Neoconservative Hipster Thinktank: Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Tue Aug 19, 2008 16:52:12

Seriously, what the hell is wrong with you people that you dare to question McCain's honesty, integrity, and general unimpeachable grooviness? His imperfections just prove his perfection!

And if nothing else, you should be sympathetic given that he's so put-upon by the media that he's had to act like a typical Rovian dickwad, even though he's really an incredibly noble creature--indeed, perhaps too good for the celebrity-loving American public taken in by Mr. OppityArticubama.

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Postby jeff2sf » Tue Aug 19, 2008 17:01:04

Thus ends my hiatus.

Obviously you're pretty down on McCain lately, dajafi, which is a stark change from a couple months ago, where you couldn't get worked up...

Me, I'm down on both of them. I expected better than this, and I guess shame on me for liking either of these politicians. I'm still ultimately going to vote Obama, and I'm still more or less enthused for his presidency, but damn, the dude seems to be triangulating more than HRC.

The bottom line is though, pretty much everything you're writing sarcastically about McCain, I could see a McCain devotee write, not unreasonably, about Obama.
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Postby FTN » Tue Aug 19, 2008 17:34:58

as someone who has slowly begun to shift to the center (shocking for someone my age I guess, who considered himself fairly liberal 7 years ago), if the Dems don't go negative in a huge way over the next 3 months, I think they'll fail to get even close to the predictions of seat pickups and they'll lose the White House.

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Postby mpmcgraw » Tue Aug 19, 2008 17:35:41

Image

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Postby pacino » Tue Aug 19, 2008 17:37:29

jeff2sf wrote:Thus ends my hiatus.

Obviously you're pretty down on McCain lately, dajafi, which is a stark change from a couple months ago, where you couldn't get worked up...

Me, I'm down on both of them. I expected better than this, and I guess shame on me for liking either of these politicians. I'm still ultimately going to vote Obama, and I'm still more or less enthused for his presidency, but damn, the dude seems to be triangulating more than HRC.

The bottom line is though, pretty much everything you're writing sarcastically about McCain, I could see a McCain devotee write, not unreasonably, about Obama.

May I direct you to voxorion's posts?
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Aug 19, 2008 18:00:48

mpmcgraw wrote:Image


Who is James Buchanan backing?

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Postby Monkeyboy » Tue Aug 19, 2008 18:12:16

jerseyhoya wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:...and I posted his actual voting record and the loopholes he allowed to occur without the type of fight he's supposedly known for. These interviews are just covers for the deals he made with the devil. Abused kids often become abusers. Sexual molested young adults often sexual molest as adults. And apparently, people who are tortured can become torturers when given the chance, I guess. It's another of life's sad cycles.


Hold on, so McCain's torturing people now (by proxy) because he was tortured as a PoW?



He has supported the laws with the loopholes necessary to continue torturing, and he supports enhanced interrogation techniques, which is code for torture. He's against waterboarding and he deserves credit for that, but that doesn't really stop most of the stuff that's gone on. He knew all of his, of course, but he put his desire to be president over what's best for the country. But no, I don't literally think he's pro-torture now because he was tortured. I think he's pro-torture now because he desperately wants to be preznit, no matter what it does to his legacy or his soul, and that's actually worse than doing it because of some horrible emotional scar.

But I'm actually interested to hear why I (or anyone) should vote for McCain when he's dumb enough to install Scheunemann as a foreign policy advisor. McCain isn't even president yet and he's already creating chaos in world affairs. The man is out of his element. Being a prisoner of war doesn't qualify someone to lead the military, especially when his/her judgement is so flawed.
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Postby FTN » Tue Aug 19, 2008 18:39:31

by the GWB/Rummy/Cheney definition of torture, McCain was never tortured

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Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Aug 19, 2008 19:55:52

Monkeyboy wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:...and I posted his actual voting record and the loopholes he allowed to occur without the type of fight he's supposedly known for. These interviews are just covers for the deals he made with the devil. Abused kids often become abusers. Sexual molested young adults often sexual molest as adults. And apparently, people who are tortured can become torturers when given the chance, I guess. It's another of life's sad cycles.


