Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby pacino » Sat Nov 08, 2014 14:31:56

Luzinski's Gut wrote:Completely unprofessional and quite illegal. Unfortunately, SEALs are getting a really bad reputation within DoD for not being able to keep their pieholes shut, especially within SEAL Team Six.

I think people should stay far away from this clown claiming he was the shooter, he's going to be targeted by every Sunni extremist in the world.


drsmooth wrote:I imagine the current SEALS shenanigans are giving our General Luzinski's Gut a gutache

how long before a drone jockey starts taking public credit/movie rights for his/her role in snuffing targets

eh, it's probably already happened

It's unprofessional but they are not under an NDA once they leave, no? I'm not sure what's illegal here.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 08, 2014 16:54:19

TomatoPie wrote:Certainly, a state subsidy of the marginally skilled is better than subsidy by the employer, but that is hardly ideal, is it?


A "subsidy by the employer" - ? what does that even mean? Every employer - EVERY employer - if it profits at all, profits from eliciting whatever it is that anyone it employs accomplishes in the relationship while compensating them for less than they "deserve". The "subsidized" party, if there is one here, is the enterprise's owner(s).

Not to pick on you, but whatever it is that you currently do for a living, you, personally, are probably "overpaid" - in the sense that you, personally, could, right now, be replaced with someone who would accept a lower wage AND who produce an acceptable if not superior work product, especially if fortified by effectively configured computing technologies.

You're not all that special.

It's only your employer's inefficiency - its failure to actually compete maximally - that enables you to keep stealing that paycheck you're given.

That applies to anyone and everyone here.

Much, maybe most, of every dollar you collect is essentially a bribe for your complicity in the goings on. You're rewarded more for your subservience 'skills' than for your functional abilities

Capitalism doesn't work if things were otherwise.

You're really got to come to terms with the fact that the crude modeling tools in your tattered econ 101 textbook deal with lab conditions that do not operate out here where flesh & blood humans live & work.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 08, 2014 16:54:19

1 x is plenty :oops:
Last edited by drsmooth on Sat Nov 08, 2014 17:26:05, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Sat Nov 08, 2014 17:11:55

drsmooth wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:Certainly, a state subsidy of the marginally skilled is better than subsidy by the employer, but that is hardly ideal, is it?


A "subsidy by the employer" - ? what does that even mean? Every employer - EVERY employer - if it profits at all, profits from eliciting whatever it is that anyone it employs accomplishes in the relationship while compensating them for less than they "deserve". The "subsidized" party, if there is one here, is the enterprise's owner(s).

Not to pick on you, but whatever it is that you currently do for a living, you, personally, are probably "overpaid" - in the sense that you, personally, could, right now, be replaced with someone who would accept a lower wage AND who produce an acceptable if not superior work product, especially if fortified by effectively configured computing technologies.

You're not all that special.

It's only your employer's inefficiency - its failure to actually compete maximally - that enables you to keep stealing that paycheck you're given.

That applies to anyone and everyone here.

Much, maybe most, of every dollar you collect is essentially a bribe for your complicity in the goings on. You're rewarded more for your subservience 'skills' than for your functional abilities

Capitalism doesn't work if things were otherwise.

You're really got to come to terms with the fact that the crude modeling tools in your tattered econ 101 textbook deal with lab conditions that do not operate out here where flesh & blood humans live & work.


That's a good rant - but I don't hear any solutions in there.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Sat Nov 08, 2014 17:13:02

drsmooth wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:Certainly, a state subsidy of the marginally skilled is better than subsidy by the employer, but that is hardly ideal, is it?


A "subsidy by the employer" - ? what does that even mean?


If your labor is worth $6 an hour but the min wage says $8, then the employer is forced to subsidize your meager talents.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 08, 2014 17:39:27

TomatoPie wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:Certainly, a state subsidy of the marginally skilled is better than subsidy by the employer, but that is hardly ideal, is it?


