Birthers, Deathers, and the Muddled Middle: POLITICS THREAD

Postby jerseyhoya » Thu Oct 15, 2009 11:51:59

dajafi wrote:The party not in the White House almost never has a clear, undisputed "leader."

I guess Newt Gingrich was that person for the Republicans between about 1994-98, but there was no one Republican at the beginning or end of the Clinton years until Bush won the 2000 nomination. If Al Gore had been a bit more intransigent after the disputed 2000 election, he probably could have been the Democrats' leader and presumptive nominee for '04, but he decided instead to binge-eat, grow a beard and make a movie. Other than Kerry for the months in '04 between when he was nominated and when he lost the general election, there was no one Democratic leader in the Bush years.

We could argue that this isn't really ideal, that it's yet another reflection of the Cult of the Presidency which I think most of us believe has been harmful. But it's the reality, and thus sort of a dumb argument as to whether the Republican "leader" is Rush, Beck, Steele, Joe the Plumber or John Boehner.


I don't think we have a leader at the moment, and agree trying to argue over which person is the leader of the party would be stupid because there is no answer. There are a number of people who are influential within the party. If I was to come up with a list of ten, off the top of my head I would say Rush, Beck, Steele, and Boehner from your list plus McConnell, Romney, Jindal, Pawlenty, McCain and Palin. Rush and Beck are more influential than McConnell or Boehner at getting people to show up angry at town hall meetings or march on the Capitol. McConnell, McCain and Boehner are sure as hell going to have more of a say though in what type of a stance the GOP caucuses take on the health care bill and on the Afghanistan debate, and those things matter a lot too. And the presidential contenders have a special place in the party leadership discussion because all of their internal ideological jockeying will become the most important down the line when one of them is picked as the nominee.

In closing, a party that had John McCain as its presidential nominee eleven months ago is not de facto led by Rush Limbaugh. Period.

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Postby Werthless » Thu Oct 15, 2009 12:01:30

drsmooth wrote:
Werthless wrote:We're going to pay seniors for not getting COLA adjustments? I'm not sure I understand the reasoning here.

President Barack Obama called on Congress Wednesday to approve $250 payments to more than 50 million seniors to make up for no increase in Social Security next year. The Social Security Administration is scheduled to announce Thursday that there will be no cost of living increase next year. By law, increases are pegged to inflation, which has been negative this year.
...
"I think it would be inappropriate," said Sen. Judd Gregg, R-N.H. "The reason we set up this process was to have the Social Security reimbursement reflect the cost of living."

Social Security payments increased by 5.8 percent in January, the largest increase since 1982. The big increase was largely because of a spike in energy costs in 2008.

Inflation has been negative this year largely because energy prices have fallen. Gasoline prices have dropped 30 percent over the past year while overall energy costs have dropped 23 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Social Security payments, however, cannot go down. The average monthly Social Security payment for retirees is $1,160.


They should be happy their wages aren't falling


It's not as convoluted as the typical c-suite occupant's comp plans - which also tend to incorporate features that guard against reductions - so I can see how you'd not get it

I'm disappointed. I expected a better zinger from you. You're slipping.

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Postby TenuredVulture » Thu Oct 15, 2009 12:09:15

jerseyhoya wrote:
dajafi wrote:The party not in the White House almost never has a clear, undisputed "leader."

I guess Newt Gingrich was that person for the Republicans between about 1994-98, but there was no one Republican at the beginning or end of the Clinton years until Bush won the 2000 nomination. If Al Gore had been a bit more intransigent after the disputed 2000 election, he probably could have been the Democrats' leader and presumptive nominee for '04, but he decided instead to binge-eat, grow a beard and make a movie. Other than Kerry for the months in '04 between when he was nominated and when he lost the general election, there was no one Democratic leader in the Bush years.

We could argue that this isn't really ideal, that it's yet another reflection of the Cult of the Presidency which I think most of us believe has been harmful. But it's the reality, and thus sort of a dumb argument as to whether the Republican "leader" is Rush, Beck, Steele, Joe the Plumber or John Boehner.


I don't think we have a leader at the moment, and agree trying to argue over which person is the leader of the party would be stupid because there is no answer. There are a number of people who are influential within the party. If I was to come up with a list of ten, off the top of my head I would say Rush, Beck, Steele, and Boehner from your list plus McConnell, Romney, Jindal, Pawlenty, McCain and Palin. Rush and Beck are more influential than McConnell or Boehner at getting people to show up angry at town hall meetings or march on the Capitol. McConnell, McCain and Boehner are sure as hell going to have more of a say though in what type of a stance the GOP caucuses take on the health care bill and on the Afghanistan debate, and those things matter a lot too. And the presidential contenders have a special place in the party leadership discussion because all of their internal ideological jockeying will become the most important down the line when one of them is picked as the nominee.

In closing, a party that had John McCain as its presidential nominee eleven months ago is not de facto led by Rush Limbaugh. Period.


I really don't think Rush, and certainly not Beck are all that influential in Republican circles. The think about populist punditry is that it only has influence in opposition--so, starting with the nomination of Harriet Miers to the Supreme court and Bush's attempt at immigration reform, Rush (did Beck even have a national audience then?) Rush began a return back to relevance.

But I don't think the Republican leadership pays Limbaugh or Beck much attention.
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Postby drsmooth » Thu Oct 15, 2009 13:13:31

Werthless wrote:I'm disappointed. I expected a better zinger from you. You're slipping.


more of a perspective-broadener than a zinger
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Postby dajafi » Thu Oct 15, 2009 13:30:23

Dunno how we missed this:

Certainly, you can see where the Corzine campaign is hoping to go with this one. Let your mind run wild with the not-so-subtle implications: Christie is a fat slob who is underprepared for the pressures of office, a fat cat who will sell out to the special interests, etc. Undoubtedly, their crack research staff uncovered some evidence that Christie's weight is a vulnerability, or at least could be associated with other negatives about him.

