THEY'RE TAKING OVER!!! politics thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Tue Sep 07, 2010 19:15:50

dajafi wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:But you need to win the hearts and minds if you want to have any sort of long term window to enact policy.

The Democrats rode into power in 2006 and 2008 because people hated Bush. Then they started passing stuff like health care, and people are like, "Oh $#@!, we didn't want that. We just wanted that Bush guy to leave."


This argument rests on two premises I think are pretty dubious: that people understand what "that" is, and that there's something like uniformity in public opinion of health care and "the Obama agenda" in general. On #1, we know what's popular (new rules limiting insurers' ability to $#@! people over, subsidies for those who can't afford to buy their own coverage) and what isn't (the mandate, and stuff like death panels that isn't actually, y'know, in the law). On #2, my recollection of polling on health care is that the seniors--the folks who already get fully socialized medicine--hate it, while everyone else is neutral to positive.

Maybe I'm wrong, but I think the opposition to "health care reform," like the stimulus, the continued prosecution of the Afghanistan war, the bank and auto bailouts and every other single thing the administration has done, comes more from the country's general pissiness at the economy and disappointment that Obama didn't magically make it all go away than well-informed, deeply reasoned disagreement with the policies themselves. Particularly since the health law was essentially Romney's policy and TARP began under Bush.

edit: I'm not saying that "the public" necessarily overwhelmingly supports all or even any of these things, or that no Republicans could mount a well-informed and articulate argument against these programs; obviously, many could and have. But I do think that if the administration had been more effective, or luckier, in its initial assessment of and response to the economy they found upon arrival, everything else would look different. Them's the breaks, though.




Just out of curiosity, what do you think about the timing of the collapse? It really came at the worst time for the government to deal with it.

I would be interested to know what parts of the response were started by Bush and what parts were mostly Obama's idea. At the time, it really seemed like the primary response was in place by the time Obama came on the scene in full force. I would have to think a new president's first instinct is to acquiesce to a large degree in a situation where there is a severe crisis and the group in power has all the details and you're trying to find your footing coming into a new job. They say it takes a year or so for a new president to learn the ropes. Obama had to hit the ground running in a big way.
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Postby Rococo4 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 01:13:51

kopphanatic wrote:No one's questioned Reid's citizenship. Or called him a communist and a Nazi in the same sentence. Or said he's un-American like several members of Congress(you know, the guys who should know better) have.


no one did this sort of stuff to bush

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Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Sep 08, 2010 09:18:08

Monkeyboy wrote:
dajafi wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:But you need to win the hearts and minds if you want to have any sort of long term window to enact policy.

The Democrats rode into power in 2006 and 2008 because people hated Bush. Then they started passing stuff like health care, and people are like, "Oh $#@!, we didn't want that. We just wanted that Bush guy to leave."


This argument rests on two premises I think are pretty dubious: that people understand what "that" is, and that there's something like uniformity in public opinion of health care and "the Obama agenda" in general. On #1, we know what's popular (new rules limiting insurers' ability to $#@! people over, subsidies for those who can't afford to buy their own coverage) and what isn't (the mandate, and stuff like death panels that isn't actually, y'know, in the law). On #2, my recollection of polling on health care is that the seniors--the folks who already get fully socialized medicine--hate it, while everyone else is neutral to positive.

Maybe I'm wrong, but I think the opposition to "health care reform," like the stimulus, the continued prosecution of the Afghanistan war, the bank and auto bailouts and every other single thing the administration has done, comes more from the country's general pissiness at the economy and disappointment that Obama didn't magically make it all go away than well-informed, deeply reasoned disagreement with the policies themselves. Particularly since the health law was essentially Romney's policy and TARP began under Bush.

edit: I'm not saying that "the public" necessarily overwhelmingly supports all or even any of these things, or that no Republicans could mount a well-informed and articulate argument against these programs; obviously, many could and have. But I do think that if the administration had been more effective, or luckier, in its initial assessment of and response to the economy they found upon arrival, everything else would look different. Them's the breaks, though.




Just out of curiosity, what do you think about the timing of the collapse? It really came at the worst time for the government to deal with it.

I would be interested to know what parts of the response were started by Bush and what parts were mostly Obama's idea. At the time, it really seemed like the primary response was in place by the time Obama came on the scene in full force. I would have to think a new president's first instinct is to acquiesce to a large degree in a situation where there is a severe crisis and the group in power has all the details and you're trying to find your footing coming into a new job. They say it takes a year or so for a new president to learn the ropes. Obama had to hit the ground running in a big way.


In terms of responding to the crisis, there was a lot of continuity between Bush and Obama--and the Bush administration received high marks for its efforts in making the transition as seamless as possible. Bernacke obviously wasn't going to go anywhere, but it's significant that Obama kept Geithner in place as well. I think keeping Geithner around for a year made tons of sense, but I'm not sure he was all that useful beyond the first 12 months of the Obama administration. This includes the bailouts. Even the controversial GM bailout was initiated by Bush if I remember correctly.

The stimulus, by contrast, looks to be primarily Obama's.