Hold on, so McCain's torturing people now (by proxy) because he was tortured as a PoW?


He has supported the laws with the loopholes necessary to continue torturing, and he supports enhanced interrogation techniques, which is code for torture. He's against waterboarding and he deserves credit for that, but that doesn't really stop most of the stuff that's gone on. He knew all of his, of course, but he put his desire to be president over what's best for the country. But no, I don't literally think he's pro-torture now because he was tortured. I think he's pro-torture now because he desperately wants to be preznit, no matter what it does to his legacy or his soul, and that's actually worse than doing it because of some horrible emotional scar.

But I'm actually interested to hear why I (or anyone) should vote for McCain when he's dumb enough to install Scheunemann as a foreign policy advisor. McCain isn't even president yet and he's already creating chaos in world affairs. The man is out of his element. Being a prisoner of war doesn't qualify someone to lead the military, especially when his/her judgement is so flawed.


Because he'd be a better president than Barack Obama?

Being a prisoner of war doesn't qualify someone to be president, but luckily Johnny Mac didn't just get out of the brig last year. He has been in the Senate since 1986 or whatever.

If you don't like his record there, as you clearly don't, fine. That's a much better reason not to vote for someone than thinking one of his advisers is a moron.

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Postby dajafi » Tue Aug 19, 2008 20:23:56

Interesting take on the race from Marc Ambinder, imagining a conversation between Steve Schmidt and someone named Crane (I want to say his first name is Phil?).

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Postby VoxOrion » Tue Aug 19, 2008 22:03:02

pacino wrote:
jeff2sf wrote:Thus ends my hiatus.

Obviously you're pretty down on McCain lately, dajafi, which is a stark change from a couple months ago, where you couldn't get worked up...

Me, I'm down on both of them. I expected better than this, and I guess shame on me for liking either of these politicians. I'm still ultimately going to vote Obama, and I'm still more or less enthused for his presidency, but damn, the dude seems to be triangulating more than HRC.

The bottom line is though, pretty much everything you're writing sarcastically about McCain, I could see a McCain devotee write, not unreasonably, about Obama.

May I direct you to voxorion's posts?


Do I say anything about either of these two?
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Postby Rococo4 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 22:55:04

This is and always was an uphill battle for McCain. That said, I am about as confident as I have been in some time that he not only can win, but he will win. There are many twists and turns yet to come, but Obama is reeling. Not saying he cant or wont turn it around, but I am really beginning to believe he can win. IMO, that his major obstacle: getting Republicans and Republican leaning voters to actually think he can pull it out. He is close in national polls and state polls have been much better for him in the last week or so - gaining on Obama where he is down and expanding his leads where he is already ahead. But getting people to believe he can win is what he needs to do.

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Postby The Dude » Tue Aug 19, 2008 22:57:48

is that your picture
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Postby Laexile » Tue Aug 19, 2008 23:11:34

dajafi wrote:Seriously, what the hell is wrong with you people that you dare to question McCain's honesty, integrity, and general unimpeachable grooviness? His imperfections just prove his perfection!

And if nothing else, you should be sympathetic given that he's so put-upon by the media that he's had to act like a typical Rovian dickwad, even though he's really an incredibly noble creature--indeed, perhaps too good for the celebrity-loving American public taken in by Mr. OppityArticubama.

John McCain may or may not be a "typical Rovian dickwad," but jeff2sf is right. I could write the same about Obama being a "typical Rovian dickwad." The bedrock of Obama's campaign (he's another Bush) is a negative. At least McCain doesn't whine when Obama goes negative.

None of the Democrats really believe that John McCain will run the country with the same cabinet, the same policies, or the same competency as George Bush. They were all effusive in praise two years ago. I don't think Obama believes his "Republicans are evil" mantra that he keeps going with. I don't think McCain believes the implied "Obama is unpatriotic" stuff he's spouting.

