Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby pacino » Fri Jun 07, 2013 09:17:42

actual scandal:
A review of classified US intelligence records has revealed that the CIA could not confirm the identity of about a quarter of the people killed by drone strikes in Pakistan during a period spanning from 2010 to 2011.

According to a purportedly exclusive report by NBC News that mirrors findings of an April analysis by McClatchy, between September 3, 2010 and October 30, 2011 the agency’s drone program over Pakistan routinely designated those killed as “other militants,” a label used when the CIA could not determine affiliation, if any.

The review by NBC News paints both a confusing and troubling picture of the CIA’s reported drone strike success, which three former Obama administration officials feared could have missed or simply ignored mistakes.

Of the 14 months worth of classified documents reviewed, 26 out of 114 attacks designate fatalities as “other militants,” while in four other attacks those killed are only described as “foreign fighters.”

Even more irregular are the cases when entry records conflict on the number of those killed, with one such example indicating a drone attack had killed seven to 10 combatants, and another estimating 20 to 22 fatalities.

By comparison, McClatchy’s April review of drone strikes revealed that at least 265 of up to 482 people that the CIA killed during a 12-month period ending in September 2011 were not senior al-Qaeda leaders, but were instead “assessed” as Afghan, Pakistani and “unknown extremists.” Corroborating media accounts show that US drones killed only six top al-Qaeda leaders during the same period.

One key term in analyzing drone strike records are what are known as “signature” strikes, when drones kill suspects based on behavior patterns but without positive identification, versus “personality” strike, which is when drone targets are known terrorist affiliates whose identities are verified.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gomert Love Politics

Postby Bucky » Fri Jun 07, 2013 09:19:43

lick 'em all and let dog sort it out

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby pacino » Fri Jun 07, 2013 09:29:57

Gotta love Louie, don't know how I missed this one:
At a Thursday congressional committee hearing on a proposed ban on abortion at 20 weeks in Washington, D.C., Christy Zink, a mother of two, testified how the measure would harm women who require late-term abortion care due to fetal abnormalities and other potentially fatal complications.

Zink knows the harm such restrictions can inflict on women faced with this choice because she was one of them. At 21 weeks, her doctors informed her that her fetus had no brain function and would very likely not survive the pregnancy; it was an abnormality that could not have been detected earlier in her pregnancy, as she told the committee:

Our son’s condition could not have been detected earlier in my pregnancy. Only the brain scan could have found it. The prognosis was unbearable. No one could look at those MRI images and not know, instantly, that something was terribly wrong. If the baby survived the pregnancy, which was not certain, his condition would result in numerous surgeries to remove more of what little brain matter he had in order to diminish what would otherwise be a state of near-constant seizures.

I am here today to speak out against the so-called Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act. Its very premise—that it prevents pain—is a lie. If this bill had been passed before my pregnancy, I would have had to carry to term and give birth to a baby who the doctors concurred had no chance of a life and would have experienced near-constant pain. If my son had survived the pregnancy—which was not certain—he might have never left the hospital. My daughter’s life, too, would have been irrevocably hurt by an almost always-absent parent.

The decision I made to have an abortion at almost 22 weeks was made out of love and to spare my son’s pain and suffering.

In response to Zink’s testimony, Rep. Louie Gohmert, R-Texas, expressed “sympathy” for Zink, then accused her of “ripping apart” her fetus:

Ms. Zink, having my great sympathy and empathy both. I still come back wondering, shouldn’t we wai t… and see if the child can survive before we decide to rip him apart? So, these are ethical issues, they’re moral issues, they’re difficult issues, and the parents should certainly be consulted. But it just seems like, it’s a more educated decision if the child is in front of you to make those decisions.



Image
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Fri Jun 07, 2013 09:55:43

pacino wrote:actual scandal:
A review of classified US intelligence records has revealed that the CIA could not confirm the identity of about a quarter of the people killed by drone strikes in Pakistan during a period spanning from 2010 to 2011.

According to a purportedly exclusive report by NBC News that mirrors findings of an April analysis by McClatchy, between September 3, 2010 and October 30, 2011 the agency’s drone program over Pakistan routinely designated those killed as “other militants,” a label used when the CIA could not determine affiliation, if any.

The review by NBC News paints both a confusing and troubling picture of the CIA’s reported drone strike success, which three former Obama administration officials feared could have missed or simply ignored mistakes.

Of the 14 months worth of classified documents reviewed, 26 out of 114 attacks designate fatalities as “other militants,” while in four other attacks those killed are only described as “foreign fighters.”

Even more irregular are the cases when entry records conflict on the number of those killed, with one such example indicating a drone attack had killed seven to 10 combatants, and another estimating 20 to 22 fatalities.