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Postby azrider » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:27:07

Rococo4 wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:No one's questioned Reid's citizenship. Or called him a communist and a Nazi in the same sentence. Or said he's un-American like several members of Congress(you know, the guys who should know better) have.


no one did this sort of stuff to bush


why would they do that? They were to busy with the death threats and war protests. what happened with the war protests and the media following nancy sheehan?

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Postby drsmooth » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:31:38

Rococo4 wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:No one's questioned Reid's citizenship. Or called him a communist and a Nazi in the same sentence. Or said he's un-American like several members of Congress(you know, the guys who should know better) have.


no one did this sort of stuff to bush


if you don't appreciate the difference between an assertion that dubya wasn't the sharpest knife in the drawer, or more simply that he was a fatuous ass who satisfied the minimum constitutional age and citizenship standards required of a president, but brought little else to the table, and a persistent claim, unsupported by evidence, that Barry isn't a US citizen, maybe you should just lurk for awhile longer until you do.

Hint: it's not that the remarks are 'mean'. It's that they're stupid.
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Postby kopphanatic » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:38:59

Dangerous too when you imply that the President is not qualified to hold that office. That gives people the greenlight to at least plan, if not attempt, some terrible things. The Republicans in Congress are doing this, not just some jackasses out in the street. These are the leaders of the party here.
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Postby azrider » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:45:11

TenuredVulture wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:
dajafi wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:But you need to win the hearts and minds if you want to have any sort of long term window to enact policy.

The Democrats rode into power in 2006 and 2008 because people hated Bush. Then they started passing stuff like health care, and people are like, "Oh $#@!, we didn't want that. We just wanted that Bush guy to leave."


This argument rests on two premises I think are pretty dubious: that people understand what "that" is, and that there's something like uniformity in public opinion of health care and "the Obama agenda" in general. On #1, we know what's popular (new rules limiting insurers' ability to $#@! people over, subsidies for those who can't afford to buy their own coverage) and what isn't (the mandate, and stuff like death panels that isn't actually, y'know, in the law). On #2, my recollection of polling on health care is that the seniors--the folks who already get fully socialized medicine--hate it, while everyone else is neutral to positive.

Maybe I'm wrong, but I think the opposition to "health care reform," like the stimulus, the continued prosecution of the Afghanistan war, the bank and auto bailouts and every other single thing the administration has done, comes more from the country's general pissiness at the economy and disappointment that Obama didn't magically make it all go away than well-informed, deeply reasoned disagreement with the policies themselves. Particularly since the health law was essentially Romney's policy and TARP began under Bush.

edit: I'm not saying that "the public" necessarily overwhelmingly supports all or even any of these things, or that no Republicans could mount a well-informed and articulate argument against these programs; obviously, many could and have. But I do think that if the administration had been more effective, or luckier, in its initial assessment of and response to the economy they found upon arrival, everything else would look different. Them's the breaks, though.




Just out of curiosity, what do you think about the timing of the collapse? It really came at the worst time for the government to deal with it.

I would be interested to know what parts of the response were started by Bush and what parts were mostly Obama's idea. At the time, it really seemed like the primary response was in place by the time Obama came on the scene in full force. I would have to think a new president's first instinct is to acquiesce to a large degree in a situation where there is a severe crisis and the group in power has all the details and you're trying to find your footing coming into a new job. They say it takes a year or so for a new president to learn the ropes. Obama had to hit the ground running in a big way.


In terms of responding to the crisis, there was a lot of continuity between Bush and Obama--and the Bush administration received high marks for its efforts in making the transition as seamless as possible. Bernacke obviously wasn't going to go anywhere, but it's significant that Obama kept Geithner in place as well. I think keeping Geithner around for a year made tons of sense, but I'm not sure he was all that useful beyond the first 12 months of the Obama administration. This includes the bailouts. Even the controversial GM bailout was initiated by Bush if I remember correctly.

The stimulus, by contrast, looks to be primarily Obama's.


you're not telling me much of my vote for hope and change was just a vote for the continuation of failed bush policies?

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Postby Rococo4 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:47:59

drsmooth wrote:
Rococo4 wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:No one's questioned Reid's citizenship. Or called him a communist and a Nazi in the same sentence. Or said he's un-American like several members of Congress(you know, the guys who should know better) have.


no one did this sort of stuff to bush


if you don't appreciate the difference between an assertion that dubya wasn't the sharpest knife in the drawer, or more simply that he was a fatuous ass who satisfied the minimum constitutional age and citizenship standards required of a president, but brought little else to the table, and a persistent claim, unsupported by evidence, that Barry isn't a US citizen, maybe you should just lurk for awhile longer until you do.

Hint: it's not that the remarks are 'mean'. It's that they're stupid.


im not a lurker, and second people did call him a communist and a nazi just as you referenced, and said he was un-american. thats all true. i mean yeah i know thats patrotic dissent and all. based on your comments you were proabably one of them

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Postby kopphanatic » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:04:27

Did any high-level member of the Democratic Party or Democratic Senator or Congressman ever call Bush a Nazi?

