On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Monkeyboy » Sun Aug 30, 2020 22:34:47

Republicans don't believe we can govern ourselves. Only businessmen can be trusted to run the important stuff.
Agnostic dyslexic insomniacs lay awake all night wondering if there is a Dog.

Monkeyboy
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 28452
Joined: Sat Feb 17, 2007 21:01:51
Location: Beijing

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby CalvinBall » Sun Aug 30, 2020 22:58:35

Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.

CalvinBall
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 64951
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2007 15:30:02
Location: Pigslyvania

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby momadance » Sun Aug 30, 2020 23:03:50

Monkeyboy wrote:Republicans don't believe we can govern ourselves. Only businessmen can be trusted to run the important stuff.


This was the political mentality in the US from around 1920 to the start of WW2, but we're closer to 1929 than the earlier Roaring 20's.

momadance
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 25967
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 17:52:34
Location: Quarantine Beach

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby azrider » Mon Aug 31, 2020 00:07:30

CalvinBall wrote:Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.




https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... 16-warning


Been warning about the protests

azrider
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 10945
Joined: Mon Jan 15, 2007 19:09:13
Location: snottsdale, arizona

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Houshphandzadeh » Mon Aug 31, 2020 00:55:55

it's easy to tell people to stop protesting for the sake of your own political goals while you're sitting nice and comfortable. people in Portland are dealing with a racist police force that has been aligned with right wing extremists since before Trump came into power

Houshphandzadeh
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 64362
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 19:15:12
Location: nascar victory

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby joe table » Mon Aug 31, 2020 01:12:21

jerseyhoya wrote:
joe table wrote:lots of words, some of which I'm too dumb to understand

TLDR our capital and corporate interests can afford the higher taxes and we should #$!&@ pay for people’s health care and stop embarrassing ourselves

I'm not as opposed to single payer or some other nationalized healthcare as I think most Republicans are, but it would very much not be my preferred solution to our current (not great!) situation on healthcare. I think moving to a nationalized system would be bad in both the short and long term, but we might enjoy some medium term benefits. My sense is there would be a tremendous amount of upheaval in delivery of care as the system updated to the new set up. In the medium term we'd experience broader coverage and less complicated access, while taking advantage of the muscle memory of everything that existed in the before times. In the long term I worry a lot about innovations in care and attracting the highest level of people like we are now into the industry.

All of this said, I agree the current set up is really quite bad and am not convinced single payer isn't preferable to it. In order for markets to work, you need to have prices that dictate behavior/decision making. As a consumer in the healthcare market, with my employer paying for my heath insurance, I have zero incentive to make any decisions around price. And beyond that, I don't even know what the cost of anything is. I think the better course of action would be to make healthcare more open to market forces to try to stem the obscene upward pressure on costs, while government maintains a role ensuring a safety net for the most vulnerable.

There are a lot of things I think I know a lot about. Healthcare policy is not one of them. There are a lot of political issues I have unshakable opinions on. Healthcare policy is not one of them. But I'm not super excited to try to move to Medicare for All or anything like that. I think we have a lot of structural things set up here where that transition will be painful/bad, and there will be seriously negative long term impacts too.


Appreciate you engaging with a somewhat nonsensical sleep deprived post. What are your thoughts on Cuban as a 2024 repub candidate. From his whole recent media run he’s put a lot out there in terms of HC reform which I think breaks from mainstream party ranks and might appeal to some moderates. At the end of the day think he’s a creep that probably has significant skeletons in the closet (though not sure that matter after Trump?) but assume he’s has no realistic traction within your party to emerge as a candidate that will garner support from important party donors?

joe table
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 41100
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2009 14:56:43

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby slugsrbad » Mon Aug 31, 2020 01:18:34

I hate to sound morbid.. but if Trump is alive in 2024 than it will be a Trumpian candidate or Trump himself as the nominee.

Obvious caveat that we fucking win in November.
Quick Google shows that GoGo is wrong with regards to the Kiwi and the Banana.

Doll Is Mine wrote:This Ellen DeGeneres look alike on ESPN is annoying. Who the hell is he?

slugsrbad
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 27586
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 15:52:49

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby The Savior » Mon Aug 31, 2020 06:42:40

As an FYI - Trump pulled slightly ahead of Clinton in national polls post 2016 convention.

He’s -6 after a +4 bounce this year.

If Biden, like Clinton, pulls back some of that bounce, we are right back to where we were pre Convention.

Furthermore, Trumps dislikes are higher nationally than they were pre convention.

So, reminder, media is not trying to report news.
On a scale of 1 to Chris Brown, how pissed is he?