By comparison, McClatchy’s April review of drone strikes revealed that at least 265 of up to 482 people that the CIA killed during a 12-month period ending in September 2011 were not senior al-Qaeda leaders, but were instead “assessed” as Afghan, Pakistani and “unknown extremists.” Corroborating media accounts show that US drones killed only six top al-Qaeda leaders during the same period.

One key term in analyzing drone strike records are what are known as “signature” strikes, when drones kill suspects based on behavior patterns but without positive identification, versus “personality” strike, which is when drone targets are known terrorist affiliates whose identities are verified.

Awesome... we don't know who they are, so they're terrorists. Maybe the Chicago Police Department should take that approach to deal with some of that gang violence--see how well that goes over.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby TenuredVulture » Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:19:43

I've been thinking about the PRISM thing, and several things come to my mind.

1. I believe that in some respects, the fact that all this has come to light is evidence that at least some people in the Obama administration do take openness seriously. There's no reason not to believe that the NSA, among others, has always used all the tools they had at their disposal in anyway they believed necessary, it's just that no one ever said anything on the record about it before. In short, the Patriot Act more or less provided legal permission to do things that were already standard practice. The reality is that legislation and rules are written with specific technology in mind, but it's very hard for bureaucracies, legislators and courts to keep up with changes in technology. For instance, the law has treated wireless and wired transmissions differently--wireless transmissions are more regulated than wired ones (which is why you can hear "shit" on Louis, but not on Parks and Rec).

2. I'm increasingly convinced that despite the way in which decentered mechanisms of communication like Twitter make certain kinds of grass roots activism possible, like we saw during the Arab Spring, in the main, technology also makes surveillance much, much easier. I'm increasingly convinced that the balance is on the sides of authority, not liberty. Not to go all tinfoil hat here, but governments really do have interests distinct from the people being governed, and among those interests are surveillance and control. (And it's never just surveillance.)

3. But even more than potential government abuse, I'm even more concerned about major corporations using similar powers in even more nefarious ways. Given that most people need their jobs, is there really any difference between government surveillance and control and employer surveillance and control, especially given that while I'm pretty sure the government has no real interest in fucking with me at the present time, my employer always has such an interest.

4. Even if you're not worried about totalitarian employers, maybe you should be worried about how your consumer behavior is increasingly monitored, with the purpose of manipulating you to get you to be a more docile, predictable consumer. If say marketing messages really do work, they change your preferences. And to some extent, you've lost control of your own mind.
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby pacino » Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:33:48

i think 3 and 4 are very important and being completely ignored for whatever reason; maybe it's because this is being brought to us by big corporations via the media, too.

it's been happening for years, and only now people care.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:33:57

TenuredVulture wrote:I've been thinking about the PRISM thing, and several things come to my mind.

1. I believe that in some respects, the fact that all this has come to light is evidence that at least some people in the Obama administration do take openness seriously.

Except that they'll prosecute the ever-living shit out of whoever leaked its existence.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby pacino » Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:39:15

RichmondPhilsFan wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:I've been thinking about the PRISM thing, and several things come to my mind.

1. I believe that in some respects, the fact that all this has come to light is evidence that at least some people in the Obama administration do take openness seriously.

Except that they'll prosecute the ever-living #$!&@ out of whoever leaked its existence.

that's certainly true. it only took 2 years for Bradley manning to get his speedy trial.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby thephan » Fri Jun 07, 2013 12:57:01

Image

A couple of thoughts:

1) The data sets are ridiculous. This is a "big data" problem, the the disparity of the data and data type make it fairly impossible to work with. It would be much more useful in a targeted way to view a group of persons of interest. That would require a different identification process so that specific attention could be applied to the overwhelming data.

2) The focus is what you have companies like Nelson playing in. Nelson, as the example, is completely focused on useful statistics driving markets forward. Nelson actually sells shelf management and layout for supermarket merchandizing. The whole of the business is measurement of consumption and a reconciliation of placing goods into a physical shelf that pair up with one another and drive sales. They are able to apply this model across the various products (if you live where beer is sold out of a cold case, Nielsen sells these shelf layouts to Budweiser who manages the shelf space for the grocer - even the competitors products) and its markets (radio and TV are treated similarly by their statistical models).

The point is that these lenses make the data resolution a reasonable undertaking whereas all phone calls and some huge amount of web traffic to be combed and sorted is unlikely to work where as some refinement to the list for identification and tracking is a success path.

Where does this data feed into? I have not heard anyone take it there, but it lands in software like Palantir and analysts toolkit where data is matched and fused to subjects. The sorting of that data is significantly harder retarding the systems abilities to produce anything useful if there are not subjects identified (i.e., the population).

