Clay Davis Memorial POLITICS THREAD

Postby azrider » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:30:41

dajafi wrote:Ezra Klein perfectly captureswhat seems to me is going on here:

[T]he reaction congressional Democrats have had to Coakley's loss has been much more shattering. It has been a betrayal.

The fundamental pact between a political party and its supporters is that the two groups believe the same thing and pledge to work on it together. And the Democratic base feels that it has held to its side of the bargain. It elected a Democratic majority and a Democratic president. It swallowed tough compromises on the issues it cared about most. It swallowed concessions to politicians it didn't like and industry groups it loathed. But it persisted. Because these things are important. That's why those voters believe in them. That's why they're Democrats.
...
If Democrats let go of health care, there is no doubt that a demoralized Democratic base will stay home in November. And that's as it should be. If the Democratic Party won't uphold its end of the bargain, there's no reason its base should pretend the deal is still on.


is that the real reason or is it because not every democrat subscribes to a truly liberal agenda that the president and congress has been trying to push? the majority of the democratic party does not consider themselves liberal.


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124958/conservatives-finish-2009-no-1-ideological-group.aspx

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Postby Mountainphan » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:33:15

dajafi wrote:
Mountainphan wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:
Mountainphan wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:The American people are notoriously impatient these days, not just in politics but in general. They want instant gratification and throw tantrums when they don't get what they want promptly.


I don't agree. That said, are you also referring to 2008?


In a sense. I'm speaking in general, not just with regard to politics. But 2008 was different in that Bush had plenty of time and plenty of leeway to do what he wanted. People's anger in 2008 was justified. That being said, there are people on the left who wanted a universal health care system by the end of 2009, and they are unjustifiably pissed at Obama for not delivering what they wanted right away. I want a European-style health care system badly but I know that's not going to happen overnight. Polls have shown that Brown received no more votes than McCain did in MA, but many Democrats stayed home. So angry Democrats must shoulder some of the blame for what happened last night.


Do you really believe that Brown won because angry liberals stayed home in droves due to not having "universal" health care less than one year into the Obama presidency?


If there's one state that clearly is representative of nationwide public opinion on universal health care, it's the state that already has universal health care, through a program largely indistinguishable from what the Democrats have almost-passed, which enjoys large majority support in Massachusetts and won the vote of Sen-elect Brown when he served in the state senate.


Exactly, so why would folks in MA of all places be pissed about not having universal health care at the federal level (and, as a result of their anger, stay away from the voting booth)?
Last edited by Mountainphan on Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:35:49, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:34:28

kopphanatic wrote:Bush had eight years of almost unlimited power. Obama has had a year with a weak-willed Democratic congress and relentless attacks from the opposition party and the right-wing noise machine. ... And, in an attempt to be fair ...


Really
Last edited by jerseyhoya on Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:34:54, edited 1 time in total.

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Postby cshort » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:34:48

azrider wrote:
dajafi wrote:Ezra Klein perfectly captureswhat seems to me is going on here:

[T]he reaction congressional Democrats have had to Coakley's loss has been much more shattering. It has been a betrayal.

The fundamental pact between a political party and its supporters is that the two groups believe the same thing and pledge to work on it together. And the Democratic base feels that it has held to its side of the bargain. It elected a Democratic majority and a Democratic president. It swallowed tough compromises on the issues it cared about most. It swallowed concessions to politicians it didn't like and industry groups it loathed. But it persisted. Because these things are important. That's why those voters believe in them. That's why they're Democrats.
...
If Democrats let go of health care, there is no doubt that a demoralized Democratic base will stay home in November. And that's as it should be. If the Democratic Party won't uphold its end of the bargain, there's no reason its base should pretend the deal is still on.


is that the real reason or is it because not every democrat subscribes to a truly liberal agenda that the president and congress has been trying to push? the majority of the democratic party does not consider themselves liberal.


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124958/conservatives-finish-2009-no-1-ideological-group.aspx


That's the rub. The base may have gotten him nominated, but the center, including independents elected Obama and the Democratic majority. They're not married to the idealogy.
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Postby dajafi » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:37:16

azrider wrote:is that the real reason or is it because not every democrat subscribes to a truly liberal agenda that the president and congress has been trying to push?


Something I wrote Monday:

I kind of enjoy that hardcore right-wingers believe they have a better idea who really is and isn't ultra-liberal than actual ultra-liberals. That those people are bitterly disappointed with Obama seems to me a pretty good hint that he's in the big middle.


My point in quoting the Klein thing had nothing to do with ideology, but you go ahead and take it wherever.

