Worst Sports Articles: 2008 edition

Postby MarkdlV » Tue Feb 19, 2008 08:46:33

David Murphy from the DN is obsesses with batting average.

Eight years into his career, it's still difficult to find the proper perspective through which to view the man who at one point was cast as a franchise's savior. On one hand are his 218 career home runs, fifth in Phillies history. By the end of the year, he'll likely move back Greg Luzinski (223) and Chuck Klein (243).

On the other hand are his .258 career average and numerous injuries.

In 2002, the year before he signed a 6-year contract extension that will earn him $14 million this year, he hit .282 with 37 home runs and 116 RBI. The following year, those numbers plummeted to .209, 21 and 64.


Only once has his batting average improved in two straight seasons (from .209 to .257 to .281 from 2003-05). After hitting .281 with 32 home runs and 117 RBI in 2005, his batting average dropped to .258 in 2006 and .256 last year.

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Postby Ramon Gris » Tue Feb 19, 2008 13:52:17

I know this guy. His dad used to be the director or something at Pocono Plateau, up in Canadensis. It's a methodist summer camp I used to go to when I was a kid. His family lived up there, just outside of the camp. They were very nice people.

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Postby MarkdlV » Tue Feb 19, 2008 14:34:25


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Postby Woody » Tue Feb 19, 2008 14:36:40

Murph is a good guy, let him be. He's young, he'll learn. Scratch golfer
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Postby MarkdlV » Tue Feb 19, 2008 14:56:47

This is his hazing period.

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Postby Woody » Tue Feb 19, 2008 14:57:54

fitter than you'd think
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Tue Feb 19, 2008 17:00:43

The Bad News Cubs: The Great RBI Statistic

It’s become fashionable amongst statheads to dismiss the RBI as useless. This view has become so commonplace, such unanimous dogma… you would think we should do away with it altogether. If a guy knocks in three runs in a game, he should be more concerned with the state of his OPS, and not celebrating.

Statheads love to rip Joe Morgan, a longtime proponent of the RBI… and hall of fame player. He contributed significantly to championship clubs. Morgan’s a hall of fame PLAYER and not a geek studying fictional numbers with no relationship to winning baseball games. He may have completely ###### up in criticizing Billy Beane for ‘writing Moneyball’, which Beane obviously didn’t do… but he’s not wrong about the RBI… or which teams win in the postseason… teams that can manufacture runs.

[...]
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Postby Houshphandzadeh » Tue Feb 19, 2008 17:10:43

The whole "geek" thing is so funny. Do they think we're all playing World of Warcraft (NTTAWTH) from 6-12 then reading Baseball Prospectus for a few hours before bedtime? Are there any dudes like that?

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Postby smitty » Tue Feb 19, 2008 17:14:01

CrashburnAlley wrote:The Bad News Cubs: The Great RBI Statistic
It’s become fashionable amongst statheads to dismiss the RBI as useless. This view has become so commonplace, such unanimous dogma… you would think we should do away with it altogether. If a guy knocks in three runs in a game, he should be more concerned with the state of his OPS, and not celebrating.Statheads love to rip Joe Morgan, a longtime proponent of the RBI… and hall of fame player. He contributed significantly to championship clubs. Morgan’s a hall of fame PLAYER and not a geek studying fictional numbers with no relationship to winning baseball games. He may have completely ###### up in criticizing Billy Beane for ‘writing Moneyball’, which Beane obviously didn’t do… but he’s not wrong about the RBI… or which teams win in the postseason… teams that can manufacture runs. [...]


Wow.  Runs scored plus RBIs is the most important offensive statistic.  Wow.

Teams that manufacture runs win in the post season? The Red Sox, with Manny and Ortiz and Youklis and Varitek and all of those other speedy; hit and run; moving the runner over guys were really good at manufacturing runs. They did it the old fashioned way though. By getting on base and slugging. In that regard he is correct although he doesn't know why.

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Postby MarkdlV » Tue Feb 19, 2008 17:21:28

Houshphandzadeh wrote:The whole "geek" thing is so funny. Do they think we're all playing World of Warcraft (NTTAWTH) from 6-12 then reading Baseball Prospectus for a few hours before bedtime? Are there any dudes like that?


Your mom lets you stay up that late? Lights out is 10 PM in our basement.

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Postby Woody » Tue Feb 19, 2008 17:28:48

I fucked all your moms in my basement, WITH MY PROPELLOR CAP ON
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Postby smitty » Tue Feb 19, 2008 17:29:33

Houshphandzadeh wrote:The whole "geek" thing is so funny.  Do they think we're all playing World of Warcraft (NTTAWTH) from 6-12 then reading Baseball Prospectus for a few hours before bedtime?  Are there any dudes like that?


I think there might be but that isn't important.  The problem I guess is that on the internet you don't know anything about anyone who posts in a thread or who blogs or who writes stat geek stuff. So if someone wants to assume that folks who understand a little bit about how baseball works are geeky nerds then that's what they will assume. 

There really isn't any way to disprove their theory. These guys are essentially lazy.  They don't want to try to learn anything.  So they try to make fun of folks who have done some reading and stuff.  I think it's nothing more than that.

Stat geeks like us can go overboard too.  Baseball is really complicated and no one knows everything about how all of this stuff works.  No one is really all that close.  So it's easy to throw out some of our favorite stats or numbers and draw conclusions that we think are inviolable. In fact, our favorite stats and numbers -- OPS; VORP, WARP 3; EqA; PECOTA and all the rest -- are very fine evaluation tools.  But they are just that.