A "subsidy by the employer" - ? what does that even mean?


If your labor is worth $6 an hour but the min wage says $8, then the employer is forced to subsidize your meager talents.


The sentence of yours that I quoted is nonsensical.

Both "subsidies", to employ your vernacular, are "state subsidies". A tax credit is a different method of dealing with the same market defect that a minimum wage addresses. Neither is perfect. Even in combination they wouldn't be perfect.

But in your inverted conception, it would seem that practically every penny your employer squanders on you in the way of wages is a subsidy. Why should s/he commit to enriching you on a regular basis when in fact s/he could obtain the value of whatever actual skills you possess on a contract basis? Only your employer's imperfect competitive execution preserves you from busking on a streetcorner for your daily crust.

But then markets, however free or regulated, are never perfect, are they?
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby dajafi » Sat Nov 08, 2014 23:57:58

drsmooth wrote:But then markets, however free or regulated, are never perfect, are they?


BURN THE WITCH!!!

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Sun Nov 09, 2014 07:12:07

drsmooth wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:Certainly, a state subsidy of the marginally skilled is better than subsidy by the employer, but that is hardly ideal, is it?


A "subsidy by the employer" - ? what does that even mean?


If your labor is worth $6 an hour but the min wage says $8, then the employer is forced to subsidize your meager talents.


The sentence of yours that I quoted is nonsensical.

Both "subsidies", to employ your vernacular, are "state subsidies". A tax credit is a different method of dealing with the same market defect that a minimum wage addresses. Neither is perfect. Even in combination they wouldn't be perfect.

But in your inverted conception, it would seem that practically every penny your employer squanders on you in the way of wages is a subsidy. Why should s/he commit to enriching you on a regular basis when in fact s/he could obtain the value of whatever actual skills you possess on a contract basis? Only your employer's imperfect competitive execution preserves you from busking on a streetcorner for your daily crust.

But then markets, however free or regulated, are never perfect, are they?


It's hard for us to think of our labor as a commodity - it's so personal.

My employer needs to spend money on heat, light, supplies, coffee, consultants, and all kinds of stuff.

The folks in charge of the shekels are charged with getting top value for minimum price. That includes labor. The market sets the price we pay for lightbulbs and coffee (but not so much for utilities). In an ideal world, the market also sets the price for labor.

Your missing-the-point argument that my employer overpays me aside, there's no useful reason to compel an employer to pay above-market prices for labor than there would be for the lightbulbs.

We can have another argument over whether Grapes of Wrath applies to every job in America. It doesn't, though. Skilled labor is in critical short supply, which is why we import so many highly educated Asians. What is in over-supply is the marginally-skilled folks who want to earn big while working small. That was OK before globalization, not working so good now.

And while we are going all over the map here, my advice to TP Jr and every young person is this: be an expert at two things. No matter what single field you study, someone in Bangalore has studied it better, has a better work ethic, and is willing to work for 1/3 of what would make you happy. But if you have another serious skill (and especially one that requires social skills or cultural dexterity), then you have a powerful combination that makes you hard to replace/outsource. And if you can't do all that, enter the trades. I think plumbers and auto mechanics have a good ride ahead, although the mostly-computerized self-driving car thing may be a longer term threat to those making, selling, or servicing cars.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Luzinski's Gut » Sun Nov 09, 2014 10:21:22

Yes, the non-disclosure agreements are in effect for the duration of the program. Does not matter if the individual leaves the military, he or she is still bound by the NDA until the the security classification levels are downgraded to unclassified.


pacino wrote:
Luzinski's Gut wrote:Completely unprofessional and quite illegal. Unfortunately, SEALs are getting a really bad reputation within DoD for not being able to keep their pieholes shut, especially within SEAL Team Six.

