Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Oct 30, 2013 11:46:12

Werthless wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:Werthless, I'm sure you realize that the first law signed by W was the Bankruptcy Law overhaul. His first priority was to make it much more difficult for people to declare bankruptcy, thereby "subverting" decades of established law. By the way, one of his biggest campaign contributors was MBNA, exceeded only by ENRON, before it's demise. Just a coincidence, I'm sure.

Signing a law passed by Congress is much different from what Obama did. I'm sure you realize that.


I do. The former hurt America and the latter helped.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 30, 2013 12:10:33

Here's a good summary of the political nature of the executive branch's foray into the bankruptcy proceedings of GM and Chrysler.

[C]alling the bailouts “successful” is to whitewash the diversion of funds from the Troubled Assets Relief Program by two administrations for purposes unauthorized by Congress; the looting and redistribution of claims against GM’s and Chrysler’s assets from shareholders and debt-holders to pensioners; the use of questionable tactics to bully stakeholders into accepting terms to facilitate politically desirable outcomes; the unprecedented encroachment by the executive branch into the finest details of the bankruptcy process to orchestrate what bankruptcy law experts describe as “Sham” sales of Old Chrysler to New Chrysler and Old GM to New GM; the costs of denying Ford and the other more deserving automakers the spoils of competition; the costs of insulating irresponsible actors, such as the United Autoworkers, from the outcomes of an apolitical bankruptcy proceeding; the diminution of U.S. moral authority to counsel foreign governments against similar market interventions; and the lingering uncertainty about the direction of policy under the current administration that pervades the business environment to this very day.


Other than that, it was a success, since the unions didn't have to concede as much as they would have if an actual bankruptcy proceeding were allowed to take place. Oh, and it has cost US taxpayers $10B.

summary

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Oct 30, 2013 12:57:29

Werthless wrote:Here's a good summary of the political nature of the executive branch's foray into the bankruptcy proceedings of GM and Chrysler.

[C]alling the bailouts “successful” is to whitewash the diversion of funds from the Troubled Assets Relief Program by two administrations for purposes unauthorized by Congress; the looting and redistribution of claims against GM’s and Chrysler’s assets from shareholders and debt-holders to pensioners; the use of questionable tactics to bully stakeholders into accepting terms to facilitate politically desirable outcomes; the unprecedented encroachment by the executive branch into the finest details of the bankruptcy process to orchestrate what bankruptcy law experts describe as “Sham” sales of Old Chrysler to New Chrysler and Old GM to New GM; the costs of denying Ford and the other more deserving automakers the spoils of competition; the costs of insulating irresponsible actors, such as the United Autoworkers, from the outcomes of an apolitical bankruptcy proceeding; the diminution of U.S. moral authority to counsel foreign governments against similar market interventions; and the lingering uncertainty about the direction of policy under the current administration that pervades the business environment to this very day.


Other than that, it was a success, since the unions didn't have to concede as much as they would have if an actual bankruptcy proceeding were allowed to take place. Oh, and it has cost US taxpayers $10B.

summary


I have neither the time nor inclination to respond in detail to such a predictable screed by the CATO Institute, except to note the irony -- no, the unmitigated gall -- of conservatives accusing others of "looting and redistribution," "bullying stakeholders" (remember, employees are "stakeholders," too), "unprecedented encroachment by the executive branch" and, perhaps most outrageous of all, decrying "insulating irresponsible actors" in the same breath as TARP.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Grotewold » Wed Oct 30, 2013 12:58:23

Image

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Wed Oct 30, 2013 13:15:10

JFLNYC wrote:
RichmondPhilsFan wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:Werthless, I'm sure you realize that the first law signed by W was the Bankruptcy Law overhaul. His first priority was to make it much more difficult for people to declare bankruptcy, thereby "subverting" decades of established law. By the way, one of his biggest campaign contributors was MBNA, exceeded only by ENRON, before it's demise. Just a coincidence, I'm sure.

What are you talking about? BAPCPA was a 2005 bill. Clinton pocket vetoed the bill in 2000, and nothing else made it to the President's desk in the meantime.


I should have said the first bill after he was re-elected.

Do you really think when he signed it makes any difference at all as to the substance of the law and his backing of it?