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Postby dajafi » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:39:38

Mountainphan wrote:
dajafi wrote:
Mountainphan wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:
Mountainphan wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:The American people are notoriously impatient these days, not just in politics but in general. They want instant gratification and throw tantrums when they don't get what they want promptly.


I don't agree. That said, are you also referring to 2008?


In a sense. I'm speaking in general, not just with regard to politics. But 2008 was different in that Bush had plenty of time and plenty of leeway to do what he wanted. People's anger in 2008 was justified. That being said, there are people on the left who wanted a universal health care system by the end of 2009, and they are unjustifiably pissed at Obama for not delivering what they wanted right away. I want a European-style health care system badly but I know that's not going to happen overnight. Polls have shown that Brown received no more votes than McCain did in MA, but many Democrats stayed home. So angry Democrats must shoulder some of the blame for what happened last night.


Do you really believe that Brown won because angry liberals stayed home in droves due to not having "universal" health care less than one year into the Obama presidency?


If there's one state that clearly is representative of nationwide public opinion on universal health care, it's the state that already has universal health care, through a program largely indistinguishable from what the Democrats have almost-passed, which enjoys large majority support in Massachusetts and won the vote of Sen-elect Brown when he served in the state senate.


Exactly, so why would folks in MA of all places be pissed about not having universal health care at the federal level (and, as a result of their anger, stay away from the voting booth)?


That wasn't my argument. I'm the one saying that the health care question had probably very little to do with this race, and that if Democrats run away from it like c0ckroaches when someone turns the light on as a result, they're fully as pathetic and unworthy of leadership as we all feared them to be.

I don't understand why you all can't just accept and enjoy my despair. :q

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Postby kopphanatic » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:40:59

jerseyhoya wrote:
kopphanatic wrote:Bush had eight years of almost unlimited power. Obama has had a year with a weak-willed Democratic congress and relentless attacks from the opposition party and the right-wing noise machine. ... And, in an attempt to be fair ...


Really


I mentioned the Democrats numerous times. I'm just as mad today at Daily Kos, Firedog Lake(considering that one of their leaders allied with Grover Norquist to kill the health care bill), and other left-wingers as I am at the Republicans. Has Obama been perfect? Far from it. I would say he's only done an average job so far. But if I lived in MA, you can bet that I would have gone out and voted for Coakley yesterday.
You're the conductor Ruben. Time to blow the whistle!

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Postby drsmooth » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:41:37

Mountainphan wrote:Here's an interesting take from John Judis at TNR...

http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/he-doesnt-feel-your-pain


Interesting indeed, in that you can't go down that road without dealing with the "MA is a special case" rejoinder (in that it already has a "universal health law", whatever that really means, in place)
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Postby pacino » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:47:01

Village Voice wrote:“Scott Brown Wins Mass. Race, Giving GOP 41-59 Majority in the Senate”
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Postby azrider » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:52:50

dajafi wrote:
azrider wrote:is that the real reason or is it because not every democrat subscribes to a truly liberal agenda that the president and congress has been trying to push?


Something I wrote Monday:

I kind of enjoy that hardcore right-wingers believe they have a better idea who really is and isn't ultra-liberal than actual ultra-liberals. That those people are bitterly disappointed with Obama seems to me a pretty good hint that he's in the big middle.


My point in quoting the Klein thing had nothing to do with ideology, but you go ahead and take it wherever.


of course it had nothing to do with ideology... that's the point i was trying to make. did you bother to click the link and see the ideologies that constitute the democratic party? is it absurd to come to the conclusion that "a promise" wasn't broken, but it may rather have been a defection due to the ideology of the policies that were trying to be passed?

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:55:20

Lost in this partisan bitchfest is Zogby making a fool of himself again

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Postby Mountainphan » Wed Jan 20, 2010 16:56:42

drsmooth wrote:
Mountainphan wrote:Here's an interesting take from John Judis at TNR...

http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/he-doesnt-feel-your-pain


Interesting indeed, in that you can't go down that road without dealing with the "MA is a special case" rejoinder (in that it already has a "universal health law", whatever that really means, in place)


Unless you consider that residents of MA might not be keen on the idea of also having to chip in for universal health care at the federal level.
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Postby drsmooth » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:01:15

azrider wrote:of course it had nothing to do with ideology... that's the point i was trying to make. did you bother to click the link and see the ideologies that constitute the democratic party? is it absurd to come to the conclusion that "a promise" wasn't broken, but it may rather have been a defection due to the ideology of the policies that were trying to be passed?


you may want go look up the meaning of the word ideology, b/c what you've written here suggests you have no idea what it means
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Postby azrider » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:04:10

drsmooth wrote:
azrider wrote:of course it had nothing to do with ideology... that's the point i was trying to make. did you bother to click the link and see the ideologies that constitute the democratic party? is it absurd to come to the conclusion that "a promise" wasn't broken, but it may rather have been a defection due to the ideology of the policies that were trying to be passed?


you may want go look up the meaning of the word ideology, b/c what you've written here suggests you have no idea what it means


what word or words do you wish i should use instead, fundamental beliefs?