I think people should stay far away from this clown claiming he was the shooter, he's going to be targeted by every Sunni extremist in the world.


drsmooth wrote:I imagine the current SEALS shenanigans are giving our General Luzinski's Gut a gutache

how long before a drone jockey starts taking public credit/movie rights for his/her role in snuffing targets

eh, it's probably already happened

It's unprofessional but they are not under an NDA once they leave, no? I'm not sure what's illegal here.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Sun Nov 09, 2014 12:00:33

TomatoPie wrote:
It's hard for us to think of our labor as a commodity - it's so personal.


it's one of the places where your "Econ 101 explains everything" worldview breaks down. You certainly CAN think of labor as a commodity in a child's-sandbox model of how economics intersects with the real world. But not in the actual real world, where adults live, and work, and vote, and find common ground, or not.[/quote]

"The market sets the price we pay for lightbulbs and coffee (but not so much for utilities). [/quote]

Pro tip: "the market" is an Econ 101 fantasy. Josh Barro provides a nice example of how people don't always line up to defend "the" market along the ideological lines anyone might expect, because hey, there is no "the" market - markets tend to resemble political economies, much messier than what,say, Samuleson puts in an economics primer.

Your missing-the-point argument that my employer overpays me aside, there's no useful reason to compel an employer to pay above-market prices for labor than there would be for the lightbulbs
"useful". Problematic term, outside your Econ 101 straitjacket

What is in over-supply is the marginally-skilled folks who want to earn big while working small


You're saying people shouldn't emulate captains of finance & industry, like Jamie Dimon, or John Paulson? People who exploit peculiarities of how we presently define ownership to extract absurdly disproportional shares of the rewards of human activity?

Yeah, we have too few Jamie Dimon's; fat cats who have with certainty earned every dime they extract from their enterprises, because, y'know, they basically have maneuvered to ensure they get to decide that themselves.

...if you have another serious skill (and especially one that requires social skills or cultural dexterity), then you have a powerful combination that makes you hard to replace/outsource. And if you can't do all that, enter the trades. I think plumbers and auto mechanics have a good ride ahead, although the mostly-computerized self-driving car thing may be a longer term threat to those making, selling, or servicing cars.


the difficulty is that there's no end to that scramble, TP. No end to that "if you could only also build your own addition on your house", or "if you could only leap tall buildings in a single bound", or "if you could only also repair atomic reactors", etc.

You can never really be an island.

And you can't live off the island, among others on your island, if your model, at root, at the Econ 101 level, is "some people deserve to be treated with a measure of human decency, and others do not"
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby dajafi » Sun Nov 09, 2014 13:40:10

I think most of us probably agree that the basic Judeo-Christian framework has some really useful ideas, but if you take every word as the absolute and unassailable truth you're setting up to do more harm than good.

I would submit that market fundamentalism doesn't make any more sense. If anything, moral relativism is more in play when it comes to economics, and "the rules" are more susceptible to massaging and manipulation to the advantage of those in power. (See, for instance, the tax code, the flaws of which probably benefit most reading this.)

Fundamentalist objections aside, raising the minimum wage generally does much more good than harm. The idea that it's teenagers mostly drawing it is simply untrue in places like NYC, and prices aren't so sensitive that it kills jobs; in fact, the additional money circulated through the local economy has an aggregate job creating effect.

I do have one major concern with a minwage increase, which is that (even) fewer kids from low-income households might work as a result. Since youth employment is path-dependent and likelihood of early work is directly proportional to household income up to $100k, this is a big deal. But you can get around it by stipending youth work or creating a subminimum for non-primary earners.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Werthless » Sun Nov 09, 2014 23:51:04

dajafi wrote:Fundamentalist objections aside, raising the minimum wage generally does much more good than harm. The idea that it's teenagers mostly drawing it is simply untrue in places like NYC, and prices aren't so sensitive that it kills jobs; in fact, the additional money circulated through the local economy has an aggregate job creating effect.
I assume this paragraph is based on recent studies. If all of these statements were true and actual "fact," min wage laws would be a lot easier to pass. It reads like a bunch of assertions passed off as fact, but I'm genuinely curious.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby SK790 » Mon Nov 10, 2014 05:55:26

