Joined: Sat Jun 09, 2007 13:25:27

Postby Philly the Kid » Sat Oct 11, 2008 19:29:30

I'm sick of the fight to prove who is the better 'hawk'. Iraq and the Surge. Bin Laden and the caves of Afghan/Paki --

All of this is ridiculous, manufactured, and so costly without approval from the American populace. The best way to stop fomenting hatred of your values and way of life, is to stop being an imperialist a-hole, stop propping up evil people to do your bidding til they turn on you, stop occupaying and invading foreign lands. Foster education, real aid that helps people help themsleves rather than setting it up cozy for US and Global interest to exploit cheap labor and free resources.

And stop waving the word Democracy in everyone's face.

This phrase 'win the war' is laughable. What war? It's not a matter of winning and losing.

BTW, did I hear that Palin is part of the Flyers first game ceremony???

Philly the Kid
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 19434
Joined: Sat Jun 09, 2007 13:25:27

Postby pacino » Sat Oct 11, 2008 20:54:15

thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

pacino
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 75831
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:37:20
Location: Furkin Good

Postby phdave » Sat Oct 11, 2008 21:33:12

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7TgDanmWkg&eurl=http://thinkprogress.org/2008/10/11/philadelphia-flyers-fans-boo-hockey-mom-palin/[/youtube]
The Phillies: People trading People to People.

phdave
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 11601
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 21:25:57
Location: Ylvania

Postby FlightRisk » Sat Oct 11, 2008 23:41:30

It was not so much rugged individualism as it was a desire to be "different" that made her so insufferably boring.
Last edited by FlightRisk on Sun Oct 12, 2008 17:45:16, edited 1 time in total.
I'm afraid you're just too darn loud.

FlightRisk
There's Our Old Friend
There's Our Old Friend
 
Posts: 764
Joined: Sun Dec 31, 2006 21:58:18
Location: New Jersey

Postby The Red Tornado » Sat Oct 11, 2008 23:45:20

phdave wrote:[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7TgDanmWkg&eurl=http://thinkprogress.org/2008/10/11/philadelphia-flyers-fans-boo-hockey-mom-palin/[/youtube]


Honestly, who didnt see this coming?
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby TenuredVulture » Sun Oct 12, 2008 00:32:08

The people who arranged the whole thing?
Be Bold!

TenuredVulture
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 53243
Joined: Thu Jan 04, 2007 00:16:10
Location: Magnolia, AR

Postby pacino » Sun Oct 12, 2008 00:44:04

she actually says 'oh my god they're booing me' at the beginning

priceless
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

pacino
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 75831
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:37:20
Location: Furkin Good

Postby TenuredVulture » Sun Oct 12, 2008 01:02:58

Vox will probably call me a liar again for posting this, but I found it interesting.

Chris Buckley, conservative son of William F. Buckley, comes out for Obama.
Be Bold!

TenuredVulture
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 53243
Joined: Thu Jan 04, 2007 00:16:10
Location: Magnolia, AR

Postby FTN » Sun Oct 12, 2008 02:20:44

During his 1992 campaign, at the end of a long day, McCain's wife, Cindy, mussed his receding hair and needled him playfully that he was "getting a little thin up there." McCain reportedly blew his top, cutting his wife down with the kind of language that had gotten him hauled into court as a high schooler: "At least I don't plaster on the makeup like a trollop, you cunt." Even though the incident was witnessed by three reporters, the McCain campaign denies it took place.

In the Senate — where, according to former GOP Sen. Bob Smith, McCain has "very few friends" — his volcanic temper has repeatedly led to explosive altercations with colleagues and constituents alike. In 1992, McCain got into a heated exchange with Sen. Chuck Grassley over the fate of missing American servicemen in Vietnam. "Are you calling me stupid?" Grassley demanded. "No, I'm calling you a fucking jerk!" yelled McCain. Sen. Bob Kerrey later told reporters that he feared McCain was "going to head-butt Grassley and drive the cartilage in his nose into his brain." The two were separated before they came to blows. Several years later, during another debate over servicemen missing in action, an elderly mother of an MIA soldier rolled up to McCain in her wheelchair to speak to him about her son's case. According to witnesses, McCain grew enraged, raising his hand as if to strike her before pushing her wheelchair away.

McCain has called Paul Weyrich, who helped steer the Republican Party to the right, a "pompous self-serving son of a bitch" who "possesses the attributes of a Dickensian villain." In 1999, he told Sen. Pete Domenici, the Republican chairman of the Senate Budget Committee, that "only an asshole would put together a budget like this."

Last year, after barging into a bipartisan meeting on immigration legislation and attempting to seize the reins, McCain was called out by fellow GOP Sen. John Cornyn of Texas. "Wait a second here," Cornyn said. "I've been sitting in here for all of these negotiations and you just parachute in here on the last day. You're out of line." McCain exploded: "Fuck you! I know more about this than anyone in the room." The incident foreshadowed McCain's 11th-hour theatrics in September, when he abruptly "suspended" his campaign and inserted himself into the Wall Street bailout debate at the last minute, just as congressional leaders were attempting to finalize a bipartisan agreement.

At least three of McCain's GOP colleagues have gone on record to say that they consider him temperamentally unsuited to be commander in chief. Smith, the former senator from New Hampshire, has said that McCain's "temper would place this country at risk in international affairs, and the world perhaps in danger. In my mind, it should disqualify him." Sen. Domenici of New Mexico has said he doesn't "want this guy anywhere near a trigger." And Sen. Thad Cochran of Mississippi weighed in that "the thought of his being president sends a cold chill down my spine. He is erratic. He is hotheaded."


shrinkage

FTN
list sheriff
 
Posts: 47429
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:42:28
Location: BE PEACE

Postby Monkeyboy » Sun Oct 12, 2008 04:09:39

pacino wrote:she actually says 'oh my god they're booing me' at the beginning

priceless



Really, where? I tried to find it, for schadenfreude purposes, but can't.
Agnostic dyslexic insomniacs lay awake all night wondering if there is a Dog.