But Jeff2sf, here's the problem. It works. Obama went negative first with his "the Republicans are after me. McCain is Bush." And he went way ahead in the polls.

Since July 30 I've seen 30 new state polls. John McCain has gained 10 or more points in three, 7-9 in five, 4-6 in eight, and 1-3 in nine. Barack Obama has gained 4-6 in one and 1-3 in four. McCain has gained, and substantially, in 25 of 30 states. In 18 of them the spread is seven points or less. I can't think of any other reason than "Barack Obama is the biggest celebrity in the world." McCain has switched to a "he's too inexperienced, too naive, and not prepared to be President." Nothing else has happened in the last three weeks.

It sickens me. The Rove guys are influencing the message right now. And America is buying it. If it didn't work we could send these guys back where they came from. But it has worked. The McCain campaign has taken a turn that greatly disappoints me. Going negative just because Obama did isn't an excuse. I can only guess that a candidate who has run on his integrity for years has decided it's okay to take a hiatus when you're this close.

Being disappointed in my candidate doesn't change my support. No matter what detour he takes I believe in John McCain. Barack Obama is the Democratic Presidential candidate I've liked the least in my lifetime. The ends don't justify the means. Unfortunately my opinion on that doesn't matter.
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Postby FlightRisk » Tue Aug 19, 2008 23:19:42

Hand Job

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I'm afraid you're just too darn loud.

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Postby Rococo4 » Wed Aug 20, 2008 02:49:06

The Dude wrote:is that your picture


if that is directed towards me, then no, it isnt.

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Postby philliesphhan » Wed Aug 20, 2008 04:16:33

Laexile wrote:Barack Obama is the Democratic Presidential candidate I've liked the least in my lifetime.


I know you're Mr McCain, but seriously? How's he worse than Kerry?
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Postby Woody » Wed Aug 20, 2008 08:57:46

Seth Godin has an interesting post this morning

While most marketers spend their time telling stories about themselves, politicians spend a lot of time telling (negative) stories about the competition. It's illuminating, because it makes the resonance idea really clear. [The rest of this post is about politics. It's okay with me if you skip it, feel free to do so if you expect to be offended.]

Here are two stories:

Barack Obama is hopelessly liberal. He will raise our taxes, and he's not a real American. You can't trust him.

and

John McCain is a fake. He will say and do anything to be elected, and he is just four more years of our last mistake.

Choose your story (or the competition's story) wisely, because you have to live with it for a long time, and if it's not authentic, if it doesn't hold up, you're left with nothing. In the case of an election, the effect of your competitor's story on your base is critical. (And vice versa). John Kerry called George Bush dumb, but it didn't matter, because Bush's base didn't care that Kerry thought he was dumb. The people who did care had already decided not to vote for Bush, so the story had no power. Will McCain's base care that he's a fake? Will Obama's base care that he's untested and different?

I think that Obama's base isn't as shaken by that story as McCain's base is by the 'fake' one. The worldview that elected Ronald Reagan is one that admired his authenticity and his ability to stick to his principles. George Bush took advantage of that same worldview in the stories he told about being a strong leader. "Fake" undoes a lot of that.

The reliance on negative stories in politics makes me sick. I think we should be above that. The fact that negative stories have influenced every election of my lifetime, though, means that I'm wrong, we're not above it. If politicians are going to tell negative stories, they might as well pick useful ones.

Start with the truth. Identify the worldview of the people you need to reach. Describe the truth through their worldview. That's your story. When you overreach, you always fail. Not today, but sooner or later, the truth wins out. Negative or positive, the challenge isn't just to tell the truth. It's to tell truth that resonates.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Aug 20, 2008 10:01:21

Excitement: Holy crap, McCain up 5 in a national poll!

Immediate deflation: It's fucking Zogby.

The man's polling is not to be trusted, even when I want to because it would make me happy.

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Postby FTN » Wed Aug 20, 2008 10:39:34

I think Nate Silver's stuff on the election so far has been interesting, but Im really pissed that he barely ever writes about baseball anymore :cry:

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