I'm not gonna debate you, Jerry! Politics thread.

Postby meatball » Sat Aug 30, 2008 10:01:08

seke2 wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:
seke2 wrote:I don't think Obama supporters are necessarily contending that he has all this amazing experience. But he has a perspective, a world-view, and he's had about 6-8 years in the public eye to show the world what he wants to do. He's taken a stance on just about every notable issue and people know what he's about.

Perhaps Palin has those same things, and perhaps she's the Republican Obama...but 60 days is a very, very short time for her to convince people that her inexperience doesn't matter. Because obviously, most of Obama's supporters (myself included), are willing to overlook his relative inexperience because of his inspirational leadership abilities and his goals (whether or not he has the prior experience to necessarily make all of those goals a reality).


6-8 for Saint Barry, 13 for Gov Palin. And executive experience, which is totally mising on the Obama CV.

And all but 1.5 of those 13 were running a town of like 5000 people where it seems like her biggest issue was whether or not to build a sports stadium. I think that Obama's political experience trumps hers, except for maybe the last 1.5 years. Even as governor of Alaska, she only has, what, 500k constituents? That's less than Obama has ever had in any of his major roles. Definitely true that she had executive experience and Obama didn't, but we've had Presidents who didn't have executive experience before and they haven't all been disasters.


Lincoln comes to mind.

And if you want an example of leadership/management: running a debt-free campaign from the ground up, based on so many active small donors in 18 months, defeating someone no one thought could be beaten and blowing over one of the strongest political machines ever, and doing so as a bi-racial man with a Muslim name post-911...I mean, dude can manage and lead people. Do we need to argue that point? Policy differences are fair game, but don't tell me he can't lead.

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Postby seke2 » Sat Aug 30, 2008 10:16:58

TomatoPie wrote:
seke2 wrote:I don't think Obama supporters are necessarily contending that he has all this amazing experience. But he has a perspective, a world-view, and he's had about 6-8 years in the public eye to show the world what he wants to do. He's taken a stance on just about every notable issue and people know what he's about.

Perhaps Palin has those same things, and perhaps she's the Republican Obama...but 60 days is a very, very short time for her to convince people that her inexperience doesn't matter. Because obviously, most of Obama's supporters (myself included), are willing to overlook his relative inexperience because of his inspirational leadership abilities and his goals (whether or not he has the prior experience to necessarily make all of those goals a reality).


6-8 for Saint Barry, 13 for Gov Palin. And executive experience, which is totally mising on the Obama CV.

Also, in fairness, I didn't mean years in government, I meant years in the public eye. Obama has been in government for 11 years (not 6-8), and it's really only in the last 6-8 years that started to become someone the public was aware of--certainly for the last 4 years since his keynote address at Kerry's convention. Palin has been in the public eye for about 19 hours now.
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Postby VoxOrion » Sat Aug 30, 2008 10:25:00

Yeah, Obama organized an exciting primary campaign (complete with massive media focus thanks to the dramatic storyline) that he was losing in the end. He's raised a ton of money, but lets not pretend this isn't the Democrats election to lose (and he is still polling weaker than Kerry and Gore did at this time, and they lost). Your or I could have beat Alan Keyes for Obama's US Senate seat, it was a question of backdoor politics (not an inconsequential thing) in being selected to be that guy. His state senate seat was handed to him by the exiting incumbant in a heavily Democratic district - he had as much chance of losing as Michael Nutter did.

I think you're making too much of how much "leadership" Obama has required to get him this far.
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Postby VoxOrion » Sat Aug 30, 2008 10:45:47

I've had CNN and MSNBC on today, and an interesting storyline appears to be threading the Palin discussion, I've heard it multiple times on both networks:

"Palin has even less experience than Obama"

This can't be desirable for the Obama campaign - I just wonder if this was planned or if it's just happening.
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Postby drsmooth » Sat Aug 30, 2008 11:10:45

VoxOrion wrote:Being a mayor or governor for a few years is light years closer to the job of being president compared to twaddling through the senate for 60 years or however long McCain and Biden (+ Obama) have been doing it.


that sounds a lot like received opinion (unless you've been keeping your extensive career in public service quiet around here).

Experience with organizational scale probably counts for something. mayor of Spearfish SD is not exactly like running, say, Ohio. The AK/US gulf is a lot wider.

Eh, not really any irrefutable contentions either way.

