Teh new hotness politics thread (good thru Fantastic Friday)

Teh new hotness politics thread (good thru Fantastic Friday)

Postby Woody » Tue Feb 05, 2008 22:28:07

bump
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Postby VoxOrion » Tue Feb 05, 2008 22:41:35

I ought to lock the other thread on people just to be really irritating.

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Postby Woody » Tue Feb 05, 2008 22:45:40

i know right
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Postby BuddyGroom » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:22:32

According to "The Lionel Show" on Air America, Obama won the popular vote in Alabama 56%-42%, yet Hillary Clinton got 21 delegates, Obama 20.

I don't believe in winner-take-all primaries, but there has to be a better process than the one the Democrats are using.
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Postby meatball » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:23:05

BuddyGroom wrote:According to "The Lionel Show" on Air America, Obama won the popular vote in Alabama 56%-42%, yet Hillary Clinton got 21 delegates, Obama 20.

I don't believe in winner-take-all primaries, but there has to be a better process than the one the Democrats are using.


Same thing happened in Missouri

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Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Feb 06, 2008 13:18:28

One of the more interensting things with Obama v. Hillary is that it seems Obama does very well among Southern white men, confounding some stereotypes. Of course, Southern white men are not a big Democratic constituency. Hillary's support in the South is largely dependent on white women.

This is a gender war, more than it is racially charged election.
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Postby Bakestar » Wed Feb 06, 2008 14:42:07

TenuredVulture wrote:One of the more interensting things with Obama v. Hillary is that it seems Obama does very well among Southern white men, confounding some stereotypes. Of course, Southern white men are not a big Democratic constituency. Hillary's support in the South is largely dependent on white women.

This is a gender war, more than it is racially charged election.


I see it as more of a generational split, truthfully.
Foreskin stupid

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Feb 06, 2008 14:51:59

It's a racial, gender and generational divide. Probably some class thrown in there for spice.

If you're younger, male, or black all three of those things makes it more likely you're supporting Obama. If you're older, female, or white or hispanic, it's more likely that you're supporting Clinton.

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Postby lethal » Wed Feb 06, 2008 15:05:50

jerseyhoya wrote:It's a racial, gender and generational divide. Probably some class thrown in there for spice.

If you're younger, male, or black all three of those things makes it more likely you're supporting Obama. If you're older, female, or white or hispanic, it's more likely that you're supporting Clinton.


There's some educational split there too (might go along with the class divide).

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Postby CFP » Wed Feb 06, 2008 15:09:42

jerseyhoya wrote:It's a racial, gender and generational divide. Probably some class thrown in there for spice.

If you're younger, male, or black all three of those things makes it more likely you're supporting Obama. If you're older, female, or white or hispanic, it's more likely that you're supporting Clinton.


The group that really interests me in the race is the older, white male (not seniors, more like 45-54 range) that remember Bill. Especially in the Northeast. I want to see how they vote in Pennsylvania, whether they go for Hillary or go for Obama. I guess NY and MA both went for Hillary. I really can't wait to see how PA plays out though.

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Feb 06, 2008 18:01:46

http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/2008/2/6/puerto-rican-poll-power.html

Interesting piece from Michael Barone on Puerto Rico maybe deciding the Democratic nomination.

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Postby Phan In Phlorida » Wed Feb 06, 2008 18:34:56

lethal wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:It's a racial, gender and generational divide. Probably some class thrown in there for spice.

If you're younger, male, or black all three of those things makes it more likely you're supporting Obama. If you're older, female, or white or hispanic, it's more likely that you're supporting Clinton.


There's some educational split there too (might go along with the class divide).


They were saying on CNN last night about the income breakdown... something like, most that earn $150K+/yr are for Obama while most earning under $40K/yr support Clinton. They were a little more specific, but that's what I recall off the top of my head.
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Postby pacino » Wed Feb 06, 2008 18:39:22

CFP wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:It's a racial, gender and generational divide. Probably some class thrown in there for spice.

If you're younger, male, or black all three of those things makes it more likely you're supporting Obama. If you're older, female, or white or hispanic, it's more likely that you're supporting Clinton.


The group that really interests me in the race is the older, white male (not seniors, more like 45-54 range) that remember Bill. Especially in the Northeast. I want to see how they vote in Pennsylvania, whether they go for Hillary or go for Obama. I guess NY and MA both went for Hillary. I really can't wait to see how PA plays out though.

PA is old. It will go Clinton everywhere but PHL
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Postby philliesphhan » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:00:07

jerseyhoya wrote:I don't think any are counting Florida or Michigan.

It depends a lot on how they're counting super delegates, and also on how quickly they're tallying from last night and how they're doing so.

The Dems give out delegates proportionally by district. Here's another different count. I like this one because it's easy to read, and I think they're drawing from lots of sources.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... count.html


So, we basically still have a long way to go because Clinton is winning but barely by anything
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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:05:13

philliesphhan wrote:So, we basically still have a long way to go because Clinton is winning but barely by anything

Not only the closeness of the race, but also because the Democrats give out delegates in a proportional fashion, which makes it nearly impossible to pull away unless one person starts winning all the primaries.

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Postby Stay_Disappointed » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:06:02

jerseyhoya wrote:
philliesphhan wrote:So, we basically still have a long way to go because Clinton is winning but barely by anything

Not only the closeness of the race, but also because the Democrats give out delegates in a proportional fashion, which makes it nearly impossible to pull away unless one person starts winning all the primaries.


Doesn't that also make it harder to catch up though?
I would rather see you lose than win myself

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:08:53

Warszawa wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
philliesphhan wrote:So, we basically still have a long way to go because Clinton is winning but barely by anything

Not only the closeness of the race, but also because the Democrats give out delegates in a proportional fashion, which makes it nearly impossible to pull away unless one person starts winning all the primaries.


Doesn't that also make it harder to catch up though?

Yeah, but no one really needs to catch up. Clinton's lead is entirely from unpledged Super Delegates, who can still change their mind.

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Postby mpmcgraw » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:12:00

As long as there are people as racist as my family is Obama will never win the presidency.

It's not even because he's black or because they are that racist it's because they are largely uneducated (aka all high school grads barely) and because they are terrified of muslims.

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Postby philliesphhan » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:14:58

mpmcgraw wrote:As long as there are people as racist as my family is Obama will never win the presidency.

It's not even because he's black or because they are that racist it's because they are largely uneducated (aka all high school grads barely) and because they are terrified of muslims.


Does telling them he's not a Muslim help?
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Postby mpmcgraw » Wed Feb 06, 2008 19:16:41

Nope.

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