Birthers, Deathers, and the Muddled Middle: POLITICS THREAD

Postby pacino » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:04:25

well actual socialism would just be crazy wouldn't it
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Postby jerseyhoya » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:07:02

pacino wrote:well actual socialism would just be crazy wouldn't it


Yes

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:11:49

jerseyhoya wrote:I thought he was suggesting something a good bit different than you were. It might have just been a poor choice of words on his part, but it read like he was suggesting real, actual socialism. Not using the word in the haha Obama's a socialist usage, but in the state ownership of the means of production sort of way.


Honestly, I don't know exactly how much government control I'd want. There are way too factors I know little to nothing about. But generally speaking, I'd rather have a government control/influence/guide something economically than a private ownership because at least communal interests are somewhere near the top on the priority list.

I wonder how anti-socialists would go about paving highways and paying for it in an economy that's completely privatized. Who pays for it? Tolls on every road? Payment rations, like we have for water usage (ex. a monthly bill based on your odometer)? I have never read any sort of thorough planning in this regard.

It's just, "socialism sucks" and a finger-pointing to the tribes in Africa. Or Stalin.
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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:28:00

I want to play the quote game:

"...and Socialist governments traditionally do make a financial mess. They [socialists] always run out of other people's money. It's quite a characteristic of them."


It's the issue of holding our private property in higher regard than that which we hold in common.

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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:35:22

CrashburnAlley wrote:But at least a greedily-run government entity can still benefit the community, whereas a greedily-run private enterprise benefits only those who have some sort of stock in it.


I guess, unless you want to ignore that a profitable company generates higher tax revenue for the government, can afford to expand it's workforce or even better compensate it's employees, can offer products at cheaper prices, will invest in expanding current and building new work spaces. That's off the top of my head.

You're seeing one side of the issue.

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Postby dajafi » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:35:55

Pure systems in general aren't workable in large, heterogeneous societies. The genius of our model, pretty much wherever you want to look in it, is how it holds opposing forces in useful tension: profit motive and public interest, "ambition countering ambition." And ultimately we're able to give a big collective thumbs-up or thumbs-down to any part of it--well, almost any part. Not so much the actions of the Fed, f'rinstance.

I'm very happy to have the free market as our baseline/default position, provided that 1) we're mindful of what markets are and aren't good at, 2) we're willing to watch the performance of both markets and government with a relatively objective eye, focusing on utility and evidence rather than ideology and theory, and 3) we're able to put in the work to make mid-course adjustments (as officials) and keep a watchful eye (as citizens/voters). Ultimately what I think might wreck our country is laziness above and below, and we're all susceptible to that danger.

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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:40:32

CrashburnAlley wrote:It's just, "socialism sucks" and a finger-pointing to the tribes in Africa. Or Stalin.


It's more fun to point out how Sweden has actually been privatizing many of it's state run industries.

"The income from these sales will be used to pay off the government debt and reduce the burden of debt for future generations. The Government's ambition is to sell companies to a value of SEK 200 billion during 2007-2010."

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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:41:50

dajafi wrote:Pure systems in general aren't workable in large, heterogeneous societies. The genius of our model, pretty much wherever you want to look in it, is how it holds opposing forces in useful tension: profit motive and public interest, "ambition countering ambition." And ultimately we're able to give a big collective thumbs-up or thumbs-down to any part of it--well, almost any part. Not so much the actions of the Fed, f'rinstance.

I'm very happy to have the free market as our baseline/default position, provided that 1) we're mindful of what markets are and aren't good at, 2) we're willing to watch the performance of both markets and government with a relatively objective eye, focusing on utility and evidence rather than ideology and theory, and 3) we're able to put in the work to make mid-course adjustments (as officials) and keep a watchful eye (as citizens/voters). Ultimately what I think might wreck our country is laziness above and below, and we're all susceptible to that danger.


Perfect.

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Sun Aug 16, 2009 14:58:39

kruker wrote:It's more fun to point out how Sweden has actually been privatizing many of it's state run industries.


Thanks to none other than Karl Rove. They're not privatizing out of necessity but in attempt for Fredrik Reinfeldt to win the 2010 election.

Sweden, like the U.S., can play politics too.
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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 15:03:09

Yes, it has nothing to do with unsustainable entitlement programs.

