Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos: A politics thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Dec 06, 2010 19:32:41

Ezra on the tax deal

That payroll tax cut should mean an extra couple of hundred for me next above the current tax credit. More for people who actually make money. So go buy things and stimulate the economy.

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Postby pacino » Mon Dec 06, 2010 19:37:58

this unemployment getting cut off, then extended, then cut off, then extended thing really makes a hell of a lot more work for me.

other than that, i'm disappointed but at least this is better than what i expected
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Dec 06, 2010 19:43:23

Well it's a 13 month extension this time, so less work for you in the future.

I forget who the poster was that said Republicans saying they'd block unemployment insurance extensions was a negotiating ploy to make sure they got what they wanted on the taxes side of things, and it wasn't worth freaking out about UI possibly not being extended because it would be part of the final package.

He was probably very charming.

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Postby pacino » Mon Dec 06, 2010 19:47:44

people still will basically have gone two weeks w/o unemployment. this really affects people's day-to-day lives.

i got paid after PA finally settled their budget last year...but not getting paid for four weeks really affected me for that time.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Dec 06, 2010 19:50:35

When did it expire? How long would you have had to have been on UI for it to have run out for you?

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Postby pacino » Mon Dec 06, 2010 19:52:54

basically anyone who exhausted their first six month UI run had them expire sometime in the last two weeks of november. if you were still getting your first run, you were to get that and no more.

btw, john kerry was balla on sunday
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thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Postby pacino » Mon Dec 06, 2010 20:09:24

thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Postby Stay_Disappointed » Mon Dec 06, 2010 21:17:13

Let's Compromise on Taxes

But being a good citizen, I seek compromise as much as the next guy. So let's not raise taxes on everybody. That wouldn't be compromise. That wouldn't be bipartisan. That wouldn't be adult. It would make Alan Simpson cuss or something. So...let's just raise them on those making less than $200,000 per year.


I obviously had this tax cut argument all wrong

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Postby allentown » Mon Dec 06, 2010 21:34:19

Wizlah wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:As for the WikiLeaks stuff, I don't understand how erring on the side of telling the truth translates to excusing the complete transparency/no secrets (and breaking the law) approach. There are professions where secrecy is essential. Talking to a therapist or attorney/client privilege, etc. I think diplomacy is right up there; countries aren't going to be frank with us if they think their comments are going to be splashed on the front pages worldwide.



I find this a very weak argument against wikileaks and the associated publishing papers. I can't imagine that you engage in a process like diplomacy without being fully aware of the risk of secret confidences being broken. It may cause diplomats to be more cautious in their procedures, but it's hardly going to stop folk talking to you. and if it wasn't wikileaks, someone was going to get this information at some point. If it was that easy to access, you'd have to assume that most of the intelligence agencies round the world have a fair idea of this content anyway.

It's a poor argument that attacks the consequences of a systematic weakness, and not the weakness itself. Obviously, since the leaks happened, there will be a review of how to prevent it in future. A foolish administration might review procedures to the point where it prevents information sharing. That would be bad for ye guys. You would like to think sane heads have prevailed (given that these leaks happened ages ago, and that the US government has been preparing for this moment for months). If not, well, more fool ye.

What amazes is me is that there wasn't nearly the same fuss about the information they dumped about the american military a bit back. That had just as much volume and content to be explored.

On a seperate note, assange made the following point in a Q & A session with the guardian yesterday, which I thought was a powerful one:

For the past four years one of our goals has been to lionise the source who take the real risks in nearly every journalistic disclosure and without whose efforts, journalists would be nothing.


the only way you learn anything in this world is when someone talks. Everything else is guesswork. Investigation can point you to the right sources, but ultimately, be you an intelligence officer, a diplomat, a reporter or a member of the police, you've got to get someone talking or leaking. I don't see how a country which frequently shouts from the heights the importance of the first amendment, a country which has in place legistlation to protect whistleblowing employees of the state, can do anything other than shrug and take the publicity hit of the leaks on the chin.