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Postby Rococo4 » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:18:08

traderdave wrote:Just popped in to congratulate JH and Rocco (I think). I saw Brown's speech and he seemed like a decent guy. I also saw Coakley's speech and she seemed like a decent gal. If there is any good news for Dems I guess they get to blame the GOP in November if healthcare doesn't pass.


thanks buddy

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Postby drsmooth » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:19:30

azrider wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
azrider wrote:of course it had nothing to do with ideology... that's the point i was trying to make. did you bother to click the link and see the ideologies that constitute the democratic party? is it absurd to come to the conclusion that "a promise" wasn't broken, but it may rather have been a defection due to the ideology of the policies that were trying to be passed?


you may want go look up the meaning of the word ideology, b/c what you've written here suggests you have no idea what it means


what word or words do you wish i should use instead, fundamental beliefs?


use whatever terms you like, but use them in a way that clarifies your meaning.

Ideology either had something to do with MA voter behavior or it didn't. First you say it didn't ("of course it had nothing to do..."), then you suggest it didn't ("it may rather have been (sic)...").

Make up your mind, then

a) summarize the 'ideology' at issue
b) identify how these 'policies' (you probably should identify which ones) specifically embody the ideology you've outlined
c) identify who it is that subscribes to them and the specific evidence for that.

otherwise all you've got is a pile of frat-boy-or fox-news-take-your-pick-debating-style insinuation.
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Postby azrider » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:34:04

drsmooth wrote:
azrider wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
azrider wrote:of course it had nothing to do with ideology... that's the point i was trying to make. did you bother to click the link and see the ideologies that constitute the democratic party? is it absurd to come to the conclusion that "a promise" wasn't broken, but it may rather have been a defection due to the ideology of the policies that were trying to be passed?


you may want go look up the meaning of the word ideology, b/c what you've written here suggests you have no idea what it means


what word or words do you wish i should use instead, fundamental beliefs?


use whatever terms you like, but use them in a way that clarifies your meaning.

Ideology either had something to do with MA voter behavior or it didn't. First you say it didn't ("of course it had nothing to do..."), then you suggest it didn't ("it may rather have been (sic)...").

Make up your mind, then

a) summarize the 'ideology' at issue
b) identify how these 'policies' (you probably should identify which ones) specifically embody the ideology you've outlined
c) identify who it is that subscribes to them and the specific evidence for that.

otherwise all you've got is a pile of frat-boy-or fox-news-take-your-pick-debating-style insinuation.


a) my first statement was acknowledging a response to a previous post by dajafi
b) and c)
http://www.balancedpolitics.org/ideology.htm

sorry about the link... granted it is a generalization and you can pick it apart and i could very well do likewise.

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Postby Rococo4 » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:36:00

jerseyhoya wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:95 percent? where are you getting that from? i had no idea it was that close.


I dunno. I made it up. I think they were close. Maybe it was more like 85% and that got cut to 40% yesterday. Or 91.3% slashed to 28%. My point is that yesterday dramatically cut the odds of health care reform passing, because now if Republicans really want to drag their feet, they can. Unless the Dems pass the Senate bill in the House, that is.


Chances are very low. What vulnerable or potentially vulnerable House Democrat would vote yes this time around if they voted no last time after seeing how polls have shifed and after last night. They probably barely had the votes before yesterday in the House (to pass Senate bill) - if at all, which I doubt. (This also isnt factoring in yes votes who would shift to no)

I used to think Pelosi could whip enough House members to get 218 to "ping pong" the Senate bill, but I dont see it now. No way. What can they promise you - a visit from Obama? That'll help...

In truth, the Democrats best plan would be to start over. They wont.

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Postby Rococo4 » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:37:46

jerseyhoya wrote:Lost in this partisan bitchfest is Zogby making a fool of himself again


that guy is such a joke. he didnt even conduct polls...he just tried to stake out ground that no one else had so in case he was somehow right he could take credit. He has a habit of doing this and people are catching on.

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Postby TheBrig » Wed Jan 20, 2010 17:48:50

drsmooth wrote:Health care is supply driven (everywhere, not just the US).


If you are talking about the cost of health care in the US relative to what it costs in other countries, then I strongly disagree with this statement.
5 rounds rapid!

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