Knowing how horribly the government deals with huge, generic data set, I am not terribly concerned with the data collection and even less so with its abilities to produce anomalous results impacting and implicating everyday citizens.That would all still need arbitration through the courts. The conspiracy theorists can have a field day resurrecting the ghost of John Birch as a computer system John Birch -> Dr. John Watson -> IBM's Watson -> Prism).
yawn

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby pacino » Fri Jun 07, 2013 13:20:15

seems like the secrecy of the FISA court is the major issue. we have a right to know what the government is requesting and what FISA is granting
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby Werthless » Fri Jun 07, 2013 13:44:03

thephan wrote:1) The data sets are ridiculous. This is a "big data" problem, the the disparity of the data and data type make it fairly impossible to work with. It would be much more useful in a targeted way to view a group of persons of interest. That would require a different identification process so that specific attention could be applied to the overwhelming data.

It's not impossible to work with, and the reason that data mining is so popular in CS and Stat departments is because the insights are valuable/valued.

I've worked with large datasets before in the finance space. Fraud detection is a similar problem/solution to the one the government is undertaking. They're trying to identify the patterns that predict or indicate rare events. In finance, it's fraudulent transactions. In the case of the NSA, it's terrorist intent. Probabilistically speaking, you can develop pretty good algorithms for fraud, although you will typically get a high degree of false positives. A bank will get around the false positive problem by flagging a high degree of transactions, and then following up with phone calls before approving. When you combine these techniques with the latest in talk-to-text and text mining capabilities, some basic text mining that I've helped developed, I imagine that they can be pretty effective identifying noteworthy people to follow up for more targeted court orders.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby TenuredVulture » Fri Jun 07, 2013 13:46:10

It's what happens to the false positives that's one reason to be concerned.
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby Bucky » Fri Jun 07, 2013 13:55:47

TenuredVulture wrote:It's what happens to the false positives that's one reason to be concerned.



AHEM, we prefer you refer to them as 'other militants'. TIA.

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Jun 07, 2013 14:00:03

pacino wrote:not WASHINGTON?! guess i just dont see the smoking gun here. two employees pissed they were called out saying that 'washington' wanted it.

now, they couldnt say who in Washington, but of course not. that would mean the person could respond and defend themselves.

when zero orgs were denied the exemption when they all should've been denied it, that's the true scandal.

We know the name of at least one person involved in the IRS Washington office - Carter Hull - and now he's retiring. The storyline coming from the higher ups at the IRS continues to fall apart.

They should not have been denied the exemption if they were qualified for the classification, which most of the groups applying for 501c4 status were.

drsmooth wrote:gee I've never heard of people being blamed for something looking to put blame off on someone else, someplace else, higher up

/sarcasm

So we should lend credence to the higher ups, whose story has been shown to be false in a number of other ways already, who have blamed the lower level employees?

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby drsmooth » Fri Jun 07, 2013 14:35:04

Werthless wrote:Probabilistically speaking, you can develop pretty good algorithms for fraud, although you will typically get a high degree of false positives.



shoulda kept going here

in health care, clinicians focus on sensitivity/specificity. Solving the false positives problem is rarely simply one of economics, as the public reaction to prism illustrates.
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby TenuredVulture » Fri Jun 07, 2013 14:39:37

Bucky wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:It's what happens to the false positives that's one reason to be concerned.



AHEM, we prefer you refer to them as 'other militants'. TIA.


Shit, someone's knocking on my door.
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby drsmooth » Fri Jun 07, 2013 14:50:12

also worth noting that the false positives problem is greatly magnified when prediction - 'pre-crime' - generates them

Bobbitt soooo saw this coming, along with the constitutional precedents and implications for practically everyone, years ago
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby drsmooth » Fri Jun 07, 2013 14:54:55

My feeling is that Karl Rove and those handing him sacks of dough should not have some flimsy non-profit fig leaf to hide their tiny dicks and enormous dough behind.
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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby Werthless » Fri Jun 07, 2013 16:49:06

I think I know bleh's secret identity...

Not so secret identity

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Re: Fake and Real scandals, and Louie Gohmert Love Politics

Postby thephan » Fri Jun 07, 2013 18:55:48

I think these sets are much, much larger. 7+ years of everything. I did a lot with FMV and there are a lot of problems with doing productive work, which just grows more data to answer the question. If it is just a data pile with little though given it, you can work on trends and patterns but you need formations for assumptions guiding you work. I take that combing to eliminate the average joe.

The example you threw out has you starting with a basis, so that aids in reduction and focus. I assume you do a typical corse, refined, fine pattern to arrive at workable data.

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