Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby traderdave » Tue Nov 06, 2018 16:45:01

Couldn't agree more. Same in Kansas.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby CalvinBall » Tue Nov 06, 2018 16:55:03

CalvinBall wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:Poll watching today. Place has about 1900 RVs. We are over 450 votes as of 10 am.

At 800 right at 12:30. This feels insane.


Was at 940 when I left at 2:00

Hit my polling place at 3:00 and was 640. We only had 1,100 for the 2016 election, so getting there.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Nov 06, 2018 17:16:08

This is the 12th general election I've voted in and the number of Democrats I've voted for increased from 0 to 2

(Though for the on brand reason of the mayor and council chair spearheading the overturning of the tipped minimum wage initiative and there being no Republicans in the race)

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby JFLNYC » Tue Nov 06, 2018 17:39:54

You’re trending in incredibly positive ways.
Jamie

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby traderdave » Tue Nov 06, 2018 17:40:30

jerseyhoya wrote:This is the 12th general election I've voted in and the number of Democrats I've voted for increased from 0 to 2

(Though for the on brand reason of the mayor and council chair spearheading the overturning of the tipped minimum wage initiative and there being no Republicans in the race)


Progress(ive)

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby traderdave » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:13:51

Just caught this video of Eric Trump this morning. What a fucking moron; I mean, seriously:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/fox-and-f ... yptr=yahoo

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:33:02

One thought for people looking at NJ-3 results...Ocean County, the GOP side of the district, is usually decent at counting votes and will update constantly throughout the night. They have a lovely election night website that shows which precincts have already been counted and which are outstanding. Burlington County, the Dem side of the district, is usually terrible at counting votes and has traditionally posted its results either all at once toward the end of the evening or in two waves (both toward the end of the evening) in an extremely unhelpful PDF format.

That's a long way of saying MacArthur being up a lot early doesn't mean he's going to win. And also if Burlington reports in two waves like usual if the missing votes are like Willingboro & Burlington or Medford & Shamong makes a big difference, and it'd be hard to tell what's missing.

Also somewhat related to the above, Medford has as far as I can tell has not voted for a Democrat for any office on any level since I've been able to vote. Would not be surprising if Kim wins Medford tonight - and depending on how other parts of the district are going he might have to (Trump won it by 4%, won the district by 5%).

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby CalvinBall » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:33:07

Republicans are going to lose.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby Werthless » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:36:00

jerseyhoya wrote:This is the 12th general election I've voted in and the number of Democrats I've voted for increased from 0 to 2

(Though for the on brand reason of the mayor and council chair spearheading the overturning of the tipped minimum wage initiative and there being no Republicans in the race)

My wife was complaining this morning... "Ugh, I have to research these candidates so I know who to vote for." Helpfully, I filled her in about Barletta, and I told her "He's the guy that put his town in financial distress by passing a bunch of English-only laws and getting sued. Unsurprisingly,Trump loves him, and now he's running for Senate." One fewer race to research!

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby pacino » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:43:06

Colorado, Michigan, Missouri and Utah all have non-partisan redistricting questions

North Carolina Republicans put a measure on the ballot that would take away appointments for judgeships from the governor and give it to the legislature (the governor is a Democrat and the Republicans control the legislature).
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:43:12

First call of the day!

Democrat Lou Leon Guerrero is elected Guam governor. A dem pick up!

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby Bill McNeal » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:44:45

Werthless wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:This is the 12th general election I've voted in and the number of Democrats I've voted for increased from 0 to 2

(Though for the on brand reason of the mayor and council chair spearheading the overturning of the tipped minimum wage initiative and there being no Republicans in the race)

My wife was complaining this morning... "Ugh, I have to research these candidates so I know who to vote for." Helpfully, I filled her in about Barletta, and I told her "He's the guy that put his town in financial distress by passing a bunch of English-only laws and getting sued. Unsurprisingly,Trump loves him, and now he's running for Senate." One fewer race to research!


Had exactly the same conversation with my wife Sunday night
man I drew all these penises for nothing - housh

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby pacino » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:47:15

the social safety net is on the ballot:

Social safety net programs have a massive impact on the hardships experienced by low-income households, according to new research from the Urban Institute. Participation in three such programs—Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, and public health care—reduced the number of hardships faced by vulnerable families with children by 48 percent between 1992 and 2011. The future of these programs swings on the midterm election.