But it's one thing for your opponent's weight to be a vulnerability, and another thing to point that out to the voters without looking like an a-hole.

There have been many, many campaigns waged over the years that deftly (or not-so-deftly) implied that the opponent was a closet homosexual, Muslim, communist, or atheist. But being fat isn't like those other things: it's something that everyone can see for themselves. There is no plus-sized closet for fat people, so to speak. And our nation's relationship with obesity and obese people is complicated. Although fat people are perhaps by default objects of disdain, it doesn't take very much to turn them into everyman-ish Bubbas -- objects of sympathy.

Corzine remains in a much better position than he was a month ago. But if this is his campaign's idea of an endgame, he's liable to send Christie's big, fat ass to Trenton.

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Postby VoxOrion » Thu Oct 15, 2009 14:09:22

I think there is an implied assumption that even fat people dislike other fat people. Though this may be true (I just don't know), at some point that's going to backfire depending on the context (like a political race). You can't go on about how fat America is and count on all those fatties always agreeing with you - particularly if they feel like they're being manipulated.
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Postby Barry Jive » Thu Oct 15, 2009 14:12:01

As a fat person, I can say that yes, I hate other fat people.
no offense but you are everything that's wrong with America

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Postby TenuredVulture » Thu Oct 15, 2009 14:19:50

I don't know if it's the exact equivalent, but I suspect people would be up in arms if Christie decided to make Corzine's lack of seat belt use an issue. ("Most people buckle up when they get in the car. It's the prudent thing to do. But not John Corzine. How much can you really trust him?")

It seems to me the weight comments are similar.
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Postby CrashburnAlley » Thu Oct 15, 2009 14:25:13

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Postby pacino » Thu Oct 15, 2009 17:47:03

that really is silly
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Postby TenuredVulture » Thu Oct 15, 2009 18:08:39

Rush Limbaugh, the MOST IMPORTANT MAN IN THE UNIVERSE or COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT is not going to be able to buy a share of an NFL team, and some people have gone completely unhinged. Unbelievable.
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Postby jeff2sf » Thu Oct 15, 2009 18:27:14

I've listened to the argument that seniors should get a $250 payment to compensate for there being no COLA raise even though there hasn't been a raise in the cost of living because healthcare costs are rising.


I'm unconvinced. For shame.
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Postby TenuredVulture » Thu Oct 15, 2009 18:29:32

jeff2sf wrote:I've listened to the argument that seniors should get a $250 payment to compensate for there being no COLA raise even though there hasn't been a raise in the cost of living because healthcare costs are rising.


I'm unconvinced. For shame.


I'm not saying old people should get even more money, as they're least affected by the recession. However, my understanding is COLA calculations really don't reflect what it costs seniors to live.
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Postby jeff2sf » Thu Oct 15, 2009 23:33:48

If that's the case, then they've probably benefitted all the OTHER times where the COLA did go up. Look, this last year hasn't been a party for anyone, but the bottom line is that prices really HAVEN'T gone up much. So deal with it like the rest of us and don't the Democrats dare give out a 250 dollar "elect me please" fee.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Oct 16, 2009 00:14:16

TenuredVulture wrote:Rush Limbaugh, the MOST IMPORTANT MAN IN THE UNIVERSE or COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT is not going to be able to buy a share of an NFL team, and some people have gone completely unhinged. Unbelievable.


George Soros is also a part of the group. If he's allowed to buy a piece of the team, and Limbaugh camp, RedState should burn down Roger Goodell's hosue.

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Postby dajafi » Fri Oct 16, 2009 00:37:55

jerseyhoya wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:Rush Limbaugh, the MOST IMPORTANT MAN IN THE UNIVERSE or COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT is not going to be able to buy a share of an NFL team, and some people have gone completely unhinged. Unbelievable.


George Soros is also a part of the group. If he's allowed to buy a piece of the team, and Limbaugh camp, RedState should burn down Roger Goodell's hosue.


I thought Rush replaced Soros. Which would now mean they need someone else. (Perot?)

As you know, politics has nothing to do with this. All the NFL guys care about is growing their business, which probably is the way it should be.

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Postby dajafi » Fri Oct 16, 2009 00:49:42



That's fine by me. I get annoyed whenever I see Olbermann on SNF, and I probably agree with that guy 95 percent of the time. No need for any of that shit when it comes to sports.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Oct 16, 2009 00:50:45

dajafi wrote:


That's fine by me. I get annoyed whenever I see Olbermann on SNF, and I probably agree with that guy 95 percent of the time. No need for any of that $#@! when it comes to sports.


I'm the opposite, sort of. I would like for them all to be able to own teams. Honestly, what a great "only in America" type thing to have Soros and Rush in the same ownership group?!

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Postby TenuredVulture » Fri Oct 16, 2009 09:35:25

jeff2sf wrote:If that's the case, then they've probably benefitted all the OTHER times where the COLA did go up. Look, this last year hasn't been a party for anyone, but the bottom line is that prices really HAVEN'T gone up much. So deal with it like the rest of us and don't the Democrats dare give out a 250 dollar "elect me please" fee.


Again, I'm not saying old people need this money. But my understanding is that COLA calculations systematically don't work out for old people. That is, the stuff seniors buy (especially health care) have gone up much faster than overall inflation, which has been held down by declining prices for stuff seniors don't buy, like computers and cellphones.

Since as a group, seniors are better off than most Americans, if there is to be any money kicked that way, it should be reserved for those relatively few seniors who really are poor. That's especially because this recession probably hasn't hit seniors all that hard at all--they're not looking for jobs, and they're unlikely to be upside on their mortgage.
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