Look, my friends, this is the new POLITICS THREAD

Postby Philly the Kid » Wed Oct 22, 2008 15:39:25

dajafi wrote:
VoxOrion wrote:
FTN wrote:So the people who initially thought the Palin choice was "great", "fresh", and "smart" still agree? I mean, I know its an intricate point, but you'd think the potential VP would know the actual role of the VP.


I'm not sure how she hurt his ticket, it's kind of like trying to prove a negative. We'd have to be able to somehow determine where he'd be in the polls if he had selected Romney or whomever. I don't think anyone here expected him to win, so it's hard to argue that he'd be winning now if he selected someone else anyway. His only real jumps in the polls surrounded his slection of her as VP, and the convention where she played a big roll in the end. If the best he can claim occurred in the 2008 election are his two jumps in the polls, it's tough to argue that she didn't play a role in both.


I don't know how exactly one would quantify it, but I do think she hurt, in at least two and maybe three ways.

One, the sense among independents that she isn't qualified is really damaging--both because McCain's no spring chicken and has some health concerns, so the prospect of her taking office isn't at all beyond the realm of the plausible, and because it says something about his judgment.

Two, while she fired up the Republican base, she also fired up the Dem base--and this isn't a good year for the Rs to run a base polarization strategy. The Dem base is bigger, evidently deeper-pocketed (if for no other reason than because Obama opted out of public financing), and more highly motivated. And if you believe that antipathy is a more powerful motivator, Palin provided that--which wasn't really there with McCain.

The possible third way is opportunity cost. If he'd picked Romney, he would have had a more compelling surrogate on economic issues. If he'd picked Ridge (almost wrote "Lidge"...) or Lieberman, he would have reinforced the bipartisan/post-partisan messaging--which would have helped him make the closing argument that voters shouldn't give the Democrats unified control of the federal government, and probably would have preserved his amen corner in the media, which I think deserted him over Palin more than any other one thing.

(Admittedly, Lieberman might have ginned up as much agita on the left as Palin has. But I don't think Romney or Ridge or Pawlenty, all former/current blue-state governors, would have done so.)

This all seems like a lot to give up to make James Dobson happy.



Excellent commentary!

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Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:15:41

dajafi wrote:I don't think there's anything "wrong" with this, but it's interesting and, I'm guessing, unprecedented:

The RNC "appears to have spent more than $150,000 to clothe and accessorize vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and her family since her surprise pick by John McCain in late August," reports Politico.

The McCain campaign "declined to answer specific questions about the expenditures, including whether it was necessary to spend that much and whether it amounted to one early investment in Palin or if shopping for the vice presidential nominee was ongoing."

Said a spokeswoman: "The campaign does not comment on strategic decisions regarding how financial resources available to the campaign are spent."

I agree with your insinuation that only wealthy people with classy wardrobes should run for office. Not everyone can afford a $400 haircut or a nice variety of pantsuits, and these people should not be representing us in office. The everyday working man (or woman) can't just roll out in his customary jeans and t-shirt on the campaign trail; they need to have the means to buy nice clothing, and they need to feel comfortable wearing appropriate, formal attire. And why should the electorate be forced to pay for these haircuts and nice suits when you have a good number of well-dressed multimillionaires who are willing and able to dress the part, people like Mitt Romney, Ross Perot, and Mike Bloomberg. We should establish a minimum wealth requirement to run for higher office. That may keep all the peons and thousandaires with <$250K incomes from where they don't belong, on the Senate Floor and in the Oval Office. Unless you're setting up trusts to get around the estate tax, you can't properly appreciate the importance of solid legislation in this area..

Additionally, I'm disappointed she's not keeping her clothing after the election win:

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washing ... n-won.html
Last edited by Werthless on Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:17:52, edited 1 time in total.

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Postby dajafi » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:17:27

Werthless wrote:
dajafi wrote:I don't think there's anything "wrong" with this, but it's interesting and, I'm guessing, unprecedented:

The RNC "appears to have spent more than $150,000 to clothe and accessorize vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and her family since her surprise pick by John McCain in late August," reports Politico.

The McCain campaign "declined to answer specific questions about the expenditures, including whether it was necessary to spend that much and whether it amounted to one early investment in Palin or if shopping for the vice presidential nominee was ongoing."

Said a spokeswoman: "The campaign does not comment on strategic decisions regarding how financial resources available to the campaign are spent."

I agree with your insinuation that only wealthy people with classy wardrobes should run for office. Not everyone can afford a $400 haircut or a nice variety of pantsuits, and these people should not be representing us in office. The everyday working man (or woman) can't just roll out in his customary jeans and t-shirt on the campaign trail; they need to have the means to buy nice clothing, and they need to feel comfortable wearing appropriate, formal attire. And why should the electorate be forced to pay for these haircuts and nice suits when you have a good number of well-dressed multimillionaires who are willing and able to dress the part, people like Mitt Romney, Ross Perot, and Mike Bloomberg. We should establish a minimum wealth requirement to run for higher office. That may keep all the peons and thousandaires with <$250K incomes from where they don't belong, on the Senate Floor and in the Oval Office. Unless you're paying the maximum marginal tax rate, you can't properly allocate those taxes to your pet projects.

Additionally, I'm disappointed she's not keeping her clothing after the election win:

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washing ... n-won.html


Yeah, that's exactly what I was insinuating.

Seriously, WTF? I wrote that there wasn't anything wrong with it, and that was it. Are you a rich guy who's sartorially insecure or something?