You seemed to be making some grandiose point about Bush's priorities vis a vis the timing.

If you think I'm actually defending Bush, you're nuts (particularly on this point). I'm a creditors bankruptcy attorney, and I think BAPCPA sucks.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Oct 30, 2013 13:26:16

RichmondPhilsFan wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:
RichmondPhilsFan wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:Werthless, I'm sure you realize that the first law signed by W was the Bankruptcy Law overhaul. His first priority was to make it much more difficult for people to declare bankruptcy, thereby "subverting" decades of established law. By the way, one of his biggest campaign contributors was MBNA, exceeded only by ENRON, before it's demise. Just a coincidence, I'm sure.

What are you talking about? BAPCPA was a 2005 bill. Clinton pocket vetoed the bill in 2000, and nothing else made it to the President's desk in the meantime.


I should have said the first bill after he was re-elected.

Do you really think when he signed it makes any difference at all as to the substance of the law and his backing of it?


You seemed to be making some grandiose point about Bush's priorities vis a vis the timing.

If you think I'm actually defending Bush, you're nuts (particularly on this point). I'm a creditors bankruptcy attorney, and I think BAPCPA sucks.


I think if you consider my post in the context it was written you'll see it was intended to note the irony of Werthless' charge that Obama "subverted" decades of established bankruptcy law. And, no, I don't think you're defending Bush. Rather, I think your primary goal was to point out a mistake.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Wed Oct 30, 2013 14:41:22

Libertarians are young white males who are economically more conservative than Republicans and a more nuanced, mixed bag on social issues, but a majority still oppose same sex marriage?

and who do they like:
Among voters who identify with or lean toward the Republican Party, support is spread fairly evenly across the potential 2016 presidential field in a head-to-head question. Eighteen percent prefer Governor Chris Christie, 18% prefer Congressman Paul Ryan, 15% prefer former Governor Jeb Bush, 14% prefer Senator Marco Rubio, 11% prefer Senator Rand Paul, and 11% prefer Senator Ted Cruz.

Among libertarian voters who identify with or lean toward the Republican Party, Paul (26%) was the most popular potential candidate, while 18% prefer Cruz, 16% prefer Rubio, and 13% prefer Ryan. Fewer libertarian voters prefer Christie (10%) or Bush (6%).
Among Tea Party voters who identify or lean Republican, Cruz is the most preferred candidate (22%), followed by Rubio (18%), Ryan (14%), and Paul (13%). Roughly 1-in-10 Tea Party voters prefer Bush (11%) or Christie (12%).
White evangelical Protestant voters have less clear candidate preferences than libertarian and Tea Party voters. Among white evangelical Protestant voters who identify or lean Republican, top preferences include Ryan (19%), Christie (16%), and Bush (15%), while roughly 1-in-10 prefer Rubio (13%), Paul (11%), or Cruz (10%)
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Wed Oct 30, 2013 14:44:07

Texas AG must sign affidavit that he is indeed himself before he can vote:
AUSTIN-Sen. Wendy Davis isn’t the only big-name candidate for governor needing an affidavit to vote.

Attorney General Greg Abbott, the Republican who’s expected to get the party nod to face the Democratic senator next year, also will have to attest to his identity when he votes, according to campaign spokesman Matt Hirsch.

That’s because, like Davis, Abbott has a different name on his driver license than that on the voter rolls.

On his driver license, he’s Gregory Wayne Abbott, Hirsch said. In the voter registration file, he’s simply Greg Abbott.

Under the law (through an amendment offered by Davis, D-Fort Worth, to the measure she opposed), voters whose recorded names differ slightly in this way can vote if they sign an affidavit.

Abbott has championed the voter ID measure requiring a photo ID to cast an in-person ballot.

He plans to vote early for the Nov. 5 election, Hirsch said.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Wed Oct 30, 2013 14:48:08

oops, let's still be outraged:
U.S. intelligence officials studied the document published by Le Monde and have determined that it wasn’t assembled by the NSA. Rather, the document appears to be a slide that was assembled based on NSA data received from French intelligence, a U.S. official said.

Based on an analysis of the document, the U.S. concluded that the phone records the French had collected were actually from outside of France, and then were shared with the U.S. The data don’t show that the French spied on their own people inside France.

