td11 wrote:

CalvinBall wrote:holy fuck stewart just owned romney and the talking heads who have his back. he got into his serious mode which he doesnt really do that often. so good.

Despite what appears to be a plump bank account and an in-house production studio that cranks out multiple commercials a day, Mr. Romney’s campaign has been tightfisted with its advertising budget, leaving him at a disadvantage in several crucial states as President Obama blankets them with ads.

One major reason appears to be that Mr. Romney’s campaign finances have been significantly less robust than recent headlines would suggest. Much of the more than $300 million the campaign reported raising this summer is earmarked for the Republican National Committee, state Republican organizations and Congressional races, limiting the money Mr. Romney’s own campaign has to spend.

...

Mr. Romney’s absence from the air made sense before the party’s convention in late August, since the campaign’s cash flow became so slow over the summer that it was forced to borrow $20 million to carry it through the event, when his formal nomination freed up tens of millions of dollars for the general election.

Yet at the same time Romney aides worked hard to project the image of a fund-raising machine far outpacing the president’s.

Romney aides released informal dollar figures that lumped several pools of money — some available for his use, others not — into a single figure, providing a perception greater than reality: $106 million in June and $101 million in July, far more than Mr. Obama and the Democrats.

Yet those figures obscured the fact that most of the money Mr. Romney was raising was reserved for those other political entities like the Republican National Committee.

And the party committee, which Mr. Romney helped propel to record-breaking receipts in July, is allowed to spend only about $22 million on advertising that is coordinated with Mr. Romney.

Even now, a large though unknown portion of Mr. Romney’s fund-raising is not going directly into his campaign account.

A closer look at Mr. Romney’s own filings revealed that Mr. Obama, while trailing in overall party fund-raising, was pulling far more money than Mr. Romney into his campaign account, the most useful and flexible dollars a candidate has to spend, in part because of strong collection from small donors who could give again and again without hitting federal limits.

But if the trend continues, the question may no longer be whether Republicans can win the Senate — but how vulnerable they are to losing the House.

But the analysis that says Republicans have maxed out their white support and can't possibly go on without some major schism is a little pat, no?

Here's my reaction when I encounter talk about dire straits for the Republican Party (talk that seems to be everywhere in the last month): liberals sometimes don't realize how fundamentally conservative the U.S. is. We don't have the leftist tradition they have in the U.K. or Canada. We spent the Cold War getting rid of all that. The U.S. is a machine that turns young liberals into old Republicans, and any concern for the future of the GOP is absurd.

CalvinBall wrote:From Silver's latest article: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.co ... andidates/

But if the trend continues, the question may no longer be whether Republicans can win the Senate — but how vulnerable they are to losing the House.

VoxOrion wrote:This is a friendly reminder to stay civil and remember that this is just the internet and most of you like each other when you aren't posting in this thread (except when posting in this thread has made you dislike one another which is a good argument against having it in the first place /brokenrecord).

td11 wrote:i saw this comment on another board, in response to republicans having a demographic issue in the future,

But the analysis that says Republicans have maxed out their white support and can't possibly go on without some major schism is a little pat, no?

Here's my reaction when I encounter talk about dire straits for the Republican Party (talk that seems to be everywhere in the last month): liberals sometimes don't realize how fundamentally conservative the U.S. is. We don't have the leftist tradition they have in the U.K. or Canada. We spent the Cold War getting rid of all that. The U.S. is a machine that turns young liberals into old Republicans, and any concern for the future of the GOP is absurd.

damn

td11 wrote:thanks paul, i feel better