About half are 25 or younger.

http://www.bls.gov/cps/minwage2012.htm

i also don't see why it would be a bad thing to pay working teenagers more, as most teens who are working are working to save up money for college or their first major purchase(likely a car).
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby dajafi » Mon Nov 10, 2014 09:53:02

It's not a bad thing to pay teens more, but if the trade off is that fewer teens work, that's really bad.

Werthless, the statements were as I recall recent research on the minimum wage. I'll try to find stuff later.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Mon Nov 10, 2014 11:03:35

SK790 wrote:About half are 25 or younger.

http://www.bls.gov/cps/minwage2012.htm

i also don't see why it would be a bad thing to pay working teenagers more, as most teens who are working are working to save up money for college or their first major purchase(likely a car).

You left out an important part of that statement though:

Although workers under age 25 represented only about one-fifth of hourly paid workers, they made up about half of those paid the Federal minimum wage or less.


The "or less" is almost exclusively those who are working as wait staff, which we already know is overwhelmingly filled by workers aged 18-25. Minimum wage increases do not impact them (unfortunately). I'd really like to see the data without the "or less" lumped in--because, let's face it, that's a completely irrelevant group to the "who is a minimum wage earner discussion"--but I don't see it in there.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby pacino » Mon Nov 10, 2014 11:11:22

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby dajafi » Mon Nov 10, 2014 12:33:55

Ok, some minimum wage info:

Minimum wage myths (USDOL)

The typical minimum wage worker is not a high-school student earning weekend pocket money. In fact, 88 percent of those who would benefit from a federal minimum wage increase are age 20 or older, and 55 percent are women.

About 53 percent of all minimum wage earners are full-time workers, and minimum wage workers contributed almost half (46 percent) of their household's wage and salary income in 2011. Moreover, more than 88 percent of those who would benefit from raising the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10 are working adults, and 55 percent are working women.


2014 job creation faster in states that raised the MW (CEPR)

At the beginning of 2014, 13 states increased their minimum wage. Of these 13 states, four passed legislation raising their minimum wage (Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, and Rhode Island). In the other nine, their minimum wage automatically increased in line with inflation at the beginning of the year (Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Oregon, Vermont, and Washington state).

As CEPR noted in March and April posts, economists at Goldman Sachs conducted a simple evaluation of the impact of these state minimum-wage increases. GS compared the employment change between December and January in the 13 states where the minimum wage increased with the changes in the remainder of the states. The GS analysis found that the states where the minimum wage went up had faster employment growth than the states where the minimum wage remained at its 2013 level.

When we updated the GS analysis using additional employment data from the BLS, we saw the same pattern: employment growth was higher in states where the minimum wage went up. While this kind of simple exercise can't establish causality, it does provide evidence against theoretical negative employment effects of minimum-wage increases.

Of the 13 states that increased their minimum wage in early 2014, all but one (New Jersey) are seeing employment gains. Furthermore, nine of the remaining 12 states are above the median for this period. The average change in employment for the 13 states that increased their minimum wage is +0.99% while the remaining states have an average employment change of +0.68%.


Seattle Times article summarizing research on the MW

Ten years ago, San Francisco raised its minimum wage from $6.75 to $8.50 an hour, a 26 percent increase. Since then, it has gone up at regular intervals to its current $10.74 an hour, the highest big-city starting wage in the country.

The city has slapped other mandates on businesses, including paid sick leave and a requirement to provide health-care coverage or pay into a pool for uninsured residents.

What have the effects been on employment?

Almost none, according to economists at the University of California, Berkeley, who have studied San Francisco, eight other cities that raised their minimum wages in the past decade, and 21 states with higher base pay than the federal minimum.