There are fewer Alaskans than there are residents of my dinky CT county. By quite a bit. I did not know that.
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Postby VoxOrion » Sat Aug 30, 2008 11:29:04

I was referring to the activities of being Mayor or Governor versus being a Senator. Scale is by no means unimportant, but experience performing the activites, regardless of scope, is worth something in my opinion. Those activities are certainly closer to the activities performed by the President than those of a Senator.
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Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Aug 30, 2008 11:30:21

VoxOrion wrote:I've had CNN and MSNBC on today


I used to respect your opinion.
Be Bold!

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Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Aug 30, 2008 11:35:35

Here's the soundbite. Pageant girl.

Image
Be Bold!

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Postby VoxOrion » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:05:45

TenuredVulture wrote:
VoxOrion wrote:I've had CNN and MSNBC on today


I used to respect your opinion.


How else can I monitor what the nitwits are saying?
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Postby Phan In Phlorida » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:14:25

The Red Tornado wrote:
Warszawa wrote:I just have this feeling that the McCain/Palin ticket will go down in history the same way Mondale/Ferraro did. It smacks of loser.


They will get a lot more electoral votes than Mondale/Ferraro ever did-I think they only got Minnesota and DC

They only got 13 electoral votes more than me... and I wasn't on the ballot.
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Postby dajafi » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:34:24

VoxOrion wrote:I was referring to the activities of being Mayor or Governor versus being a Senator. Scale is by no means unimportant, but experience performing the activites, regardless of scope, is worth something in my opinion. Those activities are certainly closer to the activities performed by the President than those of a Senator.


In terms of management, yes... though I think the point seke made about how Obama ran his campaign--arguably a bigger operation, and arguably as devolved upon one person in terms of responsibility, than being governor of a thinly populated, famously libertarian state like Alaska--is a decent counter.

More to the point as far as my concerns, Palin's statements on Iraq (for instance) show someone who hasn't been supremely engaged in the issue--maybe not even more than people in this thread have been. Granted, she's had a state to run and her job description didn't include a role in setting, or even thinking hard about, middle east policy. But I don't know what she thinks about foreign trade agreements, the mortgage crisis, how to generate economic growth (beyond the bleat of "TAX CUTS GOOD! SPENDING BAD!" that seems sufficient to convince the Tomato Pies of the world), or a whole range of other issues.

Again, it wasn't her job to think and speak about these things. But it has been Obama's job, and McCain's, and Biden's. We can be confident that they at least have defensible, informed points of view and won't need intensive tutorials.

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Postby dajafi » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:42:53

Here's another criticism of the Palin pick. I don't know anything about this writer, so it doesn't register the same way that, say, Frum's does, but interesting anyway. There already seems to be a bit of this response among the public.

That said, "worst pick ever" strikes me as way too harsh. You simply can't top Quayle, an honest-to-goodness moron, or Ferraro, who was even more of a blatantly political pick than this one.

Sarah Palin will wow cultural conservatives in areas where they may not have come out to vote before the selection. This is right out of Karl Rove's strategy of getting more of your own to show up and vote.

However, in many of the swing states that Bush carried in 2004, there were anti gay ballot measures to motivate the cultural conservatives to vote. There are very few of these measures on the ballots in those key states in 2008. Palin may not be enough for them to get out and vote. Clearly Rove felt in 2004 that Bush would not have been enough, thus the ballot measures.

In fact, as Palin's cultural views become better known -- she oppose abortion in all cases and opposes the use of birth control pills and condoms even among married couples -- she will undoubtedly scare the hell out of the soccer moms and 98% of Hillary voters. In fact, many of these women may feel insulted by this choice in that McCain and the GOP think they are stupid and would bypass their own interest (reproductive and economic) to vote for the ticket due to gender and anger that Hillary was not the nominee.

The part I bolded is pretty hard to believe. Does she think we non-breeding marrieds should use the "rhythm method," totally forego sex, do what the teenagers do, or get divorced?

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Postby cshort » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:51:08

dajafi wrote:Here's another criticism of the Palin pick. I don't know anything about this writer, so it doesn't register the same way that, say, Frum's does, but interesting anyway. There already seems to be a bit of this response among the public.

That said, "worst pick ever" strikes me as way too harsh. You simply can't top Quayle, an honest-to-goodness moron, or Ferraro, who was even more of a blatantly political pick than this one.

Sarah Palin will wow cultural conservatives in areas where they may not have come out to vote before the selection. This is right out of Karl Rove's strategy of getting more of your own to show up and vote.

However, in many of the swing states that Bush carried in 2004, there were anti gay ballot measures to motivate the cultural conservatives to vote. There are very few of these measures on the ballots in those key states in 2008. Palin may not be enough for them to get out and vote. Clearly Rove felt in 2004 that Bush would not have been enough, thus the ballot measures.

