Squire wrote:I don't know. I know people are paranoid because he was down in the polls and then won 2016 but literally don't see how Trump gets re-elected in 2020:
1. He won every swing state he needed in 2016 but by razor thin margins 100-150K
2. I can't imagine ANYONE who didn't vote for him in 2016 but will vote for him in 2020. So his top line number is what it was last election
3. A portion of his support has died out. literally died.
4. There was at least a small segment of the Republican/Indepedent voters who voted for him on the belief that once in the office, he'd act more Presidential. Which he won't get this time.
The plan has to be:
1. Get a half million key votes
2. Hard to say since he is now the crown for the Trump party (see VT's comment)
3. Yes, but what has replaced them in the newly minted voters? I know my son is eager for his first opportunity to vote 'against', but I assume there are plenty who are 'for' created in the trumplands.
4. This is really the other key. Again to VT's point, some have fallen in line, and others will get off the bus. Maybe another 500K here?
So there are approximately 750K voters in key states that need to rise up against a menace. Theoretically that should be available, but the last theory was a bust. Will suburban white women vote against their culture? Will traditional democrat voters come out in force? Will the election be postponed? There are 500 some days of crazy to weather.