Businesses absorbed the costs through lower turnover, small price increases at restaurants, which have a high concentration of low-wage workers, and higher worker productivity, the researchers found.

“Our data show that an increase up to $13 an hour has no measurable effect on employment,” said Michael Reich, a Berkeley economics professor with the Institute for Research on Labor and Employment.

Santa Fe allowed the phase-in of its 65 percent minimum-wage increase for businesses with fewer than 25 employees. For larger businesses, the minimum jumped from $5.15 to $8.50 an hour in 2004. (It now sits at $10.66.)

A study two years later by the University of New Mexico Bureau of Business and Economic Research found “no discernible impact on employment per firm.” Employment in the city actually went up slightly, and did better when compared with Albuquerque, which didn’t raise its minimum wage.

The study was done by Nicholas Potter, now a researcher at Washington State University. He said some businesses in Santa Fe did close and some said it hurt their competitiveness. But workers were overwhelmingly positive about the pay hike. And the fear of massive restaurant closures didn’t happen, he said, though the cost of eating out did go up some.


Who Makes Minimum Wage? (NYT)

All the statistics here apply to those who would be affected by the proposed increase to raise the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10. The analysis also includes a number of workers making slightly above $10.10, who, history suggests, would receive a raise if the minimum wage were increased.

Minimum-wage workers are older than they used to be. Their average age is 35, and 88 percent are at least 20 years old. Half are older than 30, and about a third are at least 40.

These patterns are somewhat new. In 1979, 27 percent of low-wage workers (those making $10.10 per hour or less in today’s dollars) were teenagers, compared with 12 percent in 2013, according to John Schmitt and Janelle Jones

They’re split fairly evenly between full-timers and part-timers. Most — 54 percent — work full-time schedules (at least 35 hours per week), and another 32 percent work at least half time (20-34 hours per week).

Many have kids. About one-quarter (27 percent) of these low-wage workers are parents, compared with 34 percent of all workers. In all, 19 percent of children in the United States have a parent who would benefit from the increase.

Most are women. Women make up 48 percent of the work force yet 55 percent of the would-be beneficiaries of the increase in the minimum wage.

Most are white, but minorities are overrepresented. Hispanic workers account for 16 percent of the work force but 24 percent of those who would be affected by the wage increase. For African-Americans, the comparable shares are 11 percent of the work force and 15 percent of those who would gain from the increase.

Their earnings are a big part of their family budgets. The average worker in this group brings home half of his or her household’s earnings; 19 percent of those who would get the raise are sole earners. Parents who would benefit from the increase bring home an even larger share of their families’ earnings: 60 percent.


Glad I did this… it's been a few years since I looked closely at much of this.

I probably mentioned here that about seven years ago, I had the unpleasant experience of seeing something I wrote about youth employment in NYC misused by a right-wing columnist as an argument *against* raising the minimum wage. This really sucked (particularly since they didn't print my letter pointing out what they did… though the paper, the New York Sun, folded as a daily ;)), but the mischaracterization had a germ of truth in that I do think the tradeoff of lower wages for more low-income young people getting the experience of work, and starting to accumulate social capital to help them get employed and move forward, is a good one. As I think I mentioned upthread, I'd be happy to see a reasonable sub-minimum for under-18/non-primary earners, just to get them in the game.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Bucky » Mon Nov 10, 2014 14:15:14

30% less will have health care by the end of 2015 than originally projected! An outright PAR-TAY on fox news! Fewer insured! YAY!!

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby CalvinBall » Mon Nov 10, 2014 14:23:18

how many people were projected to be insuranceless and how many still remain uninsured?

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby pacino » Mon Nov 10, 2014 14:24:17

yes, don't allow it to work as intended and less people will be covered. the commonwealth of PA alone has 600K uninsured that WOULD'VE been insured had we expanded Medicaid a year ago instead of waiting.
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