In fact, as Palin's cultural views become better known -- she oppose abortion in all cases and opposes the use of birth control pills and condoms even among married couples -- she will undoubtedly scare the hell out of the soccer moms and 98% of Hillary voters. In fact, many of these women may feel insulted by this choice in that McCain and the GOP think they are stupid and would bypass their own interest (reproductive and economic) to vote for the ticket due to gender and anger that Hillary was not the nominee.

The part I bolded is pretty hard to believe. Does she think we non-breeding marrieds should use the "rhythm method," totally forego sex, do what the teenagers do, or get divorced?


This is one reason people have to do their own research. You rightfully pointed out the birth control section, which is flat out wrong.

From Time
She is Christian and pro-life, but also a supporter of birth control: she's a member of Feminists For Life (FFL), an anti-abortion, pro-contraception organization.
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Postby mpmcgraw » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:51:43

anyone who has that opinion really is an idiot of tremendous proportions.

no offense if there are any right wing evangelical nutcases that post here.

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Postby dajafi » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:55:35

cshort wrote:
dajafi wrote:The part I bolded is pretty hard to believe. Does she think we non-breeding marrieds should use the "rhythm method," totally forego sex, do what the teenagers do, or get divorced?


This is one reason people have to do their own research. You rightfully pointed out the birth control section, which is flat out wrong.

From Time
She is Christian and pro-life, but also a supporter of birth control: she's a member of Feminists For Life (FFL), an anti-abortion, pro-contraception organization.


Thanks for posting that, cshort. Good to hear.

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Postby cshort » Sat Aug 30, 2008 13:58:56

No prob. Time has a "10 things about Palin"that summarizes her life and career.
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Postby dajafi » Sat Aug 30, 2008 14:00:54

Statement from the McCain campaign about Palin's selection:

John McCain first met Governor Sarah Palin at the National Governors Association meeting in Washington in February of 2008 and came away extraordinarily impressed. John McCain followed her career and admired her tenacity and her many accomplishments. She was scheduled for a high profile speaking role at our convention and included in the VP selection process because of his admiration for her strong reform credentials. Last Sunday, Governor Palin and John McCain had a conversation over the phone. Governor Palin was at the Alaska State Fair, and John McCain was at his home at Phoenix. Previously, Rick Davis, John McCain's campaign manager, had also been in regular contact with the Governor as part of the on-going selection process. This past week, Governor Palin arrived with Kris Perry in Flagstaff, Arizona, on Wednesday evening. Upon arrival, Governor Palin and her longtime aide Kris Perry met with Steve Schmidt and Mark Salter of the McCain campaign at Mr. Bob Delgado's home in Flagstaff. Mr. Delgado is the CEO of the Hensley corporation, which is Mrs. Cindy McCain's family business. On Thursday morning, Governor Palin and staff were joined by Mrs. Cindy McCain and later joined by John McCain at the McCain family home in Sedona, Arizona. At approximately 11:00 a.m. Thursday August 28, 2008, John McCain formally invited Governor Sarah Palin to join the Republican ticket as the vice presidential nominee on the deck of the McCain family home.


Again, I hope that if McCain wins, his "gut" proves better for the country than that of the current occupant.

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Postby dajafi » Sat Aug 30, 2008 14:06:48

cshort wrote:No prob. Time has a "10 things about Palin"that summarizes her life and career.


That's good stuff, very interesting. I don't get the whole polar bear animosity thing... but I suspect Stephen Colbert will be happy to explain it to us. 8-)

One thing I'm enjoying about the coverage of this pick is that Alaskan politics--the issues that are key there--are so interesting. Maybe it will be good for the country to get more of that perspective, on everything from how badly they want to drill up there to their admirably relaxed attitudes about the wacky weed.

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Postby cshort » Sat Aug 30, 2008 14:11:57

If McCain does get elected, I'm getting the impression that he's going to view this as a one term presidency, and do what he thinks is right, regardless of party affiliation. I wouldn't be shocked if he goes after lobbyists, earmarks, etc., and not worry about the political ramifications from either party. From everything I've read so far, Palin really hasn't been connected to special interest groups (seems like big oil isn't necessarily a fan of her), and would be someone he could rely on. Obviously she'll still carry the banner for the pro-life, NRA members, etc., but I sense that is really a personal choice for her, rather than someone buying her vote.
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Postby Woody » Sat Aug 30, 2008 14:28:33

SHE KNEW HER BABY HAD DOWNS SYNDROME AND SHE KEPT IT!!!
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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