Once again, the leaders of the GOP are actively engaged in this kind of behavior.
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Postby jeff2sf » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:31:10

First off, kopphanatic, the fact that you call you're a liberal yet are so reluctant to teach at a Philadelphia public school... not cool.

Second off, both sides are bad on this. There's no difference in kind here, perhaps a difference in degree. This difference in degree is likely attributable to just a general deterioration of decorum/reason in politics in Washington. Also there's some degree of "the liberal p***ies on the left" aren't likely to actually hurt a president unlike the "gun-loving wingnuts on the right" .
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Postby dajafi » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:04:22

Our political discourse at this point is such that neither side is even willing to admit the legitimacy of the other. This has been the case for almost 20 years now, and I don't see how it changes within the current construct. That there are huge fortunes to be made/maintained perpetuating the view that the other side is illegitimate, if not inhuman, doesn't help.

Whether it's Clinton ("he didn't win a majority"), Bush ("he stole it--twice!"), or Obama ("ACORN stole it for him! He's not constitutionally eligible!" etc), the president at this point is a party leader.

I don't think it's just my bias that Bush embraced this role (and, in terms of winning political fights, was much more effective for doing so) while Clinton and Obama lamented it, but that doesn't really matter in terms of the reality. It might take an independent to win the presidency before there's a viable "center" again.

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Postby dajafi » Wed Sep 08, 2010 14:24:25

Rick Santorum's Google problem

Oh, Spreading Santorum: long may you ooze...

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Postby The Nightman Cometh » Wed Sep 08, 2010 14:29:46

That is the best thing I've ever read in my life. ha. ha. ha.
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Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Sep 08, 2010 14:49:55

But dajafi, aren't you guilty of celebrating the very decline in political discourse you lamented one post back?

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Postby dajafi » Wed Sep 08, 2010 15:13:02

TenuredVulture wrote:But dajafi, aren't you guilty of celebrating the very decline in political discourse you lamented one post back?


I don't think so. (Or maybe only a little.)

I think most rational partisans would agree that there are people on the other side of the aisle worth taking seriously and possible to engage with. It's even the case that there are folks who come off as eminently sane on certain issues and totally bonkers on others. (Sen. Coburn comes to mind for me.)

Santorum, by going out of his way to all but dehumanize gays, spread himself wide open for this treatment. He deserves every bit of it.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Sep 08, 2010 15:25:04

kopphanatic wrote:Dangerous too when you imply that the President is not qualified to hold that office


Selected not elected. Redefeat Bush.

Not really sure saying he stole the office of the presidency is a heck of a lot nicer than saying he doesn't meet the constitutional requirements of the office.

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Postby kopphanatic » Wed Sep 08, 2010 15:31:51

Again, what high-level member of the Democratic Party was saying that? What Congressman or Senator?

I failed to even mention the stuff about Obama being a secret Muslim that GOP Congressmen, not just Teabaggers, are helping to spread.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Sep 08, 2010 15:37:14

kopphanatic wrote:Again, what high-level member of the Democratic Party was saying that? What Congressman or Senator?

I failed to even mention the stuff about Obama being a secret Muslim that GOP Congressmen, not just Teabaggers, are helping to spread.


Oh for the love of god do you remember 2004, not even 2000, when Barbara Boxer objected to the inclusion of Bush's electoral college votes in Ohio?

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Postby drsmooth » Wed Sep 08, 2010 15:39:52

jerseyhoya wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:Dangerous too when you imply that the President is not qualified to hold that office


Selected not elected. Redefeat Bush.

Not really sure saying he stole the office of the presidency is a heck of a lot nicer than saying he doesn't meet the constitutional requirements of the office.


But it is less nuts, under the circumstances. At this stage the "Barry's an alien" contingent's rantings serve only to underscore the difficulty of incontrovertibly establishing the most basic of facts about anyone. Those same individuals are probably convinced 'someone' is monitoring their every computer mouse-click, and mapping them to their Double-Secret Probationary Record.
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Postby dajafi » Wed Sep 08, 2010 15:40:04

kopphanatic wrote:Again, what high-level member of the Democratic Party was saying that? What Congressman or Senator?


I think it was pretty much a majority position within the Democratic Party that Bush didn't legitimately win the 2000 election. That said, the difference between holding this view and asserting that Obama wasn't born in the US seems fairly straightforward to me.

Whether you rest that premise on the grounds that the votes were never counted, that ballot design led to a crucial couple thousand votes disqualifying themselves (by voting for Gore and Buchanan), or that thousands of likely Democratic voters were improperly turned away from the polls, the conclusion is that Gore should have been awarded Florida and thus the presidency. That's even before you get to either the fact that Gore won a clear majority of the national popular vote, or that the Supreme Court so evidently had no grounds for their decision other than partisan preference that the ruling included the instruction, "Don't use this as precedent."

People on the left said some crazy shit about Bush--the "knew about/ordered the 9/11 attacks" is IMO the wildest and worst. In terms of implausibility and ease with which we can contemptuously dismiss the charge, this seems more comparable to SECRET MUSLIM zOMG than that he shouldn't have been given the keys to the White House based on the likely intent of the Florida electorate, actual or should-have-been.

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