All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby drsmooth » Mon Sep 02, 2013 15:50:54

Carry on, congressional leaders

EDIT: LG hope you don't mind me including your last post here to provide some carryover context:

Luzinski's Gut wrote:The other aspect to the Congressional decision for Syria is that it potentially gives the President and SECDEF much greater logic to cut the Department of Defense budget even further.

DoD has been very vocal about not going into Syria, and there are a number of articles this week about leaks (some called them floods) emanating from DoD about how we're going to approach Syria.

If Congress says no, then there is even more reason for the President to cut the DoD budget. If they say yes, I suspect we'll see requests from more OCO supplemental, especially when the missile strikes are completely ineffective and the Administration is left wondering what the hell they can do next.

Brilliant move on the President's part on a number of levels.


Also wanted to include links to two NYTimes articles in light of the scant attention thus far to Israel's take on recent developments in our Syrian adventure, and the prominent role 2 leading Senate neocons have been given in the opening round of the "congressional debate":

Israeli President Voices Strong Support For Obama's Decision On Syria

Syria Vote Sets Up Foreign Policy Clash in the GOP
Last edited by drsmooth on Mon Sep 02, 2013 16:09:50, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby slugsrbad » Mon Sep 02, 2013 15:53:07

Love it.
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby drsmooth » Tue Sep 03, 2013 17:48:39

Rand Paul is not good at much

not even at droning on
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby karn » Tue Sep 03, 2013 20:47:58

http://www.theatlantic.com/internationa ... lk/279255/

Thorough and grounded synopsis of Syria's recent history, the political history of chemical warfare and how the potential costs of intervention far outweigh potential benefits

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby pacino » Tue Sep 03, 2013 21:49:38

UN: 7 Million Syrians Displaced Due to Civil War:
DAMASCUS, Syria (AP) — International aid to Syrians uprooted by civil war is a “drop in the sea” of what is needed, a top U.N. official said Monday, estimating that five million Syrians have been displaced inside the country.

In addition, 2 million Syrians have fled to neighboring countries, according to U.N. figures. The total, of about 7 million, amounts to nearly one-third of Syria’s population.

The funding gaps for the displaced remain wide, with donor countries sending less than one-third the money needed to help those displaced, Tarik Kurdi, the representative of the U.N. refugee agency in Syria, told The Associated Press.

Syria’s brutal two-and-a-half-year-old conflict has also claimed more than 100,000 lives, including hundreds who — according to the U.S. — were killed in chemical weapons attacks by the Syrian regime near Damascus on Aug. 21.
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby Bucky » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:08:37

aljazeera news vs. fox news

tough choice

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby The Dude » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:14:59

America used various chemical agents including white phosphorus in Vietnam (where it was known as “Willie Pete”) and in Fallujah (Iraq) in 2005. We encouraged or at least did not object to the use of chemical agents, although we later blamed him for so doing, by Saddam Husain. Just revealed documents show that the Reagan administration knew of the Iraqi use in the Iraq-Iran war of the same poison gas (Sarin) as was used a few days ago in Syria and Tabun (also a nerve gas). According to the US military attaché working with the Iraqi army at the time, the US government either turned a blind eye or approved its use (see the summary of the documents in Shane Harris and Matthew Aid, "Exclusive: CIA Files Prove America Helped Saddam as He Gassed Iran," Foreign Policy, August 26, 2013) We were horrified when Saddam Husain used poison gas against the Kurdish villagers of Halabja in 1988 (killing perhaps 4-5 thousand people) but by that time we had dropped our support for the Iraqi government. Finally, Israel is believed to have used poison gas in Lebanon and certainly used white phosphorus in Gaza in 2008.
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby pacino » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:22:21