I would never argue that secrecy does not have a place in modern society. Neither would I argue for the protection of secrecy at all costs. The latter fosters an environment where people feel untouchable and can cast the consequences of their actions in a light which makes them feel good about themselves, no matter the cost to others.

I think the biggest argument in Wikileaks favor is that the government viewed the documents as so secret that they were made very widely available within the government, to the extent that a private serving in Afghanistan could mass download them. Doesn't sound like top-drawer state secrets. If they had secrets, like contact names, that shouldn't get out, somebody made a bad mistake by not redacting them, before every priviate in military intelligence could access them.
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Postby drsmooth » Mon Dec 06, 2010 22:56:23

Warszawa wrote:Let's Compromise on Taxes

But being a good citizen, I seek compromise as much as the next guy. So let's not raise taxes on everybody. That wouldn't be compromise. That wouldn't be bipartisan. That wouldn't be adult. It would make Alan Simpson cuss or something. So...let's just raise them on those making less than $200,000 per year.


I obviously had this tax cut argument all wrong


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Postby Trent Steele » Mon Dec 06, 2010 23:27:38



This guy was a mistake, but using informants to infiltrate mosques, evangelical christian churches, anti-government militia meetings and any other places where people who may be dangerous to our country tend to congregate (as a matter of probability) is exactly what the FBI should be doing. And I tend to be pretty liberal on these things.
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Postby CalvinBall » Mon Dec 06, 2010 23:40:01

i feel like that john kerry would have won in 2004

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Postby lethal » Mon Dec 06, 2010 23:54:16

CalvinBall wrote:i feel like that john kerry would have won in 2004


Where was that guy in 2004?

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Postby kopphanatic » Tue Dec 07, 2010 00:02:45

lethal wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:i feel like that john kerry would have won in 2004


Where was that guy in 2004?


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Postby Werthless » Tue Dec 07, 2010 00:26:15

dajafi wrote:Maybe I'm missing a subtle yet important distinction between "conservatives" and Republicans. But the main consequence and, it seems, intention of Republican policies has been to make the largest slice of the pie that much bigger even as the size of the pie itself holds steady or shrinks a bit. And the public means by which we generally find the pie grows--investment in R&D and various human capital systems--these days get much more support from Democrats than Republicans, who seem to view war as the only thing government can be trusted to do. Meanwhile, competing pies--China's, say, or India's--are growing, as they do make those investments.

I honestly don't think it's generally understood how the US became the most successful civilization in human history. Laissez-faire economics wasn't it, though it's surely contributing to the growing risk of decline.

How the US became awesome, in no particular order:
1. Luck
2. Natural resources (ie. metals) reserves
3. Free markets
4. Good institutions
5. Huge productivity gains stemming from 1,2,3,4
6. Relative openness to new ideas and immigration

And I was going to put something how many elected leaders are idiots and should not be listened to, but I didnt feel the need to say that. It's implied in every post in this thread.

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Postby Phan In Phlorida » Tue Dec 07, 2010 03:37:37

jerseyhoya wrote:I forget who the poster was that said Republicans saying they'd block unemployment insurance extensions was a negotiating ploy to make sure they got what they wanted on the taxes side of things, and it wasn't worth freaking out about UI possibly not being extended because it would be part of the final package.

I think most here figured it was a ploy, and much of the "freakin" was about the D's wimping out so easily and Obama not having enough balls to stand up and fight. And if you're talking about here, I don't think it was as much actual freakin but more a BSG game thread type of thing.

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Postby Stay_Disappointed » Tue Dec 07, 2010 10:28:44

Wikileaks dude arrrested for....sex crimes?

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Postby TenuredVulture » Tue Dec 07, 2010 10:45:31

Werthless wrote:
dajafi wrote:Maybe I'm missing a subtle yet important distinction between "conservatives" and Republicans. But the main consequence and, it seems, intention of Republican policies has been to make the largest slice of the pie that much bigger even as the size of the pie itself holds steady or shrinks a bit. And the public means by which we generally find the pie grows--investment in R&D and various human capital systems--these days get much more support from Democrats than Republicans, who seem to view war as the only thing government can be trusted to do. Meanwhile, competing pies--China's, say, or India's--are growing, as they do make those investments.