Red-state ballot measures may be the clearest indication of how far the health-care debate has moved since the 2016 election. Voters in Idaho, Nebraska, and Utah will choose on November 6 whether to expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. Tight governors’ races in states such as Maine, where the outgoing GOP governor has blocked the state from implementing its expansion of Medicaid, could smooth the way toward an even greater embrace of public health care. In Montana, a ballot measure would let the people decide whether to preserve the recently enacted expansion.

Food assistance is also in play in this election. The next Congress will turn to passing the stalled farm bill early next year. Democrats oppose work requirements that the White House and Republicans in Congress want to impose for recipients of food aid under the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Whether Democrats gain the House or the Senate or neither, the 116th Congress will decide the fate of the social safety net. The GOP is intent on shredding it: Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell told Bloomberg that spending cuts to Medicare, Social Security, and Medicaid will be necessary to rein in a $779 billion federal budget deficit, which has jumped 77 percent since 2015 as a result of the GOP’s tax cuts.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby pacino » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:48:38

jerseyhoya wrote:One thought for people looking at NJ-3 results...Ocean County, the GOP side of the district, is usually decent at counting votes and will update constantly throughout the night. They have a lovely election night website that shows which precincts have already been counted and which are outstanding. Burlington County, the Dem side of the district, is usually terrible at counting votes and has traditionally posted its results either all at once toward the end of the evening or in two waves (both toward the end of the evening) in an extremely unhelpful PDF format.

That's a long way of saying MacArthur being up a lot early doesn't mean he's going to win. And also if Burlington reports in two waves like usual if the missing votes are like Willingboro & Burlington or Medford & Shamong makes a big difference, and it'd be hard to tell what's missing.

Also somewhat related to the above, Medford has as far as I can tell has not voted for a Democrat for any office on any level since I've been able to vote. Would not be surprising if Kim wins Medford tonight - and depending on how other parts of the district are going he might have to (Trump won it by 4%, won the district by 5%).

Berks County reports are pretty poor. It's mind-numbing; they trickle in slowly and the website is from the 90s
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby pacino » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:49:40

Bill McNeal wrote:
Werthless wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:This is the 12th general election I've voted in and the number of Democrats I've voted for increased from 0 to 2

(Though for the on brand reason of the mayor and council chair spearheading the overturning of the tipped minimum wage initiative and there being no Republicans in the race)

My wife was complaining this morning... "Ugh, I have to research these candidates so I know who to vote for." Helpfully, I filled her in about Barletta, and I told her "He's the guy that put his town in financial distress by passing a bunch of English-only laws and getting sued. Unsurprisingly,Trump loves him, and now he's running for Senate." One fewer race to research!


Had exactly the same conversation with my wife Sunday night

had a lady over lunch ask me 'Barletta is the pro-union guy, right?'
I said no, the EXACT OPPOSITE. she was shocked but said OK I trust you.

:shock:
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby pacino » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:54:47

the Q Anon crazies now think Whitey Bulger was killed in prison because he was going to spill the beans on Robert Mueller
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby joboggi » Tue Nov 06, 2018 18:55:24

the polls in Texas and Tenn say that a Blue win is not possible. There is five points plus for the red guy in each state. I guess Taylor Swift will have to move to a blue state.

A prediction is a prediction, let's go with 52 blue Senators anyway.

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby thephan » Tue Nov 06, 2018 19:15:21

Spent a long weekend in the presence of my mother-in-law. She gave me some story about when Jimmy Carter was president and Seamens negotiated with the Union to give a one year 7% reduction for restructuring, then right after the deal was signed the power company raised her electric rate 7% so she never voted Democrat again.

WT-actual-flying-F?
yawn

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby thephan » Tue Nov 06, 2018 19:21:14

Part Two was when I told her that Turtleman Mitch was talking about looking into the reducing Social Security & Medicare. She ask who Mitch McConnell is when I was done. I explained, and she mutter no, then got really quiet.

I held off telling her that I have never believed that the social contract would be there for me, so I planned my way around that social program. On a previous episode she tried to argue that it is not a social program, its not socialism, and America is not nor will it ever be socialist. Her point, she paid for this in advance (she has been drawing for almost 20 years, so she has definitely gotten more then she gave, especially with most of her earning years being at the Dollar General), and that the government took all that money for other things or it would be over funded.

The government has borrowed over $2.8 trillion from the trust fund.
yawn

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Re: Election week: Blue wave or blue balls? (Politics)

Postby CalvinBall » Tue Nov 06, 2018 19:29:28

Talk to me. I'm stuck at the vet with a cat that has an infected eye.

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