The Dude wrote:
America used various chemical agents including white phosphorus in Vietnam (where it was known as “Willie Pete”) and in Fallujah (Iraq) in 2005. We encouraged or at least did not object to the use of chemical agents, although we later blamed him for so doing, by Saddam Husain. Just revealed documents show that the Reagan administration knew of the Iraqi use in the Iraq-Iran war of the same poison gas (Sarin) as was used a few days ago in Syria and Tabun (also a nerve gas). According to the US military attaché working with the Iraqi army at the time, the US government either turned a blind eye or approved its use (see the summary of the documents in Shane Harris and Matthew Aid, "Exclusive: CIA Files Prove America Helped Saddam as He Gassed Iran," Foreign Policy, August 26, 2013) We were horrified when Saddam Husain used poison gas against the Kurdish villagers of Halabja in 1988 (killing perhaps 4-5 thousand people) but by that time we had dropped our support for the Iraqi government. Finally, Israel is believed to have used poison gas in Lebanon and certainly used white phosphorus in Gaza in 2008.

goddamn obama?
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby The Dude » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:30:15

no?
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:36:08

White phosphorus isn't a banned chemical weapon

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby The Dude » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:41:16

i don't think the point was whether or not it was banned chemical weapon, but it is a chemical weapon used to kill mass amounts of people. where is the line
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:46:07

The Dude wrote:i don't think the point was whether or not it was banned chemical weapon, but it is a chemical weapon used to kill mass amounts of people. where is the line

It's included in some munitions because it creates smokescreens, not because of its usefulness in killing people horrifically. Sarin is used to kill indiscriminately.

Lots of weapons are really shitty, I dunno. The lines are the ones that have been drawn.

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby The Dude » Tue Sep 03, 2013 22:48:52

and it's included in others bc it melts skin. i understand that they have been drawn, but it's just one of 100 things that stinks in this whole situation.
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby karn » Tue Sep 03, 2013 23:00:13

My first question is, what proof can there really be beyond that Sarin gas was used? Beyond the complete and utter illogic of Assad using a limited capacity attack on the day of the UN's arrival in areas that are at best disputed, multiple major news outlets had rebels caught with containers along the Turkish border earlier this summer.

My second question is, why is there such sudden urgency? The prolonged and ongoing conflict, at best, is at a stalemate. An attack six months ago or six months from now would likely have the same effect as an attack tomorrow. Furthermore, this level of drum beating and staging in the Mediterranean is not commiserate with a limited scope strike. Polk's point about the ease of escalation from an initial volley feels particularly prescient.

My final question is, of what benefit will any of this be? For Syria, a deposed Assad regime likely means continued unrest amongst the fractured rebel forces. For us, it's economically irresponsible with a chance to become devastating if a regional war breaks out. Nor does it enhance national security, giving yet further cause to invite extremist responses toward our interests globally and domestically. Diplomatically, it flies in the face of UN policies for use of force.

What's the silver lining? Why go through this again?

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Sep 03, 2013 23:00:57

I watched the whole hearing today, and thought Kerry was pretty good when speaking from prepared stuff, but he obviously made a few missteps (notably the boots on the ground thing). Dempsey and Hagel might as well have not been there. I thought Kerry's most obnoxious bit was the few times he tried to explain how this isn't war. Kind of Orwellian. It was hilarious when he tried to get Dempsey to back him up on that during Rand Paul's questioning, and Dempsey was like, uh, you're on you're own buddy (youtube below 8:15 to the end). We're attacking another sovereign nation, of course it's war. It might not be an invasion, but it's war.

I emailed Runyan and Chiesa today encouraging them to vote yes after hearing about all the calls and emails pouring in telling reps to oppose action.


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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby karn » Tue Sep 03, 2013 23:08:50

jerseyhoya wrote:I emailed Runyan and Chiesa today encouraging them to vote yes after hearing about all the calls and emails pouring in telling reps to oppose action.

Why?

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Sep 03, 2013 23:18:11

karn wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:I emailed Runyan and Chiesa today encouraging them to vote yes after hearing about all the calls and emails pouring in telling reps to oppose action.

Why?

Because I think Obama's credibility and the United States' credibility are at stake, and there are other instances with more direct US interests in play (Iran, North Korea) where maintaining this credibility is vital. Threatening to do something if X occurs and then doing fuck all should be a sign to Iran that they can pursue nuclear weapons with impunity (or a sign to Israel that they need to act themselves). A sign to North Korea that we might not really mean it about South Korea (or a sign to South Korea and Japan that they should look into going nuclear). Better to look like we will keep our word when we make big threats.