The Savior
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 30452
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2009 09:53:42

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Werthless » Mon Aug 31, 2020 09:28:28

CalvinBall wrote:Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.

I think a tight race narrative helps Biden.

Werthless
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 12968
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2008 16:07:07

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby JUburton » Mon Aug 31, 2020 09:33:00

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... /national/

biden is still well, well ahead. we're too early to see bounces clearly but early signs are not good.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1 ... 4528580608

if wasserman calls this a bellweather county i'm going to trust his word and biden is up FOURTEEN (11 over Clinton 2016).

JUburton
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 17132
Joined: Wed May 05, 2010 20:49:25
Location: Philly

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby CalvinBall » Mon Aug 31, 2020 09:41:25

Werthless wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.

I think a tight race narrative helps Biden.


Motivates people more you think?

I could buy that.

CalvinBall
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 64951
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2007 15:30:02
Location: Pigslyvania

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby TenuredVulture » Mon Aug 31, 2020 09:42:01

Werthless wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.

I think a tight race narrative helps Biden.

It helps the media. Because that's all they want to or can talk about.
Be Bold!

TenuredVulture
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 53243
Joined: Thu Jan 04, 2007 00:16:10
Location: Magnolia, AR

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby traderdave » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:21:13

You know how some people who have near death experiences spend time reevaluating their lives and choose to use their second chance to better themselves and the world around them? Steve Scalise apparently is not one of those people:

Twitter labeled a video promoted by House Minority Whip Steve Scalise of a progressive activist interviewing Joe Biden about police funding "manipulated content," and Scalise later deleted the tweet Sunday night.

The video splices together footage from an interview between, Ady Barkan, who has ALS and speaks using a computerized artificial voice, and Biden.

In the original video, Barkan asks Biden if he can agree that "we can redirect some of the funding," for police departments toward mental health services, to which Biden replies, "Yes."

The clip tweeted out by the number two Republican in the House edits in the word "for police" in a digitized voice to make it sound as if Barkan is asking Biden if he agrees they can "redirect some of the funding for police."


https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/31/politics ... index.html

traderdave
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 8451
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:44:01
Location: Here

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Werthless » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:35:55

CalvinBall wrote:
Werthless wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.

I think a tight race narrative helps Biden.


Motivates people more you think?

I could buy that.

Might change the votes of people like jerseyhoya who live in battleground states. Might cause them to switch from libertarian to Dem.

Werthless
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 12968
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2008 16:07:07

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby CalvinBall » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:43:26

Looks like one poll was added to the 538 forecast. A poll of Missouri that has Biden doing 8 points better than HRC did. The model shifted in Trump's favor by a point- Biden 68, Trump 32.

CalvinBall
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 64951
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2007 15:30:02
Location: Pigslyvania

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Uncle Milty » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:49:06

Are those numbers typos?
Drunk and stupid is no way to be remembered but it is an easy way to forget.

Uncle Milty
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 7688
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 00:10:38
Location: @realUncleMilty

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby JUburton » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:53:46

Uncle Milty wrote:Are those numbers typos?
they're % chance of victory. nate himself would probably say take it with some salt 2 months out as there is a good bit of uncertainty built in.

JUburton
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 17132
Joined: Wed May 05, 2010 20:49:25
Location: Philly

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby CalvinBall » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:54:17

what ju said

CalvinBall
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 64951
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2007 15:30:02
Location: Pigslyvania

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Uncle Milty » Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:58:22

Thanks. I mistook it as 68-32 in Missouri.

There was a good PA poll on 538 today too.
Drunk and stupid is no way to be remembered but it is an easy way to forget.

Uncle Milty
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 7688
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 00:10:38
Location: @realUncleMilty

Re: On the cUSP: Save the Post Office and Other POLITICS

Unread postby Bucky » Mon Aug 31, 2020 11:00:53

Werthless wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:
Werthless wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:Trump and company trying really hard to create a narrative that the race is tight and that Biden is effectively in the streets leading violent riots.

The first part is not true despite some talking heads taking the bait on it. There are not really any polls that show a swing towards Trump in any meaningful way. There just have not been any substantial polls really for 2 weeks.

That is tied into the fact that they think violent unrest is somehow helpful to their campaign. Again, no evidence for that. Could very well not be helpful.

Media needs to do a better job parsing those lies and assumptions out.

I think a tight race narrative helps Biden.


Motivates people more you think?

I could buy that.

Might change the votes of people like jerseyhoya who live in battleground states. Might cause them to switch from libertarian to Repub.

Bucky
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 58017
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 19:24:05
Location: You_Still_Have_To_Visit_Us

PreviousNext