MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby momadance » Tue May 12, 2020 14:54:18

Slowhand wrote:
Wheels Tupay wrote:It would be insane to add the dh to the Nl without giving teams at least one full offseason to prepare for it. That will have a great effect on your roster.


Meh, if this season even happens at all everything will have an asterisk next to it. Might as well get crazy with it.


Yeah ... At this point I'll just be happy with some games regardless of the changes for the season.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Napalm » Tue May 12, 2020 15:11:30

momadance wrote:
Slowhand wrote:
Wheels Tupay wrote:It would be insane to add the dh to the Nl without giving teams at least one full offseason to prepare for it. That will have a great effect on your roster.


Meh, if this season even happens at all everything will have an asterisk next to it. Might as well get crazy with it.


Yeah ... At this point I'll just be happy with some games regardless of the changes for the season.

It's a good opportunity to experiment with ideas

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby PSUPhilliesPhan » Tue May 12, 2020 15:45:28

Napalm wrote:
momadance wrote:
Slowhand wrote:
Wheels Tupay wrote:It would be insane to add the dh to the Nl without giving teams at least one full offseason to prepare for it. That will have a great effect on your roster.


Meh, if this season even happens at all everything will have an asterisk next to it. Might as well get crazy with it.


Yeah ... At this point I'll just be happy with some games regardless of the changes for the season.

It's a good opportunity to experiment with ideas


robot umps ain't spreading rona

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Grotewold » Tue May 12, 2020 15:46:54

space cowboy joe west

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Uncle Milty » Tue May 12, 2020 15:48:09

PSUPhilliesPhan wrote:
Napalm wrote:
momadance wrote:
Slowhand wrote:
Wheels Tupay wrote:It would be insane to add the dh to the Nl without giving teams at least one full offseason to prepare for it. That will have a great effect on your roster.


Meh, if this season even happens at all everything will have an asterisk next to it. Might as well get crazy with it.


Yeah ... At this point I'll just be happy with some games regardless of the changes for the season.

It's a good opportunity to experiment with ideas


robot umps ain't spreading rona

Or the good will of veteran umps like Joe West
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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby PSUsarge » Tue May 12, 2020 15:56:34

Napalm wrote:
momadance wrote:
Slowhand wrote:
Wheels Tupay wrote:It would be insane to add the dh to the Nl without giving teams at least one full offseason to prepare for it. That will have a great effect on your roster.


Meh, if this season even happens at all everything will have an asterisk next to it. Might as well get crazy with it.


Yeah ... At this point I'll just be happy with some games regardless of the changes for the season.

It's a good opportunity to experiment with ideas

It's not experimenting with anything, though. It's not a new concept to baseball, just new to some teams, who are being introduced to it with no prior warning and expected to compete against teams that have built rosters around that piece being part of it.

I don't think NL teams should just accept it as "well at least we have baseball" just as I don't think the players should blindly accept the owners proposal just to get baseball (which they won't).

Lastly, the "this season will be different / have an asterisk / whatever" is not going to matter a damn bit for teams that accomplish division, league, and World Series championships. Would enjoy being one of those, and don't like anything that could potentially get in the way.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby JFLNYC » Tue May 12, 2020 18:37:26

So when they start playing and a player tests positive — and someone undoubtedly will at some point — does the entire team go into quarantine and forfeit games? How about the other team? The umps? Staff? I just don’t see how they can plausibly plan to start playing 7 weeks from now.
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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby momadance » Tue May 12, 2020 18:39:50

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Bucky » Tue May 12, 2020 20:17:02

Image

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Uncle Milty » Tue May 12, 2020 20:31:03

Owners and players fighting over money. Starting to doubt if this happens.
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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed May 13, 2020 03:18:47

JFLNYC wrote:So when they start playing and a player tests positive — and someone undoubtedly will at some point — does the entire team go into quarantine and forfeit games? How about the other team? The umps? Staff? I just don’t see how they can plausibly plan to start playing 7 weeks from now.


Yeh, I think it's wishful thinking. I'm still hoping, but I just can't see how it's viable.
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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed May 13, 2020 03:36:01

Something like the bolded part would need to happen among players and owners for MLB to reopen.. There will be positive cases among players and support workers.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby Rockinghorse » Wed May 13, 2020 07:22:36

Money is gonna be a far bigger obstacle than the health precautions. I could see owners using this as an opportunity to deliver a massive punch to the union in advance of next year's CBA negotiations, shutting down completely to make lower paid players desperate (a la NFL).

I'd like to see the numbers on how much the owners will lose by paying prorated salaries (as they agreed to do) without any ticket revenue. They still have merchandise and other ways to mine for cash if there's a season. I suspect the money loss would be something their accountants can game out with minimal pain either way.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby MoBettle » Wed May 13, 2020 07:48:21

Rockinghorse wrote:Money is gonna be a far bigger obstacle than the health precautions. I could see owners using this as an opportunity to deliver a massive punch to the union in advance of next year's CBA negotiations, shutting down completely to make lower paid players desperate (a la NFL).

I'd like to see the numbers on how much the owners will lose by paying prorated salaries (as they agreed to do) without any ticket revenue. They still have merchandise and other ways to mine for cash if there's a season. I suspect the money loss would be something their accountants can game out with minimal pain either way.