I honestly don't think it's generally understood how the US became the most successful civilization in human history. Laissez-faire economics wasn't it, though it's surely contributing to the growing risk of decline.

How the US became awesome, in no particular order:
1. Luck
2. Natural resources (ie. metals) reserves
3. Free markets
4. Good institutions
5. Huge productivity gains stemming from 1,2,3,4
6. Relative openness to new ideas and immigration

And I was going to put something how many elected leaders are idiots and should not be listened to, but I didnt feel the need to say that. It's implied in every post in this thread.


There's some evidence to suggest that natural resources are a drag on economic development. Necessary and sufficient and all that, but if you look at the parts of the world that have abundant and valuable resources, you'll generally find yourself in rather unpleasant parts of the globe. There's been some work on why Britain was the leader in the industrial revolution--the old answer was abundant coal--but many economic historians quarrel with that.

The reasoning behind the theory is something like the extraction of natural resources only enriches the few who own or control those resources, and it discourages investment in the real wealth generating activities of value-added processes.

Also, I would say there's if not a contradiction between 3 and 4 on your list, there's at least a very real tension.

You've left out our system of higher education, which though flawed, is still the envy of the world. (Interestingly enough, we do have something like a voucher program in higher education, public-private competition and cooperation, and no one is forced to go to their local college or university so when conservatives propose that stuff for K-12 they really are endorsing the US system of higher education...)

Finally, laissez-faire economics by itself doesn't work. It needs an appropriate system of values as its foundation, buttressed by regulations. If those values are under assault or have eroded, then laissez-faire economics will turn the US into Nigeria or something like that. This was Adam Smith's critical insight.

What's missing in the celebration of the free market is why is works better than a centrally planned economy. People should actually read the copy of Road to Serfdom that Glenn Beck had them buy. I don't buy all of Hayek's argument, but at least it's a point of discussion. Too many people defending laissez fair economics today are making not an economic argument, but a moral argument that seems to have a lot more to do with the political philosophy of Nozick than real economics.

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Postby dajafi » Tue Dec 07, 2010 11:51:27

TenuredVulture wrote:You've left out our system of higher education, which though flawed, is still the envy of the world. (Interestingly enough, we do have something like a voucher program in higher education, public-private competition and cooperation, and no one is forced to go to their local college or university so when conservatives propose that stuff for K-12 they really are endorsing the US system of higher education...)

Finally, laissez-faire economics by itself doesn't work. It needs an appropriate system of values as its foundation, buttressed by regulations. If those values are under assault or have eroded, then laissez-faire economics will turn the US into Nigeria or something like that. This was Adam Smith's critical insight.


This is a big part of my point, though what I meant by our civilizational success really was the creation of a mass middle class. "Luck" certainly was a huge part of that, probably the biggest; those two oceans meant that we weren't flattened by WWII the way everyone else was. But the two other elements which allowed (almost) everyone to share in the prosperity were the rise of mass public education in the first four decades of the 20th century, with the GI Bill as the capstone, and the Progressive/New Deal regulatory state--all the stuff Glenn Beck thinks is fascistic--which helped stabilize the markets and provided a measure of economic and political protection for individuals from corporate depradations.

Which I think is Paul's point about values and regulations. I don't think it's a coincidence that as both have eroded over the last 20 years, we've seen a huge spike in income disparity and increasing strain on the middle class. It's the balance between self-interest (free markets) and community interest (regulation) that made us so successful; the more we drift from that equilibrium, the more we run into trouble.

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Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Tue Dec 07, 2010 12:03:29

Warszawa wrote:Wikileaks dude arrrested for....sex crimes?

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seems somewhat trumped but who knows, the supposed story is that once the two women found out about each other they pressed charges
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