Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby CalvinBall » Fri Oct 19, 2012 06:28:23

@jerseyhoya why do you think Romney wins Colorado? Obama is ahead in most of the recent polls. One he is up 5. Sure it will be close, but there isn't enough evidence that Romney can take the state as this is for a state like Florida. And as far as Virginia, it looks like a coin toss at this point.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Fri Oct 19, 2012 06:49:27

So the GOP guy was destroying voter registration forms in VA. Isn't that like 100 times worse than what ACORN did?

I anxiously await the deafening howl of voter fraud from the GOP supporters saying how their party is trying to steal the election.

**crickets**

Maybe if the guy was poor or black it would be more of a big deal.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby CalvinBall » Fri Oct 19, 2012 09:34:20

The first day of early voting in North Carolina exceeded in number the first day in 2008. Might mean good things for the president.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby TomatoPie » Fri Oct 19, 2012 09:52:31

Monkeyboy wrote:So the GOP guy was destroying voter registration forms in VA. Isn't that like 100 times worse than what ACORN did?

I anxiously await the deafening howl of voter fraud from the GOP supporters saying how their party is trying to steal the election.

**crickets**

Maybe if the guy was poor or black it would be more of a big deal.


What is known is that this guy was hired by the GOP to register voters. GOP voters, you might think. It's criminal to accept a voter registration form and not turn it in, so tossing them in the dumpster is surely a serious misdeed.

What we don't know is why. Did he turn in GOP registrations and toss Dems (the form does not indicate a party affiliation). Was he tossing GOP voters because he is a Democrat? Was he simply lazy, evil, stupid, or all three?

There's nothing so far to label this "voter suppression" by the GOP. But you wouldn't know that by reading librul blogs
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Oct 19, 2012 09:53:46

CalvinBall wrote:@jerseyhoya why do you think Romney wins Colorado? Obama is ahead in most of the recent polls. One he is up 5. Sure it will be close, but there isn't enough evidence that Romney can take the state as this is for a state like Florida. And as far as Virginia, it looks like a coin toss at this point.

I haven't seen any with him up 5%. Seems like they're just about tied, and I think PPP has been off (too Dem) on Colorado all year. CO and VA are both very close and could go either way. Romney is favored in both though at the jerseyhoya sportsbook.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:15:00

jerseyhoya wrote:Nate's a lot smarter than I am, but if the election was held today I think Romney would win the popular vote and would probably win the Electoral College as well. I think Mitt would win at least 257 EVs (NC, FL, VA, CO), and then would only need Ohio or Wisconsin and Iowa or New Hampshire. I've heard whispers from people I used to work with that Romney is at least tied in both Ohio and Wisconsin. There's a serious lack of legitimate polling going on at the state level, and the whole Obama EC lock theory is built on a foundation of sand. The Gallup 7% lead is a mirage, but I think most of the GOP professional class feels pretty damn good about where this race is right now. The idea that Obama is better than 2-1 to win is completely fucking insane.

I'm having a real hard time putting more faith in campaign polls than professional polls. And I imagine most people doing the ground work are very optimistic about their campaign's chances.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby traderdave » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:17:45

jerseyhoya wrote:Newspaper endorsements generally don't mean much, but I kinda liked this one from the Orlando Sentinel. Hits the high points on why disgruntled 2008 Obama voters should switch.


I think that was a very well stated endorsement; not good enough for me to vote Romney but it was still very balanced.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby JUburton » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:25:07

jerseyhoya wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:@jerseyhoya why do you think Romney wins Colorado? Obama is ahead in most of the recent polls. One he is up 5. Sure it will be close, but there isn't enough evidence that Romney can take the state as this is for a state like Florida. And as far as Virginia, it looks like a coin toss at this point.

I haven't seen any with him up 5%. Seems like they're just about tied, and I think PPP has been off (too Dem) on Colorado all year. CO and VA are both very close and could go either way. Romney is favored in both though at the jerseyhoya sportsbook.
Silver's got Obama at 57% in CO and 50.1% in VA. You're right...they're basically toss ups.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:37:54

traderdave wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Newspaper endorsements generally don't mean much, but I kinda liked this one from the Orlando Sentinel. Hits the high points on why disgruntled 2008 Obama voters should switch.


I think that was a very well stated endorsement; not good enough for me to vote Romney but it was still very balanced.


okay, now you guys are freaking me out a little. The OS "endorsement" is essentially a caution; "we don't like the incumbent, & here's why; we're opting for the challenger essentially only because he's not the incumbent; and we're explicitly prepared to flush the challenger should he win and eff up".