*And isn't it weird that privatization is, in your argument, *helping* Reinfeldt win election. What does that tell you?
Maybe the Swedes realize that government involvement in industry isn't all that swell or they're willing to sell profitable companies in order to pay for the heavy burden of their cradle to grave care.

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Sun Aug 16, 2009 15:23:49

kruker wrote:Yes, it has nothing to do with unsustainable entitlement programs.

*And isn't it weird that privatization is, in your argument, *helping* Reinfeldt win election. What does that tell you?


Toppling Saddam Hussein for his involvement in 9/11 helped Bush get re-elected.

Also, swift-boating John Kerry.

Your argument that Sweden is privatizing, therefore socialism can't ever work is like saying the U.S. is keeping troops in the Middle East, therefore diplomacy can't ever work.
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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 15:40:38

CrashburnAlley wrote:
Toppling Saddam Hussein for his involvement in 9/11 helped Bush get re-elected.

Also, swift-boating John Kerry.

Your argument that Sweden is privatizing, therefore socialism can't ever work is like saying the U.S. is keeping troops in the Middle East, therefore diplomacy can't ever work.


And I'm done.

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Postby Wizlah » Sun Aug 16, 2009 15:52:37

Wait, are we talking about the same sweden which put so many banks under government control after a property bubble burst, then managed to actually make a profit on the bad debts? the same government that has managed to run at a surplus every year since 2004 up until now?

And could someone explain to me why Ireland (already a very privatized country by the early 90s) has now seen its credit rating downgraded twice, and is having to slash costs on its already heavily burdened and overworked public sector whilst the private sector middle management have seen fit to award themselves pay rises amidst the worst economic crisis the country has faced? the same country that has seen it's unemployment levels jump up to 12% from 6% the previous year?

Not that I'm saying that govt control is always great and the free market is always bad. But I'd much prefer a swedish approach to the economy rather than an irish approach right now.
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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 16:09:08

I was thinking more of the Sweden of the 90's that had to scale back it's welfare programs and the Sweden of today that is willing to sell off profitable companies in order to keep itself ahead of the curve.

That's not to say that the free market doesn't have it's booms and busts, but like dajafi said, going too far in either direction isn't tenable.

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Sun Aug 16, 2009 16:20:16

kruker wrote:I was thinking more of the Sweden of the 90's that had to scale back it's welfare programs and the Sweden of today that is willing to sell off profitable companies in order to keep itself ahead of the curve.


This is not why Sweden is privatizing; it's politics. It's why Pinochet privatized Chile. They're being advised by ideologues who know how to win elections. Pinochet had Friedman and his Friedman-ites; Reinfeldt has Rove and his Rove-ites.
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Postby jerseyhoya » Sun Aug 16, 2009 16:32:51

CrashburnAlley wrote:
kruker wrote:I was thinking more of the Sweden of the 90's that had to scale back it's welfare programs and the Sweden of today that is willing to sell off profitable companies in order to keep itself ahead of the curve.


This is not why Sweden is privatizing; it's politics. It's why Pinochet privatized Chile. They're being advised by ideologues who know how to win elections. Pinochet had Friedman and his Friedman-ites; Reinfeldt has Rove and his Rove-ites.


Pinochet didn't have a whole lot of elections.

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Postby CrashburnAlley » Sun Aug 16, 2009 16:50:13

jerseyhoya wrote:
CrashburnAlley wrote:
kruker wrote:I was thinking more of the Sweden of the 90's that had to scale back it's welfare programs and the Sweden of today that is willing to sell off profitable companies in order to keep itself ahead of the curve.


This is not why Sweden is privatizing; it's politics. It's why Pinochet privatized Chile. They're being advised by ideologues who know how to win elections. Pinochet had Friedman and his Friedman-ites; Reinfeldt has Rove and his Rove-ites.


Pinochet didn't have a whole lot of elections.


No kidding.
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Postby Wizlah » Sun Aug 16, 2009 16:51:34

kruker wrote:I was thinking more of the Sweden of the 90's that had to scale back it's welfare programs and the Sweden of today that is willing to sell off profitable companies in order to keep itself ahead of the curve.


Yeah, but lets be clear, you were saying they had to do that to support the social spending, which does suggest that they're running regularly into deficit. but they've mantained one of the highest percentages in social spending whilst running govt owned companies and still turning in a govt surplus. that sounds fairly sustainable to me.