Also I agree with Obama that we have an interest in preserving the norm against chemical weapons usage. And on top of all of that, Assad is a piece of shit who ought to die a painful death, though I'm not sure how much our attacks will affect that.

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Sep 03, 2013 23:24:09

And beyond that I don't think there's much downside to what Obama's calling for, though the upside isn't great either.

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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby drsmooth » Wed Sep 04, 2013 00:43:58

Republican congresspersons are really, really reluctant to vote against anything that maintains, ratifies, or extends an expansive executive role. Representative government is messy; risky; 'democratic'. We can't have that. Ask Dick Cheney, or Karl Rove.

So you've got an interesting sort of 'coalition' of congressmen who have vowed never to support anything said or done by the brown socialist communist; people who genuinely value representative government; and the political opportunists (thanks, Senator Cruz!)

In the other corner you've got the imperial executive loyalists, most not as war-rabid as Senators McCain or Graham, but who are highly reluctant to support action that even suggests letting the pendulum swing even slightly back in the direction of a more purposeful legislative branch.

Most of these individuals are uncomfortable having any record at all on which they may be called to account in a future campaign, let alone a vote on whether to take military action urged by an 'alien' president. There is very little upside, and possibly a hella lot of downside.
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Re: All Your Bash Ar Belong To US - Politics

Postby karn » Wed Sep 04, 2013 02:48:19

jerseyhoya wrote:
karn wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:I emailed Runyan and Chiesa today encouraging them to vote yes after hearing about all the calls and emails pouring in telling reps to oppose action.

Why?

Because I think Obama's credibility and the United States' credibility are at stake, and there are other instances with more direct US interests in play (Iran, North Korea) where maintaining this credibility is vital. Threatening to do something if X occurs and then doing fuck all should be a sign to Iran that they can pursue nuclear weapons with impunity (or a sign to Israel that they need to act themselves). A sign to North Korea that we might not really mean it about South Korea (or a sign to South Korea and Japan that they should look into going nuclear). Better to look like we will keep our word when we make big threats.

Also I agree with Obama that we have an interest in preserving the norm against chemical weapons usage. And on top of all of that, Assad is a piece of shit who ought to die a painful death, though I'm not sure how much our attacks will affect that.

I agree there is value in the concept of maintaining credibility (though the mere fact that such a "red line" was even declared is asinine), but it's the theatre, the buildup and secrecy regarding the ballyhooed proof and the strategy itself with which I can't quite come to grips. If I am correctly reading the resolution markup circulating tonight then the explicit goal is to target and destroy chem stockpiles and prevent their future use for proliferation on the basis of carefully chosen targets. How then is this not a drone job? The famous and precise tech that we use everywhere else to go after individual human beings has to be more effective than setting up five warships and however much more might has been called upon and set at the ready. Basically, the means to date do not seem appropriate for the purported ends being sought and this is of especial concern given the administration's lack of transparency.

I do however disagree that the logical end from avoiding meddlesomeness in the civil war of a weakened state of which we are not nor likely even could be seriously threatened by is that the power holders of more vital enemy states would all of a sudden feel impunity in their own proliferations. Each nation should know its own red line and from there it's simple power structures. If Iran is the big dog and Syria the pup, when the big dog acts up and receives discipline, the pup falls in line, understanding his own rank to certainly therefore not be immune to similar or harsher treatment. Conversely, if the big dog acts up and is undisciplined, the pup is likely to extend his own behavior at least to the level he has just seen from the higher rank. For our purposes in the analogy, though, it is the pup's misbehavior that is being represented by Syria. As such, the pup's acting up and its discipline or lack thereof should have no strong bearing one way or another on the big dog because the big dog already understands itself to have a higher rank entitling it to its own set of expectations. So regardless of what a pissant regime like Assad's does and how we deal or not deal with him should have no bearing on Iran's understanding of the seriousness with which we take their own arms programs.

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