U.S. intelligence officials haven’t seen the documents cited by El Mundo but the data appear to come from similar information the NSA obtained from Spanish intelligence agencies documenting their collection efforts abroad, officials said.


Both the reports in Le Monde and El Mundo were co-written by Glenn Greenwald, the journalist who originally revealed the extent of the NSA's surveillance programs based on the documents from Snowden.

well, that explains the misinformation and almost deliberate misreporting. we all do it and we all help each other.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Wed Oct 30, 2013 14:55:09



Compared to the general population, libertarians are significantly more likely to be non-Hispanic white, male, and young. Nearly all libertarians are non-Hispanic whites (94%), more than two-thirds (68%) are men, and more than 6-in-10 (62%) are under the age of 50.

The party affiliation of libertarians skews significantly more Republican than Democratic. Close to half (45%) of libertarians identify as Republican, compared to only 5% who identify as Democrat.


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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby cshort » Wed Oct 30, 2013 15:58:50

The NSA spied on the Pope during the conclave. FFS.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Wed Oct 30, 2013 16:24:55

cshort wrote:The NSA spied on the Pope during the conclave. FFS.


This reminds me of a recurring late-July daydream I have re: tapping the cellphones of all MLB GMs.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Wed Oct 30, 2013 16:37:35

dajafi wrote:In terms of how to right-size government... I keep coming back to this idea of radical decentralization. It makes more and more sense as the country geographically self-sorts by ideology: keep a national currency, defense, and the constitutional framework, and otherwise devolve as much as possible to the state and local levels. What's lost in efficiencies of scale--a real concern--IMO would be more than gained in citizen buy-in.

I think devolutionary federalism is a concept mostly associated with the right, but otherwise I don't get why more liberals aren't on board. We have bigger government in NYC because most of us think we need it to regulate complicated systems and uncountable commercial interactions, etc. Government is and should be smaller in those low-density red states with more senators than congressional reps. Why we should tell them what to do or vice-versa is beyond me.

Conceptually, I'm not willing to trade the civil rights of out groups in the South and mid-west for better government where I live.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Oct 30, 2013 17:31:45

cshort wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:
Now here is a lie with some teeth to it.


Well if you're digging up old chestnuts




The fact that you think those two things are equal speaks volumes. People thought it was stupid then and they still do now. Bush's lies got thousands of people killed.

Anyway, it really doesn't matter. I just take issue with republicans falling all over themselves saying that this is a failure before it even starts, ignoring the problems rolling out Medicare Part D and ignoring every bold faced lie of their guy's administration that was just a few years ago. They want this to fail..... actually WANT it. That's a pretty shitty thing when you think about it. I don't know how else to interpret some of the outright lies being said from the right at the moment. Democrats backed Bush after 9/11, even though it went against their grain at times. As much as I thought some of Bush's policies were horrible, I never WANTED them to fail. But that's the modern GOP. They WANT government to fail so that people won't trust it and will agree to less and less government oversight of such horrible things as clean air and water. There's no doubt in my mind that the Tea Party nut jobs would stand on the sidelines and applaud a revolution if they could somehow engineer it. Sorry, but the GOP is a fucking joke at the moment. Actualy, they are far too dangerous to be a joke. They're a calamity.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Oct 30, 2013 17:39:06

Wizlah wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:Newsflash: We spy on our allies and they spy on us.


Keeping a phone tap one of the leaders of your allies for up to ten years isn't spying. It's indiscriminate surveillance. And saying it's just spying is a poor excuse in light of the volume of indiscriminate trawling. 60 million phone records of spanish people is not spying. It's indiscriminate surveillance. GCHQ and the NSA's trawling of any electronic communication that used the transatlantic fibre optic cable is not spying, it's indiscriminate surveillance.

Arguing that this is all 'just spying' when in actual fact you are breaking the rights of foreign citizens by trawling through anything we send or browse is insulting. It's an attempt, at best, to ignore the seriousness of what's been done. At worst, it's an attempt to trivialise and ridicule those who have unearthed these facts. It reeks of the worst kind of entitlement i.e. 'we do it because we can.'



