Doll Is Mine wrote:The Trump campaign continues to be such a joke. They claim that they knocked on 1.4 million doors in New Hampshire. NH's population is 1.3+ million.

Ali Vitali ‏@alivitali
"Grab em by the pussy, Donald!" Girl here in the front keeps yelling. Crowd turning against her booing and another woman defending Trump.

jerseyhoya wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

drsmooth wrote:

jerseyhoya wrote: Also he's infinitely more competent than his opponent.

I've no doubt his adroit navigation of immigration policymaking alone will be studied in poli sci classes for generations

also,

“Let’s dispel with this fiction that Barack Obama doesn’t know what he’s doing. He knows exactly what he’s doing. He’s trying to change this country.”

He short circuited under pressure. Not the guy I want in a crisis.

Is good to watch you all grapple with a comparison without even looking at the other option.

Here comes some FL data at end of early voting. Please pray for my mentions.

As FL data nerd brother @electionsmith reported this AM, EV 2016 was more diverse than EV '12 and '12 final 2016 EV:
65.7w,
15.3h,
13.1b

NPA ended up more diverse than overall EV electorate. It is
61.4w,
21.4 h,
7b, which is very good news for HRC

Let's look at FL voters with no previous history: 20% of all voters have no previous voting history
But its 30% of Hispanics

And among low propensity (voters with no previous history or 1 of 3 history), they are 37.7% of all Dems to date, and 30% of GOP.

This means among low propensity voters, Dems have about a 225K vote lead. That over the last week.
I was predicting it to land about 160K

Couple more: 56.3% of Hispanics are "low propensity, but it is more among D's (60.3%) and NPA (67.2%).

And keep in mind, 5.9% of voters are "other/mixed"
They are 57% low propensity voters, and 77% are Dem or NPA.

There has been a secret vote this year, but so far it hasn't been a Trump vote in Florida, it has been Hispanics.

Need to look at more data, so not ready to predict a spread (though I have number in mind), but the majority of data looks good for HRC

pacino wrote:Trump criticized the crowd sizes of Beyonce and also thinks she's vulgar.

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-Global warming and science in general
-Tax policy which favors only the richest people in thus country when we have the most income inequality ever
-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays
- the privatization of social security
- an outrageous and unnecessary military budget
- pro intervention in the mid east

I mean i know this has been said before but WTF? Are white men so damn stupid? Do people live guns and god that much that are willing to go ahead with all of the above?

I mean the republicans are no more idiotic than donald trump

Gimpy wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-Global warming and science in general
-Tax policy which favors only the richest people in thus country when we have the most income inequality ever
-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays
- the privatization of social security
- an outrageous and unnecessary military budget
- pro intervention in the mid east

I mean i know this has been said before but WTF? Are white men so damn stupid? Do people live guns and god that much that are willing to go ahead with all of the above?

I mean the republicans are no more idiotic than donald trump

I don't think those last two are limited to Republicans

Gimpy wrote:

pacino wrote:Trump criticized the crowd sizes of Beyonce and also thinks she's vulgar.

The last two songs I heard from her were off her 2013 or 2014 album and they were pretty gross.

Warszawa wrote:

Gimpy wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-Global warming and science in general
-Tax policy which favors only the richest people in thus country when we have the most income inequality ever
-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays
- the privatization of social security
- an outrageous and unnecessary military budget
- pro intervention in the mid east

I mean i know this has been said before but WTF? Are white men so damn stupid? Do people live guns and god that much that are willing to go ahead with all of the above?

I mean the republicans are no more idiotic than donald trump

I don't think those last two are limited to Republicans

Actually you may be right. The one thing i did like about trump before he was brainwashed by the right was that he did offer something different on these points

The first four are still pretty bad though

TenuredVulture wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

Gimpy wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-Global warming and science in general
-Tax policy which favors only the richest people in thus country when we have the most income inequality ever
-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays
- the privatization of social security
- an outrageous and unnecessary military budget
- pro intervention in the mid east

I mean i know this has been said before but WTF? Are white men so damn stupid? Do people live guns and god that much that are willing to go ahead with all of the above?

I mean the republicans are no more idiotic than donald trump

I don't think those last two are limited to Republicans

Actually you may be right. The one thing i did like about trump before he was brainwashed by the right was that he did offer something different on these points

The first four are still pretty bad though

Trump is also opposed to privatizing SS. His solution is to grow the economy so much it fixes itself. And, of course, he's against free trade, which also puts him at odds with R doctrine of the last 40 years.

TenuredVulture wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

Gimpy wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-Global warming and science in general
-Tax policy which favors only the richest people in thus country when we have the most income inequality ever
-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays
- the privatization of social security
- an outrageous and unnecessary military budget
- pro intervention in the mid east

I mean i know this has been said before but WTF? Are white men so damn stupid? Do people live guns and god that much that are willing to go ahead with all of the above?

I mean the republicans are no more idiotic than donald trump

I don't think those last two are limited to Republicans

Actually you may be right. The one thing i did like about trump before he was brainwashed by the right was that he did offer something different on these points

The first four are still pretty bad though

Trump is also opposed to privatizing SS. His solution is to grow the economy so much it fixes itself. And, of course, he's against free trade, which also puts him at odds with R doctrine of the last 40 years.

pacino wrote:

TenuredVulture wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

Gimpy wrote:

Warszawa wrote:

pacino wrote:538 gives McGinty a 61.7% chance to win. Latest polls anywhere form Toomey+1 to McGinty +5. Gonna be a long night on this one.

I think the Dems take: PA, Illinois, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin. Just enough to split the Senate, I believe. Tim Kaine better pick out his best gavel. It'd be great if NC goes for D, but I'm not pinning my hopes on it. If we come out of the East only picking up PA, it's gonna be a Republican Senate.

I really cant fathom what any sane person wouldvagree with republican positions like:

-Global warming and science in general
-Tax policy which favors only the richest people in thus country when we have the most income inequality ever
-policies that negatively impact women, minorities and gays
- the privatization of social security
- an outrageous and unnecessary military budget
- pro intervention in the mid east

I mean i know this has been said before but WTF? Are white men so damn stupid? Do people live guns and god that much that are willing to go ahead with all of the above?

I mean the republicans are no more idiotic than donald trump

I don't think those last two are limited to Republicans

Actually you may be right. The one thing i did like about trump before he was brainwashed by the right was that he did offer something different on these points

The first four are still pretty bad though

Trump is also opposed to privatizing SS. His solution is to grow the economy so much it fixes itself. And, of course, he's against free trade, which also puts him at odds with R doctrine of the last 40 years.

He will rubberstamp anything the Rs put up. Let's be real.

pacino wrote:

Gimpy wrote:

pacino wrote:Trump criticized the crowd sizes of Beyonce and also thinks she's vulgar.

The last two songs I heard from her were off her 2013 or 2014 album and they were pretty gross.

Really grabbing our pussies