Based on Passan's article (which as usual is very annoying to read with him going back and forth between journalist and bad jokes) I'm not understanding the justification of the owners asking the players to agree to this. Math seems to work out fine, or maybe the owners get screwed by like a small amount per team, nothing that seems like anyone that's not an owner would feel bad for them about. Unless maybe they are trying to protect against the downside of the post season. being cancelled? But the owners argument that they can back out of the March agreement is a term related to there not being fans, what does that have to do with losing TV money from the playoffs?
How bad for the players would a split actually be?

Warning: This is going to be some very back-of-the-napkin math that attempts to estimate revenues. Ballparking revenues tends to be a fool's errand. In short, a 50-50 split is a huge issue. But indulge me. It is more to make a point.

Forbes estimated that MLB's industrywide revenues in 2019 were $10.7 billion. Club sources have suggested the number was lower but in that ballpark. Let's use the higher number but use teams' estimate that 40% of local revenue will vanish without ticket sales. That leaves $6.4 billion.

Sources have estimated that local television revenue is somewhere in the $2.2 billion to $2.5 billion range annually. Because teams under this plan would play only half the games, that's half the revenue -- say, another $1.2 billion haircut. And that does not account for regional sports networks, which pay local TV-rights fees, potentially asking for a discount based on the difference in the product, whether it's because there are no fans in the stands or because teams are forced to play away from home thanks to local government regulations. Ignoring that possibility, we're down to $5.2 billion.

National TV money is estimated at $1.7 billion a year. The point of implementing expanded playoffs would be to maintain that number, with the loss of half the Sunday Night Baseball games and the expected cancellation of the All-Star Game and Home Run Derby in Los Angeles. In the current system, MLB's guaranteed number of playoff games is 26, and its maximum is 43. Expanded playoffs would swell those numbers to 36 and 59. That translates to hundreds of millions of extra dollars in postseason revenue, keeping the overall revenue number in the low-$5 billion range.

Losses in other areas are almost a given, dropping revenue under $5 billion. Which, admittedly, still seems high, especially if owners are claiming they could lose money this year. Still, it makes the prospect of a 50-50 split with players interesting financially. Player salaries for 2020 are estimated somewhere between $4.2 billion and $4.4 billion. Let's go with $4.3 billion. At a prorated salary for 50.6% of the games, that's around $2.18 billion. Half of, say, $4.8 billion would be $2.4 billion.


Obviously the owners are billionaires for a reason and as long as it's not actually impacting the games I'm fine with the sides negotiating, but I'm not getting the outrage against the players that I've seen in certain outlets...
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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby ReadingPhilly » Wed May 13, 2020 08:06:29


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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby PSUsarge » Wed May 13, 2020 08:48:32

MoBettle wrote:Obviously the owners are billionaires for a reason and as long as it's not actually impacting the games I'm fine with the sides negotiating, but I'm not getting the outrage against the players that I've seen in certain outlets...

Typical lazy sports talk, Twitter personalities, etc. stirring up the lowest common denominator of fans.

Also, it's honestly probably that the players are much more visible targets - everyone knows who Bryce Harper is, but if John Middleton strolled down Market St like 99% of people would walk right past him.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby lethal » Wed May 13, 2020 13:54:32

heyeaglefn wrote:
PSUsarge wrote:
Uncle Milty wrote:I welcome the NL DH. Also think our Phillies are in a decent position to utilize it.

I welcome the concept, I don't welcome the sudden implementation of it, especially at the conclusion of a fucking offseason.

Covid 19 made the decision a lot easier. You just aren't going to have the normal amount of arms and bats at your disposal throughout your organization this year. Who knows if there will even me minor league baseball.


I can't see rolling back the DH once you play this season with it though, even as strange a season it will be.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby heyeaglefn » Wed May 13, 2020 16:22:30

lethal wrote:
heyeaglefn wrote:
PSUsarge wrote:
Uncle Milty wrote:I welcome the NL DH. Also think our Phillies are in a decent position to utilize it.

I welcome the concept, I don't welcome the sudden implementation of it, especially at the conclusion of a fucking offseason.

Covid 19 made the decision a lot easier. You just aren't going to have the normal amount of arms and bats at your disposal throughout your organization this year. Who knows if there will even me minor league baseball.


I can't see rolling back the DH once you play this season with it though, even as strange a season it will be.

No, it is here to stay if it comes in. It was going to happen at some point, I think teams were probably preparing for 2022 for it to start.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby MFP » Wed May 13, 2020 21:23:44

heyeaglefn wrote:
lethal wrote:
heyeaglefn wrote:
PSUsarge wrote:
Uncle Milty wrote:I welcome the NL DH. Also think our Phillies are in a decent position to utilize it.

I welcome the concept, I don't welcome the sudden implementation of it, especially at the conclusion of a fucking offseason.

Covid 19 made the decision a lot easier. You just aren't going to have the normal amount of arms and bats at your disposal throughout your organization this year. Who knows if there will even me minor league baseball.


I can't see rolling back the DH once you play this season with it though, even as strange a season it will be.

No, it is here to stay if it comes in. It was going to happen at some point, I think teams were probably preparing for 2022 for it to start.

Yeah, it was always going to happen permanently. This just accelerated the timetable.

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Re: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL IN 2020 (RANDOM MLB THREAD)

Postby spiffyrob » Thu May 14, 2020 18:17:59

Was just chatting with some friends about what will become of this year's mlb.tv subscriptions. Say they play an 81 game season... do we get half our money back? Credit for next year?
These guys need a little bit more lead in their diet.

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