dajafi wrote:I trust that if there's a true differentiation between "the Taliban," religious fanatics who are driven by ideology, and the majority of Afghanis who are currently trying to kill American soldiers, we can identify and exploit those differences through more cost-effective and probably more effective period than fighting a war in which the commitment we're willing to make falls far, far short of what "victory" will require.
Think about how crazy and arrogant this is: we are trying to both win a military struggle and perform the Triple Lindy of nation-building halfway around the world, without a draft or general societal mobilization of any kind or even a tax increase. It won't work because it can't work. Which isn't to say that what we want to see happen there isn't important, or even that it was a bad idea in the first place--just that the world has changed, so our approach should change.
More broadly, we need to get out of the habit of thinking we can and somehow should solve every foreign policy problem with force. It goes against our best traditions, it's horribly unfair to the military community which bears all the pain, and it's doing more than anything else to bankrupt us. I'm no pacifist, but this isn't rational.
I'm not sure that we are capable of nation building, but from reading the McChrystal report, I'm encouraged that he emphasized that his strategy wasn't about force. It was about winning the people over, you can decide for yourself if that's possible, and building up the ANSF, again, decide for yourself if that's really possible. In the report, Gen. McChrystal says something along the lines of "to focus on the troop requirement is to miss the point entirely". The troop surge is for a short term security force (12 months according to the report), but the broader strategy is one of diplomacy.
If nothing else, I think McChrystal gets it. Whether or not we have the capability to ameliorate a situation that's gone terribly wrong to this point is a legit concern, but if you read the report in full, you'll see that the McChrystal plan is less about force than close cultural interactions. I'd like to see his plan implemented with another review in 18 months. It'd be a shame to leave Afghanistan after all these years with little to show for our efforts and with the most reasonable course of action unimplemented.