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Postby Houshphandzadeh » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:18:32

re: Werthless

I've usually thought your posts were fairly balanced, but you've got to be kidding there. $150,000 for a wardrobe, really? Equating that to a $400 haircut? $150,000?
Last edited by Houshphandzadeh on Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:18:43, edited 1 time in total.

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Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:18:42

Yes, I was kidding. Check out my edit, where I talked about the estate tax.

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Postby mpmcgraw » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:21:01

So are we still pretending Werthless isn't a republican so that his opinion seems more valid or has his cover been blown yet?

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Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:24:26

I'm libertarian, and I'm not voting McCain/Palin. The fact that I'm not voting Obama has been "blown," I suppose.

And what does sartorial mean? My dictionary just gives me a lame meaning, relating to the Latin orgin meaning "tailor."

"Of or relating to a tailor, tailoring, or tailored clothing"

Do you mean I am sensitive to items concerning clothing?

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Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:25:48

mpmcgraw wrote:So are we still pretending Werthless isn't a republican so that his opinion seems more valid or has his cover been blown yet?

I'm just pleased that people now recognize my name. One of my first posts in the politics thread was in response to a PtK post, and the first reply was "who are you."

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:28:19

Werthless wrote:
mpmcgraw wrote:So are we still pretending Werthless isn't a republican so that his opinion seems more valid or has his cover been blown yet?

I'm just pleased that people now recognize my name. One of my first posts in the politics thread was in response to a PtK post, and the first reply was "who are you."


You've finally hit the big time.

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Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:28:30

Houshphandzadeh wrote:re: Werthless

I've usually thought your posts were fairly balanced, but you've got to be kidding there. $150,000 for a wardrobe, really? Equating that to a $400 haircut? $150,000?

Hair grows back. Anything more than $15 (including tip) is probably a ripoff. Paying 150K for a disposable suit would be silly, too.

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Postby mpmcgraw » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:31:20

Werthless wrote:
mpmcgraw wrote:So are we still pretending Werthless isn't a republican so that his opinion seems more valid or has his cover been blown yet?

I'm just pleased that people now recognize my name. One of my first posts in the politics thread was in response to a PtK post, and the first reply was "who are you."

did i say that? that sounds like something id say.

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Postby Werthless » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:34:49

mpmcgraw wrote:
Werthless wrote:
mpmcgraw wrote:So are we still pretending Werthless isn't a republican so that his opinion seems more valid or has his cover been blown yet?

I'm just pleased that people now recognize my name. One of my first posts in the politics thread was in response to a PtK post, and the first reply was "who are you."

did i say that? that sounds like something id say.

I dont think so. I think it was PtK, because he didnt like my criticism of one of his theories.

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Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:35:15

This whole clothing allowance thing is at best a dumb non-issue. However, I wonder if a few modest income people who were thinking about kicking 50 bucks toward McCain/Palin aren't rethinking that idea.
Be Bold!

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Postby mpmcgraw » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:36:14

his reply to my posts are 300 word long synonyms for grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr and he keeps telling Woody that his posts are annoying.

i love teh ptk

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Postby Houshphandzadeh » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:36:30

I agree it's kind of a dumb issue, but the number is pretty astronomical.

I also think there's a certain defensive reflex where you think about how much the opposite party would have made (did, really) of a similar issue on our side.

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Postby dajafi » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:43:19

Werthless wrote:And what does sartorial mean? My dictionary just gives me a lame meaning, relating to the Latin orgin meaning "tailor."

"Of or relating to a tailor, tailoring, or tailored clothing"

Do you mean I am sensitive to items concerning clothing?


Probably this was a case of my missing the satirical tone (classic internet problem) and getting hackles up too quickly--I thought you were taking a shot at me, and I wasn't "insinuating" anything. I apologize for that; I respect your posts here.

And yeah, I meant "sartorial" pretty much in the way you suggest, e.g. "sartorial splendor."

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Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Oct 22, 2008 16:53:51

A document provided to Washington Whispers from a House GOP official shows that they could lose a net 34 seats. That means the Democrats would have a 270-165 advantage in the 111th Congress.


::Vomiting Emoticon::

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Postby dajafi » Wed Oct 22, 2008 17:06:52

An internal poll from Sen. Barack Obama's campaign in Pennsylvania has him just two points ahead of Sen. John McCain, according to The Hill.

"WILK radio host Steve Corbett said Tuesday he obtained an Obama campaign e-mail about the internal poll showing a tight race." The Obama campaign "wouldn't confirm the internal poll numbers, but said that the e-mail was sent without permission."


From PoliticalWire. There's at least a chance this is gamesmanship, as Silver reported that McCain's internals have him 6-8 points down, and we know the outside polls have it more like 10-12.

If it's real, though, this whole thing is suddenly in question.

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Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Oct 22, 2008 17:17:39

Yeh, this thing isn't remotely over yet. And complacency will guarantee a close finish. I took off work the 5 days before the election and I'll be helping no matter what the polls say. No sense slowing down right before the finish line.


Edit: For those of you supporting Obama, please consider volunteering a little of your time, if possible. Even just one spare afternoon or evening answering phones or walking around the neighborhood in the next two weeks can help if a bunch of people do it. McCain supporters, please stay home. :wink:
Last edited by Monkeyboy on Wed Oct 22, 2008 17:22:59, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby BuddyGroom » Wed Oct 22, 2008 17:18:03

dajafi wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:If Obama wins, what is Jon Stewart going to do?


Hopefully start mercilessly making fun of Obama and pointing it out when he lies or $#@! up.

I think everybody has gotten so used to the comprehensive tribalism of Bush-era politics that we've forgotten it doesn't have to be that way.


SNL has never had any problems lampooning Democrats. Hopefully, it will be the same with the Daily Show.
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