VANIMAL_49 Vance Worley
“@cubishboy: @VANIMAL_49 What is Michael Martinez like as a team mate? Does he speak any english?” quiet hard worker and speaks English

Those comments are great, love the Cards douche getting ganged up on cos he was trying to use ERA+ and Kevin brown as some reason to lessen Doc's achievements when everyone else is explaining why that douchebag will never make the hall.

the decision will be easier after our next three World Series titles

phdave wrote:This is the kind of thing that happens when proving how much smarter you are than people who run baseball teams is more important than analyzing fucking data.

Phillies fifth in the NL in OBP and BB%. Case closed, then, for the scientific, super-open-minded SABR set.

702 wrote:VANIMAL_49 Vance Worley
“@cubishboy: @VANIMAL_49 What is Michael Martinez like as a team mate? Does he speak any english?” quiet hard worker and speaks English

is that from twitter or a gay mans forum? cubishboy's follow up, how much body hair does chase utley have?

phatj wrote:http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/newsstand/discussion/roy_halladay_gets_nl-leading_7th_complete_game_15th_win_as_phillies_top_dod/

This is a discussion thread about a stupid WaPo article with a major factual error in the headline, but mostly the thread devolves into a discussion of Halladay's HoF chances. I get giddy reading this kind of stuff. The consensus best pitcher of the last 10 years... IS OURS. MUAHAHAHA

That thread gave me a fucking migraine. As much as I love baseball stats, I've come to realize that I hate 98.4% of other people that also love baseball stats.

The Braves are on a pace to win 95 games.

And lose the division by 12 games.

If we lose the next 20, we'll only need to go 13-12 for 90 wins.

According to BP, we now have a 100% chance of making the playoffs

mozartpc27 wrote:The Braves are on a pace to win 95 games.

And lose the division by 12 games.

From the Random Baseball Stuffs thread:

stevelxa476 wrote:I was looking back at the 2001 standings, and I completely forgot that Oakland won 102 games that year and was still 14 games out of first.

Trent Steele wrote:According to BP, we now have a 100% chance of making the playoffs

They've stumbled onto my statistical pet peeve. I believe that 100% and 0% represent absolutes and should only be used as such.

God, I love looking at the standings now. It's just ludicrous.

Bucky wrote:

Trent Steele wrote:According to BP, we now have a 100% chance of making the playoffs

They've stumbled onto my statistical pet peeve. I believe that 100% and 0% represent absolutes and should only be used as such.

Totally agree with this.

But it's not that they have a 100% chance of making the playoffs, it's that they make the playoffs 100% of the time in BP's simulations of the rest of the season.

CrashburnAlley wrote:

Bucky wrote:

Trent Steele wrote:According to BP, we now have a 100% chance of making the playoffs

They've stumbled onto my statistical pet peeve. I believe that 100% and 0% represent absolutes and should only be used as such.

Totally agree with this.

If I had to guess, the calculation is less than 100 but it rounds to 10ths for the site. If that's the case it should just say > 99.9%. Do they use PECOTA?

CrashburnAlley wrote:

Bucky wrote:

Trent Steele wrote:According to BP, we now have a 100% chance of making the playoffs

They've stumbled onto my statistical pet peeve. I believe that 100% and 0% represent absolutes and should only be used as such.

Totally agree with this.

I actually thought it was low.

Wizlah wrote:God, I love looking at the standings now. It's just ludicrous.

I never know the right thread and get slammed for starting new ones so I'm putting this here. Mods feel free to move this to another thread if there is one more appropriate.

Does Dom Brown need to be on the 40 man roster before Sept 1st to be eligible for playoffs? Or does the fact that he'd been on the roster prior for a stretch of season mean he can already be on playoff roster? As well - if he has to be on the 40-man before Sept 1, will he be?

I think it would be foolish to not have him on a playoff roster for several reasons --

*he deserves to be part of that - he contributed more to this team than Gload or Francisco
*with DH he and Mayberry are nice assets
*if someone gets hurt or even a pitch-hit situation
*he might be really resentful if he missed a chance to be in the clubhouse during a WS run

I haven't followed his progress since he went back down, but I feel like the kid kind of rooked on the deal. I'd really rather him up right now and Francisco gone.

He's on the 40-man now. I think you mean to ask about the 25-man.

In any case, since he has already been on the 25-man, he's good to go.