How is that "well stated","balanced", or more importantly, persuasive in any fashion?
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby traderdave » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:51:50

drsmooth wrote:
traderdave wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Newspaper endorsements generally don't mean much, but I kinda liked this one from the Orlando Sentinel. Hits the high points on why disgruntled 2008 Obama voters should switch.


I think that was a very well stated endorsement; not good enough for me to vote Romney but it was still very balanced.


okay, now you guys are freaking me out a little. The OS "endorsement" is essentially a caution; "we don't like the incumbent, & here's why; we're opting for the challenger essentially only because he's not the incumbent; and we're explicitly prepared to flush the challenger should he win and eff up".

How is that "well stated","balanced", or more importantly, persuasive in any fashion?


Well, I said that it was "not good enough for me to vote Romney" so it was NOT persuasive (for me). It was well stated and balanced in that it actually had a little bit of meat to it rather than the usual partisan blather about nothing. It laid out the case for Romney by noting Obama's shortcomings, as well as his successes, and noting Romney's presumed leadership abilities while still acknowledging his faults. Like JH, I don't think the endorsement means much more than the paper it was printed on but, as endorsements go, it was readable.

All in my ever humble opinion, to steal a line from JH.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:56:44

traderdave wrote:Well, I said that it was "not good enough for me to vote Romney" so it was NOT persuasive (for me). It was well stated and balanced in that it actually had a little bit of meat to it rather than the usual partisan blather about nothing. It laid out the case for Romney by noting Obama's shortcomings, as well as his successes, and noting Romney's presumed leadership abilities while still acknowledging his faults. Like JH, I don't think the endorsement means much more than the paper it was printed on but, as endorsements go, it was readable.


well if this was a tolerable example, you guys are pals for warning me off ever wasting any time reading any newspaper endorsements of politicians ever again
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby JUburton » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:02:01

traderdave wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Newspaper endorsements generally don't mean much, but I kinda liked this one from the Orlando Sentinel. Hits the high points on why disgruntled 2008 Obama voters should switch.


I think that was a very well stated endorsement; not good enough for me to vote Romney but it was still very balanced.
The economy is stronger than that statement makes it out to be and there are a ton of signs that it keeps getting stronger. Unemployment is falling, consumer confidence is rising, housing is rising, retail is increasing. All U numbers are falling, not just the U3. It's obviously up for debate, but saying 'well it should be better and would be under Romney' is speculation. The fact is that it's improving, whether it could be improving faster is harder to decide. Things are going pretty well and saying 'they're not going well enough' is an easy attack that can't be substantiated.

In regard to bipartisanship, saying 'well, Clinton did it!' isn't an apt comparison. I'd bet that no Republican congress has been as obstinate as this one. There was no tea party contingent to cater to in the 90s and running a budget surplus while working across the aisle is a lot easier in some of the best economic times in history rather than in arguably the worst recession since the depression. Pinning 'coming dangerously close to a default' on Obama is laughable.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby JFLNYC » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:02:19

Posters with a humble opinion around here are about as numerous as Lewis Black's honest men.

Lewis Black

(Actually just wanted an excuse to post the video again since it's so hilarious)
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:18:03

TomatoPie wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:So the GOP guy was destroying voter registration forms in VA. Isn't that like 100 times worse than what ACORN did?

I anxiously await the deafening howl of voter fraud from the GOP supporters saying how their party is trying to steal the election.

**crickets**

Maybe if the guy was poor or black it would be more of a big deal.


What is known is that this guy was hired by the GOP to register voters. GOP voters, you might think. It's criminal to accept a voter registration form and not turn it in, so tossing them in the dumpster is surely a serious misdeed.

What we don't know is why. Did he turn in GOP registrations and toss Dems (the form does not indicate a party affiliation). Was he tossing GOP voters because he is a Democrat? Was he simply lazy, evil, stupid, or all three?

There's nothing so far to label this "voter suppression" by the GOP. But you wouldn't know that by reading librul blogs


RNC Official Arrested for Trashing Voter Registrations in VA Worked for Romney Consultant, 'Fired' GOP Operative Nathan Sproul

A man originally reported to have been working for the Republican Party of Virginia was arrested by the Rockingham County, VA Sheriff's office on Thursday and charged with attempting to destroy voter registration forms by tossing them into a dumpster behind a shopping center in Harrisonburg, VA

...

But there is more to the story, as evidence emerges to document that it ties in to a still-expanding nationwide GOP Voter Registration Fraud Scandal that The BRAD BLOG first began reporting in late September, after we'd learned that the Republican Party of Florida had turned in more than 100 fraudulent voter registration forms in Palm Beach County. The story has continued to widen ever since, to a dozen Florida counties and several other states, now including Virginia, and even to the upper-echelons of the Republican Party itself

...