And although their social spending as a percentage of gdp did peak in the early 90s, its interesting to note that for 2000-2005 (the oecd figures don't seem to run later than that), the percentages hover around 30%, which is significantly higher than what it was back in the late 80s. It seems to me a slight misrepresentation to suggest that they had to scale right back from the excesses of the 90s when the highest social spending peaked at was 35%
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Postby kruker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 18:17:24

Wizlah wrote:Yeah, but lets be clear, you were saying they had to do that to support the social spending, which does suggest that they're running regularly into deficit. but they've mantained one of the highest percentages in social spending whilst running govt owned companies and still turning in a govt surplus. that sounds fairly sustainable to me.


I might be wrong here, but I'm not purposefully trying to misrepresent any information. I mentioned Sweden as an example of a country that has undone and is in the process of undoing some of it's socialist constructs in favor of privatization. I guess the point of contention is why they are going this route.

All industrialized nations are confronted by the same challenge: Their tax-and-transfer pension programs face serious demographic and financial pressures. In effect, policymakers have only two choices. On the one hand, they can raise taxes and cut benefits in an effort to prolong the solvency of government-run old-age systems. Alternatively, they can give workers private retirement accounts. Faced with this choice, Sweden decided that reform was the best option.

Why did Sweden's lawmakers decide that they had to reform the Swedish old-age pension system? Among the key factors were:

*

Long-term deficit. The unfunded pension system liability in 1996 was nearly $500 billion, roughly equal to 200 percent of Sweden's economic output.
*

Demographics. In 1950, there were more than five working-age people for each person over age 65. Now there are fewer than four, and the ratio eventually will drop to three working-age people per retiree.3
*

Future tax increases. Payroll tax rates already were high—nearly 20 percent—but they would have had to rise even more to keep the existing system in balance. According to Swedish government estimates, the tax rate would have needed to be as high as 36 percent by 2025.4
*

Economic impact. The system's high tax rates discouraged output and employment. The adverse effect on work incentives was particularly severe because of a weak relationship between the taxes workers paid into the system and the benefits they expected to receive. In other words, workers had an incentive to work less and to underreport their income since increased pay simply meant higher taxes without an accompanying increase in future pension benefits.
* Fairness. Pension benefits for retirees often varied greatly. Because old-age benefits were based on a worker's 15 highest-earning years, two Swedes with equal lifetime incomes who had paid equal amounts of taxes could receive very different pension benefits. This formula discriminated in favor of higher-paid white-collar workers with peak-earning years at the expense of blue-collar workers with relatively stable earnings.


Link

This is just an example of the reform with their pension system, but I think it goes to show that the reforms weren't a shift for ideology, but a response to a problem of sustainability. Likewise, the current move to sell off government owned corporations is another forward thinking move to keep the government solvent without waiting until a serious problem arises to act.

As for Crash, what's the issue with winning elections? If the people of Sweden, or any country for that matter, prefer a free market candidate, what's wrong with that? Aren't the citizenry allowed to decide how they want their country run?

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Postby allentown » Sun Aug 16, 2009 19:30:04

dajafi wrote:Pure systems in general aren't workable in large, heterogeneous societies. The genius of our model, pretty much wherever you want to look in it, is how it holds opposing forces in useful tension: profit motive and public interest, "ambition countering ambition." And ultimately we're able to give a big collective thumbs-up or thumbs-down to any part of it--well, almost any part. Not so much the actions of the Fed, f'rinstance.

I'm very happy to have the free market as our baseline/default position, provided that 1) we're mindful of what markets are and aren't good at, 2) we're willing to watch the performance of both markets and government with a relatively objective eye, focusing on utility and evidence rather than ideology and theory, and 3) we're able to put in the work to make mid-course adjustments (as officials) and keep a watchful eye (as citizens/voters). Ultimately what I think might wreck our country is laziness above and below, and we're all susceptible to that danger.

I think you are correct in lauding mixed economies and societies. The problems of the last dozen years seem caused more by rampant, poorly regulated speculation and outright gambling at very high leverage, rather than too much prudent capitalism or reasonable socialism in a given society. The US 'nationalization' of the banks and auto industry by Presidents Bush and Obama resulted not from a desire to increase state ownership of the means of production or to pick industries that shouldn't be allowed to go under, but rather to prevent the serious errors of judgement in two key industries that hit the skids at the same time from tanking the global economy. The goal is to reprivatize as quickly as possible.
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