Republican Christopher Christie leads Gov. Jon Corzine 41%-40% -- a statistical dead heat - and independent Christopher Daggett is at 14%, according to a poll released this morning by Quinnipiac University.

Corzine's favorables are his best in month, but are still upside-down: 40%-53%. Christie is at his worst since the start of the campaign, 38%-40% -- also upside-down. Daggett remains largely unknown: 73% of likely voters don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

jerseyhoya wrote:

Republican Christopher Christie leads Gov. Jon Corzine 41%-40% -- a statistical dead heat - and independent Christopher Daggett is at 14%, according to a poll released this morning by Quinnipiac University.

Corzine's favorables are his best in month, but are still upside-down: 40%-53%. Christie is at his worst since the start of the campaign, 38%-40% -- also upside-down. Daggett remains largely unknown: 73% of likely voters don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

New Jersey everybody! Both our major candidates are upside down. No one knows the third guy.

Corzine is at 34-62% job approval among independents. And is down 1 point. Some historic $#@! going on.

First Read notes that "11 years ago, almost to the day, a new poll came out in the Minnesota governor's race showing third party candidate, Jesse Ventura, sitting at 15%. At the time, just like here in New Jersey, all the buzz in Minnesota was about how Skip Humphrey and Norm Coleman were beating each other up, while the national climate, by the way, wasn't good for either party as we were in the midst of the impeachment mess. Ventura, of course, in about three weeks time, went from polling in the low-to-mid teens to winning the race outright. All the ingredients are there for Daggett in New Jersey: both major party nominees have upside down negatives; 40% believe Christie is NOT honest/trustworthy while 48% believe the same about Corzine. The national climate has a 'pox on both houses' feel to it."

"Now, New Jersey isn't Minnesota and Daggett has NO money to penetrate the NYC media market (which the latest Quinnipiac poll shows is a key weakness; he's stronger in the Philly market). But a break here (say a big endorsement from a well known/respected politician) or a break there (some sort of disastrous new scandal hitting either Corzine or Christie) and the floodgates could open. Daggett's VERY close to being seen as a credible alternative in political terms. Bottom line: there's too much volatility in the political landscape both in Jersey and nationally NOT to take Daggett VERY seriously as someone who could actually win this thing. Stranger things have happened, isn't that right Governor Ventura? Governor Schwarzenegger?"

A new Susquehanna poll finds that only 31% of Pennsylvania voters think Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) deserves to be re-elected, a "staggering" and "near fatal" number according to pollster Jim Lee (Oct. 7-12, 700 Rv, MoE +/- 3.7%). That's down from 38 points in February, prior to Specter's switch from the Republican Party. Among Democrats, 45% say it's time for someone else to represent the state in the Senate instead of the five-term senator

kruker wrote:PA Senate numbers

A new Susquehanna poll finds that only 31% of Pennsylvania voters think Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) deserves to be re-elected, a "staggering" and "near fatal" number according to pollster Jim Lee (Oct. 7-12, 700 Rv, MoE +/- 3.7%). That's down from 38 points in February, prior to Specter's switch from the Republican Party. Among Democrats, 45% say it's time for someone else to represent the state in the Senate instead of the five-term senator

jerseyhoya wrote:I really hope he keeps running, and doesn't read the writing on the wall and pull the plug himself. I'm looking forward to his concession speech on election night (primary or general).

jerseyhoya wrote:I think that's Christie just showing he has listened too well to his advisers that Daggett is killing him in the polls, and he needs to emphasize the race is between him and Corzine. Christie's support bleeding to Daggett is the reason the race is getting closer. Corzine still can't break 40. Some of that is on Christie for not laying out a clear vision (mostly because whatever solves NJ's problems of deficits and out of control spending is going to be politically unpalatable). Some of that is on Corzine spending the GDP of New Zealand on negative ads attacking Christie.

That's not to say Christie isn't a pompous ass.

cshort wrote:

kruker wrote:PA Senate numbers

A new Susquehanna poll finds that only 31% of Pennsylvania voters think Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) deserves to be re-elected, a "staggering" and "near fatal" number according to pollster Jim Lee (Oct. 7-12, 700 Rv, MoE +/- 3.7%). That's down from 38 points in February, prior to Specter's switch from the Republican Party. Among Democrats, 45% say it's time for someone else to represent the state in the Senate instead of the five-term senator

So much for that strategy. Maybe Arlen will go Independent a la Lieberman.

TenuredVulture wrote:

jerseyhoya wrote:I think that's Christie just showing he has listened too well to his advisers that Daggett is killing him in the polls, and he needs to emphasize the race is between him and Corzine. Christie's support bleeding to Daggett is the reason the race is getting closer. Corzine still can't break 40. Some of that is on Christie for not laying out a clear vision (mostly because whatever solves NJ's problems of deficits and out of control spending is going to be politically unpalatable). Some of that is on Corzine spending the GDP of New Zealand on negative ads attacking Christie.

That's not to say Christie isn't a pompous ass.

CrashburnAlley wrote:Glenn Beck seriously compared FOX News to Jews in the Holocaust.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RBR9gW0kypc[/youtube]

Werthless wrote:http://www.gop.com/index.php/chairman_steele/comments/let_me_ask_you/

Michael Steele is now blogging. But notice how he editted his original post:


[img]Inscrutable%20image%20of%20Michael%20Steele's%20virgin%20blog%20entry[/img]