He was first hired, says Tanfani, by Strategic Allied Consulting, the firm owned by the disgraced GOP operative and paid Mitt Romney political consultant, Nathan Sproul. Even before this year's registration fraud scandal which began with Strategic in Florida, Sproul's companies have long been accused of, though never charged with, destroying Democratic voter registrations in election after election and state after state, going back to at least 2004. Despite that, Sproul was hired by the Bush/Cheney campaign in 2004, by the McCain/Palin Campaign in 2008, and by Romney during the Republican Primary cycle
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:21:06

romney picked, uh, tommy franks as his top military advisor
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby Youseff » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:29:24

And he has John Bolton as a foreign policy adviser. I'm not sure how anyone sees those 2 people as a positive.
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:37:41

The pointing to the Clinton era as some kind of golden age for bipartisanship is pretty risible. You probably can pinpoint the moment that the Republicans began their march toward total political nihilism at the 103rd congress (1993-94), when they gave not one House vote for the budget that spurred the greatest period of prosperity in US history and killed healthcare because Bill Kristol thought its passage might restore the New Deal coalition.

There was a brief period, from about 1995 to 1997, where the Clinton White House and the Republican congress did some useful things together: welfare reform, the Children's Health Insurance Program, etc plus deficit reduction by inaction. But that was because their political self-interest briefly aligned, particularly in 1996 when it became clear Clinton would beat Dole and Gingrich decided his priority was to keep his Speakership.

Since 2000, we've had pretty much every division of government possible: all D, all R, R president/D Congress, D president/R Congress. (Yes, the current congress is split. But the new use of the filibuster to stop everything renders the D Senate majority pretty close to meaningless.) The thru-line is that the Republicans now act pretty much solely and overtly in (what they perceive to be) their own political self-interest. I doubt that will change whatever happens next month. If Romney wins, they'll steamroll; if Obama wins, they'll obstruct. This makes it tough for representative democracy to function, if you think that requires compromise. It also means, I think sadly, that appeals such as the endorsement of the Florida paper are pointless: vote for the Rs if you like what they want to do, not because an R president will compromise. He won't. Even if he wanted to, the maniacs who run that party (and who happen not to trust this guy anyway for his past deviations) mostly won't let him.

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Fri Oct 19, 2012 12:34:39

Barack Obama ‏@BarackObama
“If you say you’re for equal pay for equal work but you refuse to say whether you’d sign a bill that protects it, you might have #Romnesia.”

heh
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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby traderdave » Fri Oct 19, 2012 12:44:58

I just got finished watching Romney's performance at the Al Smith dinner and it was actually pretty funny. Romney is not going to replace Jeff Ross as Roastmaster General anytime soon but he did a nice job overall. I was a bit confused though as I think Romney completely missed the point of the occassion. As noted a couple pages back, I thought these were really supposed to be an opportunity for guests to dig on themselves. Obama made two cracks at Romney and one crack at Ryan; there were a couple at others (including the good one on Bloomburg) but everything else was focused on himself. Romney, OTOH, made it a nine-minute roast of Obama and Biden.

Are there actual "rules" for those sorts of events or is it all kind of "unwritten"? Not trying to sound like a baby but Romney's bit really seemed to be in poor taste considering it is supposed to be a charity event. Now, back to more important issues, like that OS endorsement of Romney :wink:

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Re: Binders Full of Woman: Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Fri Oct 19, 2012 12:53:13

TomatoPie wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:So the GOP guy was destroying voter registration forms in VA. Isn't that like 100 times worse than what ACORN did?

I anxiously await the deafening howl of voter fraud from the GOP supporters saying how their party is trying to steal the election.

**crickets**

Maybe if the guy was poor or black it would be more of a big deal.


What is known is that this guy was hired by the GOP to register voters. GOP voters, you might think. It's criminal to accept a voter registration form and not turn it in, so tossing them in the dumpster is surely a serious misdeed.

What we don't know is why. Did he turn in GOP registrations and toss Dems (the form does not indicate a party affiliation). Was he tossing GOP voters because he is a Democrat? Was he simply lazy, evil, stupid, or all three?

There's nothing so far to label this "voter suppression" by the GOP. But you wouldn't know that by reading librul blogs



My point was that the GOP would have said it was voter fraud and that dems were trying to steal the election, if this guy had been affiliated with the democratic office. Look at how they treated the ACORN situation. They pretty much lied about what really happened in order to keep pushing their voting fraud legislations around the country. Now it's a guy from the GOP doing it and the cries of voter fraud have gone quiet. Did they change their minds on the issue? I realize Romney can't make up his mind on anything....

Or maybe this company is committing fraud around the country just to get people thinking voting fraud is a serious problem. /conspiracy theory
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