  Some day some guy may come up with a super-duper algorithm that tells us everything we ever need to know about players and teams.  And maybe this guy's formula will be able to predict everything that will happen in the upcoming season.  But I'll tell you what.  If that ever happens it will really suck.  We won't be able to argue about the merits and suckatude of guys like Pedro Feliz and Greg Dobbs and Rod Barajas.  And that won't be any fun at all.

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Tue Feb 19, 2008 18:03:55

The other assumption is that being a nerd is a bad thing. Aren't nerds, uh, smart?

And what's the alternative? Casual Joe who has a basic knowledge of the game?
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Postby smitty » Tue Feb 19, 2008 18:21:37

CrashburnAlley wrote:The other assumption is that being a nerd is a bad thing. Aren't nerds, uh, smart?

And what's the alternative? Casual Joe who has a basic knowledge of the game?


Well, you can be smart and studly -- like me and you. :wink:

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Tue Feb 19, 2008 18:48:06

I am no stud. Unless you are counting the rhinestones on my leather jacket.
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Postby MarkdlV » Sun Feb 24, 2008 14:09:02

From Randy Miller's article today:

Dominique Brown is tall and skinny at 6-foot-5, 205. He bats and throws left, plays a mean right field and has an arm that scares baserunners. And best of all, this kid hits baseballs a long, long way.


I assume he was talking about Dominic Brown?

The group is headed by Brown and includes former No. 1 pick Greg Golson, D'Arby Myers, Matt Spencer and 2007 Paul Owens winner Quinton Berry.


Maybe it's a typo or maybe Miller didn't bother to figure out how to spell his name.

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Postby BigEd76 » Sun Feb 24, 2008 15:22:47

He also thinks Golson will start in RF next year. ha!

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Postby smitty » Sun Feb 24, 2008 18:04:53

MarkdlV wrote:From Randy Miller's article today:

Dominique Brown is tall and skinny at 6-foot-5, 205. He bats and throws left, plays a mean right field and has an arm that scares baserunners. And best of all, this kid hits baseballs a long, long way.


I assume he was talking about Dominic Brown?

The group is headed by Brown and includes former No. 1 pick Greg Golson, D'Arby Myers, Matt Spencer and 2007 Paul Owens winner Quinton Berry.


Maybe it's a typo or maybe Miller didn't bother to figure out how to spell his name.


Back when I was in Journalism school you got an automatic F for spelling a name wrong. That was back in the days before we had the inter webs to look stuff up. Kids these days.

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Postby 1 » Mon Feb 25, 2008 22:26:08

The Padres might not be preseason favorites in the National League West, but they'd wipe the floor with all comers in 2-on-2 hoops.

Padres starter Chris Young, 6-foot-10, was a basketball star at Princeton whose career highlights included a 24-point performance against North Carolina State in the NIT and a 20-point game against a ranked Kansas squad.

Tony Clark, who recently signed a one-year deal to back up Adrian Gonzalez at first base, averaged 43.7 points a game as a senior at Christian High School in El Cajon, Calif., and played college hoops for Arizona and San Diego State.

"I've got to think with Tony here, that puts us right up there,'' Young said. "We'd do some pick-and-roll stuff. He played the 2- or the 3-guard, so he could handle the rock. He's too humble to talk about it, but I have some friends in San Diego who say he's the best high school basketball player they've ever seen. Hands down. Not even close.''

Young said he won't be surprised if manager Bud Black arranges a team free-throw shooting contest for kicks this spring. But don't expect anything more strenuous or hazardous than that.
-- Jerry Crasnick, ESPN.com
Fine. You wanna act like you're two? I'll act like I'm one.

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Tue Feb 26, 2008 03:29:36

Jon Heyman:

Even so, I wasn't shocked that stats people have taken issue with Rollins winning the MVP award. There are numbers crunchers out there -- including a firejoemorgan.com author who wrote a guest piece in Sports Illustrated last week -- who believe baseball writers rank somewhere between morons and idiots for voting Rollins as MVP over David Wright, who had a higher VORP. The stat people seem to believe VORP -- a Baseball Prospectus statistic that stands for Value Over Replacement Player -- defines a player, but why haven't many of them championed last year's VORP leader (Hanley Ramirez) as MVP instead?

I assume the stats guys favor Wright because he played for a contending team. I guess the rule is this: Highest VORP wins unless the VORP champion is playing for a loser.

If Wright's offensive stats were slightly better than Rollins', and I will accept that they were, especially considering the respective ballparks they play in (VORP accounts for ballparks), shouldn't Rollins get points for playing a superb shortstop compared to Wright's slightly-above average third base? And shouldn't Rollins get credit for showing extraordinary initiative and leadership? For helping his team barrel into the playoffs from seven games back with 17 to go, as opposed to Wright's team, which perpetrated a historic choke?

Though the Mets' collapse was no fault of Wright's, for the MVP to come off the all-time choke team, he'd better have a greater advantage in stats than this: Wright outhit Rollins .325 to .296, but both hit 30 home runs and Rollins beat Wright in Runs Created by 13. Wright's big advantage apparently comes down to the fact he got on base more often (his on-base percentage was significantly higher, .416 to .344), usually via a walk (he had 94 walks to Rollins' 49). To the stat guys, walking is more thrilling and much more valuable than actually winning the pennant.
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