I'm not defending it. I'm just saying that foreign governments, even our friends, also spy on us. They don't have the same abilities we do, but come on, you think Germany wouldn't do the same thing if they had the capability? I'm not trivialising it, I think it's stupid and counterproductive. If I had my way, we'd flush the entire intelligence and defence community, or at least big portions of it, right down the toilet.

Anyway, I don't want to be perceived as defending it, so I'll stay out of the conversation. I agree that it shouldn't be done. Really. And if the white house was in on that decision, then they should play a political price for it. The fact that Dick Cheney thinks it's a good idea says a lot.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Oct 30, 2013 17:56:09

jerseyhoya wrote:I appreciate that. The common defense in this thread from liberals has been "BUT BUSH", and it's good to mix up which previous Republican the left bashed for doing (or not knowing) XYZ so of course it's OK that Obama is now doing (or not knowing) XYZ.



No, it's just that we had to listen to people from the right defend absolutely crazy shit, so it rings a bit hollow when they complain about some of this stuff. Where were your complaints during the Medicare Part D rollout? That plan cost taxpayers a ridiculous amount of money and had all kinds of problems at startup. Where was the outrage and deep concern?

And it's not ok that Obama has done some of the things he's done. I've been disappointed in much of his presidency, but let's face it, he wasn't given much to work with after your team crashed the economy, started two wars, and alienated most of the planet.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Oct 30, 2013 17:58:29

jerseyhoya wrote:I appreciate that. The common defense in this thread from liberals has been "BUT BUSH", and it's good to mix up which previous Republican the left bashed for doing (or not knowing) XYZ so of course it's OK that Obama is now doing (or not knowing) XYZ.



No, it's just that we had to listen to people from the right defend absolutely crazy shit, so it rings a bit hollow when they complain about some of this stuff. Where were your complaints during the Medicare Part D rollout? That plan cost taxpayers a ridiculous amount of money and had all kinds of problems at startup. Where was the outrage and deep concern?

And it's not ok that Obama has done some of the things he's done. I've been disappointed in much of his presidency, but let's face it, he wasn't given much to work with after your team crashed the economy, started two wars, and alienated most of the planet.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Oct 30, 2013 18:04:32

pacino wrote:
i don't think he's that great of a president, to be honest. i think he's done some obvious things, some long-term decent things, but is very defensive and afraid of confrontation or holding to long-held convictions for hte sake of some false civility/bipartisanship that the other side will never allow. he's nowhere near the worst president of my lifetime, though.
.


I remember when he took office there was talk about how he was a student of history and that he would try to emulate Lincoln, bringing the two sides together by including the defeated side in decisions about how to go forward. During practically any other time in history, this would have been a good idea. But his opponents had/have no interest in seeing the country do well if it also makes him look good. They want him to fail more than they want the country to do well. A few of them have even let it slip in public comments, not that you need a smoking gun. It's pretty obvious.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Oct 30, 2013 18:07:10

Werthless wrote:
Other than that, it was a success, since the unions didn't have to concede as much as they would have if an actual bankruptcy proceeding were allowed to take place. Oh, and it has cost US taxpayers $10B.

summary


it cost taxpayers 10B, less however much UI/welfare/social services would have been required to support many, many people pitched out on their asses by "deserving automakers"

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Oct 30, 2013 18:13:54

cshort wrote:
With the ACA creating all of these sound bites, the last shutdown will be a distant memory. This has much more of a direct impact on the average citizen


no. a small single-digit % of people have individual health insurance policies and/or need coverage available via public HIX. On balance, people in that group will benefit from ACA. It sucks that ANY have to experience dislocation, but much of that is due to insurers' decisions in states whose insurance commissioners do not, or are not authorized to, scrutinize insurers' rates. 3 guesses which states are most likely to have toothless insurance commissioners....

cshort wrote:Hoyer came out today and admitted they knew all along people would lose their healthcare This will be all over the air in Oct.
Hoyer's "news" may have been news in, say, 2010. That "normal" market churn in the individual market - a rat's nest for a generation or so - would mean 50-70% of policyholders would be shopping for new policies now was known at least that long ago. In other words, that "news" is not news, except to bleating redstate congresspersons, and maybe Stennie Hoyer.
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