Monkeyboy
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 28452
Joined: Sat Feb 17, 2007 21:01:51
Location: Beijing

Postby VoxOrion » Sun Oct 12, 2008 07:54:31

TenuredVulture wrote:Vox will probably call me a liar again for posting this, but I found it interesting.


I really hurt your feelings then, didn't I? :oops:
“There are no cool kids. Just people who have good self-esteem and people who blame those people for their own bad self-esteem. “

VoxOrion
Site Admin
 
Posts: 12963
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 09:15:33
Location: HANLEY POTTER N TEH MAGICALASS LION

Postby dajafi » Sun Oct 12, 2008 12:25:07

From Bob Ford's Inquirer column today:

So it was just me and Barry O'Bomber yesterday in the small tent near the Vernon Park stage. That was his nickname in high school, because some other people on the basketball team, including the coach on occasion, thought he might have shot the ball a touch too often.


Nickname to appear in a McCain-supporting 527 group ad in 3... 2...

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

Postby dajafi » Sun Oct 12, 2008 14:56:18

Question for jerseyhoya or anyone else who might have direct knowledge of this: Are campaigns' "internal polls" necessarily better or worse than what the likes of SUSA, Rasmussen, Gallup et al run out there?

I ask because I could see it either way: maybe they pay more to get a larger or more representative sample, but it also makes sense that any poll commissioned by a particular client would have some "lean" to it, maybe painting a more positive picture than is really the case.

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

Postby TenuredVulture » Sun Oct 12, 2008 15:01:57

dajafi wrote:Question for jerseyhoya or anyone else who might have direct knowledge of this: Are campaigns' "internal polls" necessarily better or worse than what the likes of SUSA, Rasmussen, Gallup et al run out there?

I ask because I could see it either way: maybe they pay more to get a larger or more representative sample, but it also makes sense that any poll commissioned by a particular client would have some "lean" to it, maybe painting a more positive picture than is really the case.


Internal polls aren't necessarily better or worse than independent polls, but since they're used differently, they will be designed differently. Generally, an independent poll is designed to give people an idea of who is ahead in an election, while an internal poll is used to guide campaign strategy. As a consequence, you will do all kinds of things differently--you might say oversample evangelicals, or you might try to find out if a certain demographic is moving in one direction or another, and thus take steps to prevent or encourage that motion. For instance, McCain's campaign may very well have internal polls that showed them getting wiped out in Michigan, but with a better chance somewhere else, so they "abandoned" Michigan.

Campaigns do not benefit from polls that aren't accurate. But campaigns will be very selective in releasing internal results, and they can manipulate them a bit to make their candidate appear to be doing better than they otherwise would be doing.
Be Bold!

TenuredVulture
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 53243
Joined: Thu Jan 04, 2007 00:16:10
Location: Magnolia, AR

Postby The Red Tornado » Sun Oct 12, 2008 15:04:56

dajafi wrote:Question for jerseyhoya or anyone else who might have direct knowledge of this: Are campaigns' "internal polls" necessarily better or worse than what the likes of SUSA, Rasmussen, Gallup et al run out there?

I ask because I could see it either way: maybe they pay more to get a larger or more representative sample, but it also makes sense that any poll commissioned by a particular client would have some "lean" to it, maybe painting a more positive picture than is really the case.


check out 538 because Silver had a post about internal polls, his main feeling was that they usually make internal polls public when the main polls don't tell their story that they are trying to tell. IOW, take them with a huge grain of salt
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby jerseyhoya » Sun Oct 12, 2008 15:17:05

TenuredVulture wrote:
dajafi wrote:Question for jerseyhoya or anyone else who might have direct knowledge of this: Are campaigns' "internal polls" necessarily better or worse than what the likes of SUSA, Rasmussen, Gallup et al run out there?

I ask because I could see it either way: maybe they pay more to get a larger or more representative sample, but it also makes sense that any poll commissioned by a particular client would have some "lean" to it, maybe painting a more positive picture than is really the case.


Internal polls aren't necessarily better or worse than independent polls, but since they're used differently, they will be designed differently. Generally, an independent poll is designed to give people an idea of who is ahead in an election, while an internal poll is used to guide campaign strategy. As a consequence, you will do all kinds of things differently--you might say oversample evangelicals, or you might try to find out if a certain demographic is moving in one direction or another, and thus take steps to prevent or encourage that motion. For instance, McCain's campaign may very well have internal polls that showed them getting wiped out in Michigan, but with a better chance somewhere else, so they "abandoned" Michigan.

Campaigns do not benefit from polls that aren't accurate. But campaigns will be very selective in releasing internal results, and they can manipulate them a bit to make their candidate appear to be doing better than they otherwise would be doing.


I think this is about right.

Campaigns release polls for all sorts of reasons. To drive press coverage, to stoke fundraising, to counter other public or private polls. You don't distrust them because they're worse than SUSA or Gallup or whatever, it's because you don't get to see all of them.

Now on top of what TV said about guiding campaign strategy, another huge part of internal polls is testing messaging. The "Would it make you more or less likely to vote for Candidate X if you knew they voted to raise taxes 42 times?" Etc.

jerseyhoya
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 97408
Joined: Fri Sep 07, 2007 21:56:17

PreviousNext